TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Southern California (10 - 1 - 0) 63.283 55.101 . 2) Tennessee ( 9 - 2 - 0) 61.038 54.675 . 3) Oklahoma (10 - 1 - 0) 60.891 52.709 . 4) UCLA ( 7 - 2 - 1) 60.830 55.830 . 5) Purdue ( 8 - 2 - 0) 60.749 54.749 . 6) Alabama ( 8 - 2 - 1) 60.685 55.230 . 7) Florida State ( 7 - 2 - 2) 60.517 55.972 . 8) Oregon State ( 7 - 2 - 1) 60.081 55.081 . 9) Notre Dame ( 8 - 2 - 0) 59.931 53.931 . 10) Wyoming (10 - 1 - 0) 59.731 51.549 . 11) Indiana ( 9 - 2 - 0) 59.372 53.009 . 12) Penn State ( 8 - 2 - 1) 59.010 53.555 . 13) Louisiana State ( 7 - 3 - 1) 58.739 55.103 . 14) North Carolina State ( 9 - 2 - 0) 58.497 52.133 . 15) Colorado ( 9 - 2 - 0) 58.458 52.094 . 16) Texas-El Paso ( 7 - 2 - 1) 58.127 53.682 . 17) Minnesota ( 8 - 2 - 0) 58.061 52.061 . 18) Houston ( 7 - 3 - 0) 57.720 53.720 . 19) Arizona State ( 8 - 2 - 0) 57.702 51.702 . 20) Memphis ( 6 - 3 - 0) 57.578 55.078 . 21) Mississippi ( 6 - 4 - 1) 57.330 55.511 . 22) Miami (Florida) ( 7 - 4 - 0) 57.243 54.515 . 23) New Mexico State ( 7 - 2 - 1) 57.232 52.232 . 24) Toledo ( 9 - 1 - 0) 57.224 49.224 . 25) Syracuse ( 8 - 2 - 0) 56.799 50.799 . 26) North Texas ( 7 - 1 - 1) 56.692 50.025 . 27) Texas A&M ( 7 - 4 - 0) 56.682 53.955 . 28) Missouri ( 7 - 3 - 0) 56.389 52.389 . 29) Virginia Tech ( 8 - 2 - 0) 55.808 49.808 . 30) Nebraska ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.722 53.722 . 31) Auburn ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.713 53.713 . 32) Georgia ( 7 - 4 - 0) 55.645 52.917 . 33) Florida ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.610 53.610 . 34) Brigham Young ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.586 53.586 . 35) Utah State ( 7 - 2 - 1) 55.512 51.068 . 36) Texas ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.090 53.090 . 37) Army ( 8 - 2 - 0) 54.933 48.933 . 38) Clemson ( 6 - 4 - 0) 54.385 52.385 . 39) Stanford ( 5 - 5 - 0) 54.357 54.357 . 40) Kansas ( 5 - 5 - 0) 54.304 54.304 . 41) California ( 5 - 5 - 0) 54.166 54.166 . 42) Southern Mississippi ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.950 52.522 . 43) Western Michigan ( 5 - 4 - 0) 53.821 51.321 . 44) Washington ( 5 - 5 - 0) 53.798 53.798 . 45) Ohio State ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.783 50.450 . 46) Navy ( 5 - 4 - 1) 53.645 52.645 . 47) Texas Tech ( 6 - 4 - 0) 53.297 51.297 . 48) Tulsa ( 7 - 3 - 0) 53.108 49.108 . 49) Miami (Ohio) ( 6 - 4 - 0) 52.599 50.599 . 50) East Carolina ( 8 - 2 - 0) 52.339 46.783 . 51) Oklahoma State ( 4 - 5 - 1) 52.325 53.325 . 52) Dayton ( 6 - 3 - 1) 52.191 50.941 . 53) Georgia Tech ( 4 - 6 - 0) 52.107 54.107 . 54) Illinois ( 4 - 6 - 0) 52.085 54.085 . 55) Ohio ( 5 - 5 - 0) 52.068 52.068 . 56) South Carolina ( 5 - 5 - 0) 51.885 51.885 . 57) West Texas A&M ( 8 - 3 - 0) 51.850 49.350 . 58) Michigan State ( 3 - 7 - 0) 51.553 55.553 . 59) Yale ( 8 - 1 - 0) 51.495 43.717 . 60) Arizona ( 3 - 6 - 1) 51.379 54.379 . 61) Xavier ( 6 - 3 - 1) 51.333 48.333 . 62) Virginia ( 6 - 4 - 0) 50.963 48.963 . 63) West Virginia ( 5 - 4 - 1) 50.874 49.874 . 64) Michigan ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.498 52.498 . 65) Wake Forest ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.314 52.314 . 66) Utah ( 4 - 7 - 0) 50.307 54.307 . 67) Duke ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.189 52.189 . 68) Bowling Green State ( 6 - 4 - 0) 50.124 49.013 . 69) Arkansas ( 4 - 5 - 1) 50.096 51.096 . 70) Rice ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.022 52.022 . 71) Colorado State ( 4 - 5 - 1) 49.915 52.137 . 72) Kentucky ( 2 - 8 - 0) 49.850 55.850 . 73) William & Mary ( 5 - 4 - 1) 49.781 48.781 . 74) Kent ( 5 - 5 - 0) 49.623 49.623 . 75) Texas Christian ( 4 - 6 - 0) 49.536 51.536 . 76) Richmond ( 5 - 5 - 0) 49.464 48.353 . 77) Dartmouth ( 7 - 2 - 0) 49.264 43.708 . 78) Tulane ( 3 - 7 - 0) 49.017 53.017 . 79) Southern Methodist ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.989 52.989 . 80) Louisville ( 5 - 5 - 0) 48.941 48.941 . 81) Mississippi State ( 1 - 9 - 0) 48.921 56.921 . 82) Washington State ( 2 - 8 - 0) 48.855 54.855 . 83) Air Force ( 2 - 6 - 2) 48.838 52.838 . 84) Cincinnati ( 3 - 6 - 0) 48.584 51.918 . 85) Vanderbilt ( 2 - 7 - 1) 48.372 53.372 . 86) Northwestern ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.366 52.366 . 87) Oregon ( 2 - 8 - 0) 48.083 54.083 . 88) Tampa ( 2 - 7 - 0) 47.890 51.223 . 89) Iowa ( 1 - 8 - 1) 47.573 54.573 . 90) Boston College ( 5 - 5 - 0) 47.565 48.676 . 91) Iowa State ( 2 - 8 - 0) 47.335 53.335 . 92) Wichita State ( 2 - 7 - 1) 47.253 52.253 . 93) Pittsburgh ( 1 - 9 - 0) 46.911 54.911 . 94) Cornell ( 6 - 2 - 1) 46.689 42.245 . 95) Southern Illinois ( 1 - 4 - 0) 46.654 52.654 . 96) Villanova ( 4 - 6 - 0) 46.264 47.376 . 97) Kansas State ( 1 - 9 - 0) 46.124 54.124 . 98) Harvard ( 6 - 3 - 0) 45.987 43.487 . 99) Buffalo ( 6 - 4 - 0) 45.902 44.791 . 100) Citadel ( 6 - 4 - 0) 45.786 45.786 . 101) Baylor ( 1 - 8 - 1) 45.782 52.782 . 102) Princeton ( 6 - 3 - 0) 45.782 42.449 . 103) San Jose State ( 2 - 7 - 0) 45.239 50.794 . 104) Pacific ( 4 - 5 - 0) 45.105 46.534 . 105) Holy Cross ( 5 - 5 - 0) 45.054 45.054 . 106) Montana ( 1 - 2 - 0) 44.786 48.119 . 107) Davidson ( 5 - 4 - 0) 44.777 44.777 . 108) North Carolina ( 2 - 8 - 0) 44.662 50.662 . 109) Maryland ( 0 - 9 - 0) 44.156 54.156 . 110) New Mexico ( 1 - 9 - 0) 43.957 51.957 . 111) Connecticut ( 1 - 2 - 0) 43.775 47.109 . 112) Wisconsin ( 0 - 9 - 1) 43.762 52.762 . 113) Idaho ( 4 - 6 - 0) 43.740 45.168 . 114) Northern Illinois ( 0 - 4 - 0) 42.205 52.205 . 115) Marshall ( 0 - 10 - 0) 42.008 52.008 . 116) Furman ( 5 - 5 - 0) 41.788 43.217 . 117) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 0 - 3 - 0) 41.645 51.645 . 118) Massachusetts ( 1 - 2 - 0) 41.466 44.799 . 119) Drake ( 0 - 3 - 0) 40.962 50.962 . 120) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 10 - 0) 40.074 50.074 . 121) Brown ( 2 - 6 - 1) 40.028 43.778 . 122) Quantico Marines ( 0 - 4 - 0) 39.376 49.376 . 123) Pennsylvania ( 3 - 6 - 0) 39.090 42.423 . 124) Columbia ( 2 - 7 - 0) 37.782 43.338 . 125) Boston University ( 1 - 3 - 0) 37.770 42.770 . 126) Rutgers ( 4 - 5 - 0) 37.568 40.068 . 127) Idaho State ( 0 - 3 - 0) 36.935 46.935 . 128) Bucknell ( 1 - 2 - 0) 36.638 39.972 . 129) Fresno State ( 0 - 3 - 0) 34.694 44.694 . 130) Colgate ( 2 - 8 - 0) 34.136 40.136 . 131) Wofford ( 0 - 3 - 0) 34.117 44.117 . 132) Delaware ( 0 - 3 - 0) 33.245 43.245 . 133) Lehigh ( 0 - 4 - 0) 28.146 38.146 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 09/23/1967 Miami (Florida) 7 Northwestern 12 Upset! 09/16/1967 Southern Methodist 20 Texas A&M 17 Upset! 10/28/1967 Citadel 21 East Carolina 19 Upset! 10/28/1967 Tulsa 13 Southern Illinois 16 Upset! 09/30/1967 Holy Cross 26 Yale 14 Upset! 10/07/1967 Oregon State 6 Washington 13 Upset! 10/28/1967 Oklahoma State 10 Colorado 7 Upset! 10/14/1967 Oklahoma 7 Texas 9 @ Dallas TX Upset! 10/21/1967 Utah State 14 Colorado State 17 Upset! 11/18/1967 Texas Christian 24 Texas 17 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.7470 Standard deviation of fit = 6.9367 16.02 % of the games are upsets. 95 out of 593 games are upsets. 216 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 36.42 %) 391 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 65.94 %) 513 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.51 %) 570 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.12 %) 591 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.66 %) 593 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) 593 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 593 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 593 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.