TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Iowa ( 8 - 1 - 0) 65.317 57.539 . 2) Mississippi (10 - 0 - 1) 62.425 53.334 . 3) Minnesota ( 8 - 2 - 0) 61.895 55.895 . 4) Missouri (10 - 1 - 0) 61.398 53.216 . 5) Ohio State ( 7 - 2 - 0) 61.386 55.831 . 6) Florida ( 9 - 2 - 0) 60.863 54.499 . 7) Auburn ( 8 - 2 - 0) 60.692 54.692 . 8) Michigan State ( 6 - 2 - 1) 60.641 56.197 . 9) Kansas ( 7 - 2 - 1) 60.279 55.279 . 10) Alabama ( 8 - 1 - 2) 59.829 53.465 . 11) Washington (10 - 1 - 0) 59.398 51.216 . 12) Baylor ( 8 - 3 - 0) 58.982 54.437 . 13) Arkansas ( 8 - 3 - 0) 58.708 54.163 . 14) Michigan ( 5 - 4 - 0) 58.167 57.056 . 15) Rice ( 7 - 4 - 0) 57.972 55.245 . 16) Tennessee ( 6 - 2 - 2) 57.666 53.666 . 17) Northwestern ( 5 - 4 - 0) 57.640 56.529 . 18) Texas ( 7 - 3 - 1) 57.572 53.935 . 19) Purdue ( 4 - 4 - 1) 57.440 57.440 . 20) UCLA ( 7 - 2 - 1) 57.411 52.411 . 21) Georgia Tech ( 5 - 5 - 0) 57.043 57.043 . 22) New Mexico State (11 - 0 - 0) 57.015 47.015 . 23) Illinois ( 5 - 4 - 0) 56.799 55.688 . 24) Duke ( 8 - 3 - 0) 56.747 52.201 . 25) Penn State ( 7 - 3 - 0) 56.550 52.550 . 26) Georgia ( 6 - 4 - 0) 56.320 54.320 . 27) Syracuse ( 7 - 2 - 0) 56.318 50.763 . 28) Colorado ( 6 - 4 - 0) 56.256 54.256 . 29) Navy ( 9 - 2 - 0) 56.027 49.663 . 30) Iowa State ( 7 - 3 - 0) 55.854 51.854 . 31) Wisconsin ( 4 - 5 - 0) 55.163 56.274 . 32) Pittsburgh ( 4 - 3 - 3) 54.748 53.748 . 33) Kentucky ( 5 - 4 - 1) 54.734 54.734 . 34) Texas Christian ( 4 - 4 - 2) 54.663 54.663 . 35) Louisiana State ( 5 - 4 - 1) 54.406 53.406 . 36) Oregon State ( 6 - 3 - 1) 54.345 51.345 . 37) Ohio ( 3 - 0 - 0) 54.145 44.145 . 38) Wyoming ( 8 - 2 - 0) 54.039 48.039 . 39) Oregon ( 7 - 3 - 1) 53.952 50.316 . 40) Miami (Florida) ( 6 - 4 - 0) 53.862 51.862 . 41) Utah State ( 9 - 2 - 0) 53.773 47.409 . 42) Yale ( 9 - 0 - 0) 53.757 43.757 . 43) Nebraska ( 4 - 6 - 0) 53.556 55.556 . 44) Arizona ( 7 - 3 - 0) 53.174 49.174 . 45) Houston ( 6 - 4 - 0) 53.127 51.127 . 46) Army ( 6 - 3 - 1) 52.874 49.874 . 47) Detroit Mercy ( 7 - 2 - 0) 52.731 47.731 . 48) Utah ( 7 - 3 - 0) 52.598 48.598 . 49) Oklahoma ( 3 - 6 - 1) 52.430 55.430 . 50) Southern California ( 4 - 6 - 0) 52.128 54.128 . 51) North Carolina State ( 6 - 3 - 1) 51.457 48.457 . 52) Tulane ( 3 - 6 - 1) 51.198 54.198 . 53) Arizona State ( 7 - 3 - 0) 51.075 47.075 . 54) George Washington ( 6 - 2 - 1) 50.917 46.473 . 55) Maryland ( 6 - 4 - 0) 50.909 48.909 . 56) Oklahoma State ( 3 - 7 - 0) 50.816 54.816 . 57) Wichita State ( 8 - 2 - 0) 50.711 45.155 . 58) Mississippi State ( 2 - 6 - 1) 50.619 56.869 . 59) Memphis ( 8 - 2 - 0) 50.488 46.202 . 60) Tulsa ( 5 - 5 - 0) 50.372 50.372 . 61) Rutgers ( 8 - 1 - 0) 50.371 43.228 . 62) Princeton ( 7 - 2 - 0) 50.320 44.765 . 63) Texas Tech ( 3 - 6 - 1) 50.289 53.289 . 64) Citadel ( 9 - 1 - 1) 50.238 43.988 . 65) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 7 - 0) 49.937 53.937 . 66) Air Force ( 4 - 6 - 0) 49.882 51.882 . 67) Indiana ( 1 - 8 - 0) 49.282 57.060 . 68) Holy Cross ( 6 - 4 - 0) 49.254 47.254 . 69) Notre Dame ( 2 - 8 - 0) 49.062 55.062 . 70) Clemson ( 6 - 4 - 0) 49.001 47.001 . 71) San Jose State ( 5 - 4 - 0) 48.503 46.003 . 72) Texas A&M ( 1 - 6 - 3) 48.410 53.410 . 73) Southern Mississippi ( 3 - 2 - 0) 48.295 46.295 . 74) Florida State ( 3 - 6 - 1) 48.163 51.163 . 75) Washington State ( 4 - 5 - 1) 48.129 49.129 . 76) Harvard ( 5 - 4 - 0) 48.004 45.504 . 77) Tampa ( 0 - 2 - 1) 47.861 54.527 . 78) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 0 - 4 - 0) 47.818 57.818 . 79) New Mexico ( 5 - 5 - 0) 47.607 48.718 . 80) Southern Methodist ( 0 - 9 - 1) 47.541 56.541 . 81) Texas-El Paso ( 4 - 5 - 1) 47.397 47.397 . 82) Pacific ( 4 - 6 - 0) 47.372 48.483 . 83) Miami (Ohio) ( 3 - 2 - 0) 47.361 45.361 . 84) California ( 2 - 7 - 1) 47.110 52.110 . 85) South Carolina ( 3 - 6 - 1) 46.981 49.981 . 86) Boston College ( 4 - 6 - 0) 46.202 48.202 . 87) Kansas State ( 1 - 9 - 0) 46.184 56.184 . 88) Furman ( 5 - 4 - 1) 46.087 47.337 . 89) Virginia Tech ( 6 - 4 - 0) 46.042 44.042 . 90) Xavier ( 5 - 5 - 0) 45.957 48.457 . 91) Dartmouth ( 5 - 4 - 0) 45.782 45.782 . 92) North Carolina ( 3 - 7 - 0) 45.709 49.709 . 93) Boston University ( 3 - 5 - 2) 45.574 48.907 . 94) Marquette ( 3 - 6 - 0) 45.223 48.557 . 95) Richmond ( 4 - 5 - 1) 44.908 44.908 . 96) Montana ( 5 - 5 - 0) 44.832 47.332 . 97) Connecticut ( 1 - 3 - 0) 44.739 49.739 . 98) Cincinnati ( 4 - 6 - 0) 44.567 46.567 . 99) Denver ( 3 - 7 - 0) 44.528 48.528 . 100) West Texas A&M ( 3 - 7 - 0) 43.808 47.808 . 101) West Virginia ( 0 - 8 - 2) 43.672 51.672 . 102) Columbia ( 3 - 6 - 0) 43.241 46.574 . 103) Wake Forest ( 2 - 8 - 0) 42.801 48.801 . 104) Presbyterian ( 1 - 2 - 0) 42.768 46.102 . 105) Stanford ( 0 - 10 - 0) 42.602 52.602 . 106) Villanova ( 2 - 8 - 0) 42.502 48.502 . 107) Idaho ( 1 - 9 - 0) 42.404 50.404 . 108) William & Mary ( 3 - 7 - 0) 42.106 46.106 . 109) Pennsylvania ( 3 - 6 - 0) 42.090 47.090 . 110) Davidson ( 3 - 5 - 0) 41.981 45.314 . 111) Brigham Young ( 3 - 8 - 0) 41.929 47.929 . 112) Lehigh ( 2 - 2 - 0) 41.844 41.844 . 113) Colorado State ( 2 - 8 - 0) 41.778 47.778 . 114) North Texas ( 2 - 6 - 1) 41.727 46.172 . 115) Dayton ( 1 - 9 - 0) 40.903 48.403 . 116) Trinity (Texas) ( 1 - 4 - 0) 40.838 46.838 . 117) Hawaii ( 1 - 4 - 0) 40.561 46.561 . 118) Brown ( 3 - 6 - 0) 40.315 45.315 . 119) Colgate ( 2 - 7 - 0) 40.052 45.607 . 120) Bucknell ( 1 - 2 - 0) 39.899 43.232 . 121) Cornell ( 2 - 7 - 0) 39.273 44.829 . 122) Virginia ( 1 - 9 - 0) 38.600 46.600 . 123) Buffalo ( 1 - 3 - 0) 38.368 43.368 . 124) Hardin-Simmons ( 0 - 10 - 0) 37.558 47.558 . 125) Drake ( 0 - 4 - 0) 37.517 47.517 . 126) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 10 - 0) 34.971 44.971 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/19/1960 Duke 6 North Carolina 7 Upset! 10/01/1960 George Washington 9 William & Mary 19 Upset! 10/08/1960 Harvard 0 Cornell 12 Upset! 10/29/1960 Villanova 14 Rutgers 12 Upset! 10/29/1960 California 14 Oregon State 6 Upset! 11/26/1960 Air Force 16 Colorado 6 Upset! 09/17/1960 Denver 28 Wichita State 19 Upset! 11/19/1960 Southern California 17 UCLA 6 Upset! 11/12/1960 Purdue 23 Minnesota 14 Upset! 10/29/1960 Baylor 6 Texas Christian 14 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.6120 Standard deviation of fit = 6.5654 12.52 % of the games are upsets. 71 out of 567 games are upsets. 210 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 37.04 %) 376 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 66.31 %) 492 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.77 %) 545 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.12 %) 562 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.12 %) 566 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.82 %) 567 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 567 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 567 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.