TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Mississippi (10 - 1 - 0) 64.459 56.277 . 2) Louisiana State ( 9 - 2 - 0) 63.743 57.380 . 3) Syracuse (11 - 0 - 0) 62.966 52.966 . 4) Georgia (10 - 1 - 0) 62.926 54.744 . 5) Arkansas ( 9 - 2 - 0) 62.337 55.973 . 6) Texas ( 9 - 2 - 0) 62.114 55.750 . 7) Texas Christian ( 8 - 3 - 0) 61.267 56.722 . 8) Alabama ( 7 - 2 - 2) 60.280 55.735 . 9) Washington (10 - 1 - 0) 59.663 51.481 . 10) Auburn ( 7 - 3 - 0) 59.502 55.502 . 11) Southern California ( 8 - 2 - 0) 59.036 53.036 . 12) Georgia Tech ( 6 - 5 - 0) 58.720 57.811 . 13) Northwestern ( 6 - 3 - 0) 58.718 55.384 . 14) Tennessee ( 5 - 4 - 1) 58.626 57.626 . 15) Purdue ( 5 - 2 - 2) 58.465 55.132 . 16) Wisconsin ( 7 - 3 - 0) 58.189 54.189 . 17) Penn State ( 9 - 2 - 0) 58.153 51.789 . 18) Clemson ( 9 - 2 - 0) 58.006 51.643 . 19) Miami (Florida) ( 6 - 4 - 0) 57.482 55.482 . 20) Illinois ( 5 - 3 - 1) 57.458 55.236 . 21) Oklahoma ( 7 - 3 - 0) 57.346 53.346 . 22) Southern Methodist ( 5 - 4 - 1) 57.310 56.310 . 23) Vanderbilt ( 5 - 3 - 2) 57.274 56.163 . 24) Pittsburgh ( 6 - 4 - 0) 56.826 54.826 . 25) Michigan State ( 5 - 4 - 0) 56.497 55.386 . 26) Florida ( 5 - 4 - 1) 56.094 55.094 . 27) Notre Dame ( 5 - 5 - 0) 55.918 55.918 . 28) Kentucky ( 4 - 6 - 0) 55.447 57.447 . 29) Oregon ( 8 - 2 - 0) 55.440 49.440 . 30) Baylor ( 4 - 6 - 0) 55.289 57.289 . 31) Iowa ( 5 - 4 - 0) 55.114 54.003 . 32) Missouri ( 6 - 5 - 0) 54.921 54.012 . 33) UCLA ( 5 - 4 - 1) 54.859 53.859 . 34) South Carolina ( 6 - 4 - 0) 54.052 52.052 . 35) Tulane ( 3 - 6 - 1) 54.001 57.001 . 36) Indiana ( 4 - 4 - 1) 53.976 53.976 . 37) Navy ( 5 - 4 - 1) 53.767 52.767 . 38) Ohio State ( 3 - 5 - 1) 53.761 55.983 . 39) Pennsylvania ( 7 - 1 - 1) 53.740 47.490 . 40) Kansas ( 5 - 5 - 0) 53.636 53.636 . 41) Michigan ( 4 - 5 - 0) 53.549 54.660 . 42) Maryland ( 5 - 5 - 0) 53.274 53.274 . 43) Wyoming ( 9 - 1 - 0) 52.984 44.984 . 44) North Carolina ( 5 - 5 - 0) 52.963 52.963 . 45) Wake Forest ( 6 - 4 - 0) 52.831 50.831 . 46) Colorado ( 5 - 5 - 0) 52.403 52.403 . 47) Mississippi State ( 2 - 7 - 0) 52.129 59.629 . 48) Iowa State ( 7 - 3 - 0) 51.962 48.629 . 49) Rice ( 1 - 7 - 2) 51.922 57.922 . 50) Army ( 4 - 4 - 1) 51.897 51.897 . 51) Oklahoma State ( 6 - 4 - 0) 51.845 49.845 . 52) Citadel ( 9 - 1 - 0) 51.783 44.005 . 53) Washington State ( 6 - 4 - 0) 51.757 49.757 . 54) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 1 - 3 - 0) 51.740 56.740 . 55) Duke ( 4 - 6 - 0) 51.564 53.564 . 56) Texas A&M ( 3 - 7 - 0) 51.491 55.491 . 57) Memphis ( 1 - 3 - 0) 51.404 56.404 . 58) Texas Tech ( 4 - 6 - 0) 51.268 53.268 . 59) Arizona State (10 - 1 - 0) 51.134 42.952 . 60) Nebraska ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.977 52.977 . 61) Air Force ( 5 - 4 - 1) 50.884 49.884 . 62) Minnesota ( 2 - 7 - 0) 50.413 55.969 . 63) Boston College ( 5 - 4 - 0) 50.394 49.282 . 64) North Texas ( 9 - 2 - 0) 50.373 44.373 . 65) Holy Cross ( 6 - 4 - 0) 50.263 48.263 . 66) Dartmouth ( 5 - 3 - 1) 50.055 47.832 . 67) Tulsa ( 5 - 5 - 0) 50.019 50.019 . 68) Harvard ( 6 - 3 - 0) 49.226 46.726 . 69) Yale ( 6 - 3 - 0) 49.150 45.817 . 70) California ( 2 - 8 - 0) 49.071 55.071 . 71) New Mexico ( 7 - 3 - 0) 48.903 44.903 . 72) Stanford ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.805 52.805 . 73) Florida State ( 4 - 6 - 0) 48.748 52.081 . 74) Houston ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.606 52.606 . 75) New Mexico State ( 8 - 3 - 0) 48.323 45.823 . 76) Southern Mississippi ( 2 - 2 - 0) 48.304 48.304 . 77) Colorado State ( 6 - 4 - 0) 48.262 46.262 . 78) Utah ( 5 - 5 - 0) 48.211 48.211 . 79) West Virginia ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.157 52.157 . 80) Oregon State ( 3 - 7 - 0) 48.008 52.008 . 81) Detroit Mercy ( 6 - 4 - 0) 47.861 46.750 . 82) Cincinnati ( 5 - 4 - 1) 47.849 46.849 . 83) Virginia Tech ( 7 - 3 - 0) 47.815 43.815 . 84) Boston University ( 4 - 5 - 0) 47.681 50.181 . 85) Cornell ( 5 - 4 - 0) 47.532 46.420 . 86) Presbyterian ( 2 - 1 - 0) 47.439 44.106 . 87) Wofford ( 2 - 1 - 0) 47.439 44.106 . 88) Wichita State ( 5 - 4 - 1) 46.716 45.716 . 89) Rutgers ( 6 - 3 - 0) 46.313 42.027 . 90) Pacific ( 5 - 4 - 0) 46.302 45.191 . 91) Princeton ( 4 - 5 - 0) 46.010 47.121 . 92) Marquette ( 3 - 7 - 0) 45.945 51.500 . 93) San Jose State ( 4 - 6 - 0) 45.725 47.725 . 94) Hardin-Simmons ( 3 - 7 - 0) 45.014 49.014 . 95) Kansas State ( 2 - 8 - 0) 44.991 52.769 . 96) North Carolina State ( 1 - 9 - 0) 44.665 52.665 . 97) William & Mary ( 5 - 5 - 0) 44.524 44.524 . 98) Arizona ( 4 - 6 - 0) 44.356 46.356 . 99) Colgate ( 2 - 7 - 0) 43.896 49.451 . 100) Xavier ( 4 - 6 - 0) 43.882 45.310 . 101) Richmond ( 5 - 5 - 0) 43.871 43.871 . 102) Furman ( 3 - 7 - 0) 43.596 47.596 . 103) Utah State ( 5 - 6 - 0) 43.365 44.274 . 104) Virginia ( 1 - 9 - 0) 43.217 51.217 . 105) Miami (Ohio) ( 2 - 2 - 0) 43.156 43.156 . 106) Bucknell ( 1 - 2 - 0) 43.145 46.478 . 107) Columbia ( 2 - 7 - 0) 42.647 48.202 . 108) Trinity (Texas) ( 2 - 3 - 0) 42.561 44.561 . 109) Louisville ( 1 - 2 - 0) 41.967 45.300 . 110) Brigham Young ( 3 - 7 - 0) 41.661 45.661 . 111) Dayton ( 3 - 7 - 0) 41.646 44.979 . 112) Brown ( 2 - 6 - 1) 41.532 47.782 . 113) Lehigh ( 2 - 2 - 0) 41.529 41.529 . 114) Fresno State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 41.229 44.563 . 115) Texas-El Paso ( 3 - 7 - 0) 41.027 46.027 . 116) Denver ( 2 - 8 - 0) 41.007 47.007 . 117) Montana State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 40.552 43.885 . 118) Idaho ( 1 - 9 - 0) 40.514 48.514 . 119) George Washington ( 2 - 7 - 0) 40.167 45.723 . 120) Villanova ( 1 - 9 - 0) 39.247 47.025 . 121) Connecticut ( 0 - 3 - 0) 37.715 47.715 . 122) West Texas A&M ( 1 - 9 - 0) 37.556 45.556 . 123) Montana ( 1 - 8 - 0) 37.156 44.656 . 124) Davidson ( 2 - 7 - 0) 36.939 44.439 . 125) Drake ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.652 46.652 . 126) Hawaii ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.632 46.632 . 127) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 9 - 1) 35.333 45.333 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 10/03/1959 Georgia 14 South Carolina 30 Upset! 10/17/1959 Pittsburgh 15 West Virginia 23 Upset! 11/14/1959 Harvard 6 Brown 16 Upset! 09/25/1959 George Washington 18 Boston University 14 Upset! 11/21/1959 Oregon State 15 Oregon 7 Upset! 10/24/1959 New Mexico State 15 Texas-El Paso 20 Upset! 10/31/1959 Duke 10 Georgia Tech 7 Upset! 11/07/1959 Texas Tech 26 Arizona 30 Upset! 10/31/1959 Vanderbilt 6 Minnesota 20 Upset! 11/21/1959 Colorado State 13 Brigham Young 14 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.7887 Standard deviation of fit = 7.2492 15.67 % of the games are upsets. 89 out of 568 games are upsets. 185 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 32.57 %) 370 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 65.14 %) 498 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 87.68 %) 548 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.48 %) 566 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.65 %) 568 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) 568 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 568 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 568 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.