TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Army ( 9 - 0 - 1) 65.707 56.707 . 2) Notre Dame ( 8 - 0 - 1) 65.262 56.373 . 3) Illinois ( 8 - 2 - 0) 63.675 57.675 . 4) Tennessee ( 9 - 2 - 0) 63.469 57.105 . 5) Georgia (11 - 0 - 0) 62.625 52.625 . 6) Michigan ( 6 - 2 - 1) 62.340 57.895 . 7) Louisiana State ( 9 - 1 - 1) 61.988 54.715 . 8) Georgia Tech ( 9 - 2 - 0) 60.074 53.710 . 9) UCLA (10 - 1 - 0) 60.060 51.878 . 10) North Carolina ( 8 - 2 - 1) 60.052 54.598 . 11) Rice ( 9 - 2 - 0) 59.721 53.721 . 12) Indiana ( 6 - 3 - 0) 59.550 56.217 . 13) Kentucky ( 7 - 3 - 0) 59.126 55.793 . 14) Alabama ( 7 - 4 - 0) 58.941 56.941 . 15) Wake Forest ( 6 - 3 - 0) 58.613 55.280 . 16) Pennsylvania ( 6 - 2 - 0) 58.390 53.390 . 17) Mississippi State ( 8 - 2 - 0) 57.778 52.778 . 18) Cincinnati ( 3 - 2 - 0) 57.744 55.744 . 19) Yale ( 7 - 1 - 1) 57.700 51.450 . 20) Miami (Florida) ( 8 - 2 - 0) 57.661 52.105 . 21) Iowa ( 5 - 4 - 0) 57.619 57.619 . 22) Columbia ( 6 - 3 - 0) 57.559 54.226 . 23) Boston College ( 6 - 3 - 0) 57.047 53.714 . 24) Texas ( 8 - 2 - 0) 56.869 50.869 . 25) Ohio State ( 4 - 3 - 2) 56.843 55.732 . 26) Duke ( 4 - 5 - 0) 56.620 57.732 . 27) Cornell ( 5 - 3 - 1) 56.561 54.338 . 28) Tulsa ( 9 - 1 - 0) 56.353 48.353 . 29) Oregon State ( 7 - 1 - 1) 55.932 49.265 . 30) Southern California ( 6 - 4 - 0) 55.721 53.721 . 31) Vanderbilt ( 5 - 4 - 0) 55.707 55.707 . 32) Harvard ( 7 - 2 - 0) 55.477 52.144 . 33) Northwestern ( 4 - 4 - 1) 55.433 55.433 . 34) William & Mary ( 8 - 2 - 0) 55.362 49.807 . 35) Oklahoma ( 8 - 3 - 0) 55.292 50.747 . 36) North Carolina State ( 8 - 3 - 0) 55.216 50.670 . 37) Arkansas ( 6 - 3 - 2) 54.965 52.965 . 38) Minnesota ( 5 - 4 - 0) 54.840 53.729 . 39) Penn State ( 6 - 2 - 0) 54.647 49.647 . 40) Wisconsin ( 4 - 5 - 0) 54.344 55.455 . 41) Villanova ( 6 - 4 - 0) 54.261 52.261 . 42) Hardin-Simmons (11 - 0 - 0) 54.182 44.182 . 43) Rutgers ( 7 - 2 - 0) 54.107 49.107 . 44) Texas Tech ( 8 - 3 - 0) 53.968 49.422 . 45) Pittsburgh ( 3 - 5 - 1) 53.363 55.585 . 46) Michigan State ( 5 - 5 - 0) 53.047 53.047 . 47) South Carolina ( 5 - 3 - 0) 53.007 50.507 . 48) Kansas ( 7 - 2 - 1) 52.995 47.995 . 49) Holy Cross ( 5 - 4 - 0) 52.696 51.584 . 50) Washington ( 5 - 4 - 0) 52.673 51.562 . 51) St. Mary's ( 6 - 3 - 0) 52.539 50.039 . 52) Tulane ( 3 - 7 - 0) 52.506 56.506 . 53) Stanford ( 6 - 3 - 1) 52.435 49.435 . 54) Mississippi ( 2 - 7 - 0) 52.325 57.325 . 55) Richmond ( 7 - 2 - 2) 52.049 47.605 . 56) Purdue ( 2 - 6 - 1) 51.937 58.187 . 57) San Jose State ( 4 - 1 - 0) 51.559 45.559 . 58) Navy ( 1 - 8 - 0) 51.397 59.175 . 59) Princeton ( 3 - 5 - 0) 51.260 53.760 . 60) Georgetown ( 5 - 3 - 0) 51.195 49.767 . 61) Clemson ( 4 - 5 - 0) 50.983 53.483 . 62) Virginia ( 4 - 4 - 1) 50.739 50.739 . 63) Southern Methodist ( 4 - 5 - 1) 50.721 51.721 . 64) Dartmouth ( 3 - 6 - 0) 50.702 54.035 . 65) Virginia Tech ( 3 - 4 - 3) 50.642 51.642 . 66) Texas A&M ( 4 - 6 - 0) 50.624 53.958 . 67) Colgate ( 4 - 4 - 0) 50.568 50.568 . 68) Syracuse ( 4 - 5 - 0) 50.274 52.774 . 69) Temple ( 2 - 4 - 2) 50.075 52.575 . 70) Missouri ( 5 - 4 - 1) 49.937 48.937 . 71) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 5 - 5 - 0) 49.930 56.596 . 72) Detroit Mercy ( 6 - 4 - 0) 49.456 48.345 . 73) West Virginia ( 5 - 5 - 0) 49.385 51.885 . 74) Oregon ( 4 - 4 - 1) 49.267 49.267 . 75) Auburn ( 4 - 6 - 0) 49.095 52.428 . 76) Nebraska ( 3 - 6 - 0) 49.003 52.337 . 77) Oklahoma State ( 3 - 7 - 1) 48.952 52.588 . 78) Marquette ( 4 - 5 - 0) 48.890 50.001 . 79) Utah State ( 7 - 2 - 1) 48.700 44.255 . 80) Utah ( 8 - 3 - 0) 48.306 43.761 . 81) George Washington ( 4 - 3 - 0) 48.223 48.223 . 82) Texas Christian ( 2 - 7 - 1) 48.172 53.172 . 83) New York University ( 5 - 3 - 0) 48.130 48.130 . 84) Nevada ( 7 - 2 - 0) 47.998 44.665 . 85) Maryland ( 3 - 6 - 0) 47.951 52.951 . 86) California ( 2 - 7 - 0) 47.520 53.076 . 87) Bucknell ( 3 - 6 - 0) 46.887 50.221 . 88) Denver ( 5 - 5 - 1) 46.438 46.438 . 89) Brown ( 3 - 5 - 1) 46.400 53.067 . 90) Colorado ( 5 - 4 - 1) 46.382 45.382 . 91) Hawaii ( 1 - 2 - 0) 46.247 49.580 . 92) Furman ( 3 - 7 - 0) 46.157 51.713 . 93) Santa Clara ( 2 - 5 - 1) 46.024 48.881 . 94) Montana ( 4 - 4 - 0) 45.874 47.303 . 95) Florida ( 0 - 9 - 0) 45.494 55.494 . 96) Citadel ( 4 - 4 - 0) 45.359 46.788 . 97) Wichita State ( 5 - 5 - 0) 45.059 45.059 . 98) Arizona ( 4 - 4 - 2) 44.811 44.811 . 99) Washington State ( 1 - 6 - 1) 44.709 50.959 . 100) San Francisco ( 3 - 6 - 0) 44.395 47.728 . 101) Washington & Lee ( 2 - 6 - 0) 44.232 49.232 . 102) New Mexico ( 5 - 5 - 2) 43.964 43.964 . 103) West Texas A&M ( 5 - 5 - 0) 43.956 42.845 . 104) Baylor ( 1 - 8 - 0) 43.924 53.924 . 105) Brigham Young ( 5 - 4 - 1) 43.909 43.909 . 106) Davidson ( 4 - 4 - 1) 43.239 46.096 . 107) Lafayette ( 2 - 7 - 0) 43.197 50.339 . 108) Merchant Marine ( 4 - 7 - 0) 43.070 50.213 . 109) Hawaii All-Stars ( 2 - 2 - 0) 43.032 43.032 . 110) Gettysburg ( 1 - 2 - 0) 42.738 46.071 . 111) Montana State ( 5 - 3 - 2) 42.340 42.340 . 112) Iowa State ( 2 - 6 - 1) 42.206 48.456 . 113) Lehigh ( 1 - 3 - 0) 42.126 47.126 . 114) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 9 - 1) 42.093 50.982 . 115) Fordham ( 0 - 7 - 0) 41.565 51.565 . 116) Idaho ( 1 - 8 - 0) 41.074 48.574 . 117) St. Louis ( 4 - 6 - 0) 40.530 47.672 . 118) Wayne State ( 0 - 3 - 0) 40.242 50.242 . 119) Drake ( 2 - 6 - 1) 40.075 45.789 . 120) Colorado College ( 1 - 2 - 1) 39.934 42.434 . 121) Portland ( 2 - 7 - 1) 39.930 44.930 . 122) Pacific ( 0 - 3 - 0) 39.837 49.837 . 123) Newberry ( 0 - 3 - 0) 39.432 49.432 . 124) Kansas State ( 0 - 9 - 0) 38.532 48.532 . 125) Texas-El Paso ( 3 - 6 - 0) 37.967 42.967 . 126) Northern Arizona ( 5 - 2 - 2) 37.690 40.190 . 127) Hampden-Sydney ( 0 - 4 - 0) 37.565 47.565 . 128) Colorado State ( 2 - 7 - 0) 37.004 44.504 . 129) Wyoming ( 1 - 8 - 1) 36.487 44.265 . 130) Arizona State ( 2 - 7 - 2) 36.443 43.110 . 131) New Mexico State ( 5 - 5 - 0) 36.397 40.683 . 132) Northern Colorado ( 0 - 3 - 0) 28.408 38.408 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/16/1946 Texas 0 Texas Christian 14 Upset! 11/02/1946 Princeton 17 Pennsylvania 14 Upset! 10/18/1946 Tulsa 14 Detroit Mercy 20 Upset! 11/09/1946 Syracuse 14 Cornell 7 Upset! 10/19/1946 West Texas A&M 20 Texas-El Paso 26 Upset! 10/12/1946 St. Mary's 13 California 20 Upset! 10/26/1946 Wake Forest 19 Tennessee 6 Upset! 11/09/1946 Rice 0 Arkansas 7 @ Little Rock AR Upset! 10/26/1946 North Carolina State 6 Virginia Tech 14 Upset! 11/30/1946 Holy Cross 13 Boston College 6 @ Boston MA Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.5604 Standard deviation of fit = 6.3248 10.44 % of the games are upsets. 57 out of 546 games are upsets. 197 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 36.08 %) 353 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 64.65 %) 473 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.63 %) 524 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 95.97 %) 541 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.08 %) 546 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) 546 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 546 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 546 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.