TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Cornell ( 8 - 0 - 0) 63.777 53.777 . 2) Texas A&M (11 - 0 - 0) 62.481 52.481 . 3) Tulane ( 8 - 1 - 1) 61.906 54.906 . 4) Southern California ( 8 - 0 - 2) 61.457 53.457 . 5) Iowa ( 6 - 1 - 1) 60.268 54.554 . 6) Notre Dame ( 7 - 2 - 0) 60.236 54.681 . 7) Ohio State ( 6 - 2 - 0) 59.735 54.735 . 8) Georgia Tech ( 8 - 2 - 0) 59.170 53.170 . 9) San Jose State ( 3 - 0 - 0) 59.070 49.070 . 10) Princeton ( 7 - 1 - 0) 59.041 51.898 . 11) Nebraska ( 7 - 1 - 1) 59.015 52.348 . 12) Clemson ( 9 - 1 - 0) 58.797 51.019 . 13) Missouri ( 8 - 2 - 0) 58.633 52.633 . 14) Duke ( 8 - 1 - 0) 58.556 50.778 . 15) Tennessee (10 - 1 - 0) 58.383 50.383 . 16) Duquesne ( 8 - 0 - 1) 58.292 49.721 . 17) Michigan ( 6 - 2 - 0) 58.048 53.048 . 18) North Carolina ( 8 - 1 - 1) 57.792 50.792 . 19) Catholic ( 4 - 0 - 1) 57.768 49.768 . 20) UCLA ( 6 - 0 - 4) 57.667 51.667 . 21) Fordham ( 6 - 2 - 0) 57.481 53.195 . 22) Oregon State ( 9 - 1 - 1) 57.225 50.559 . 23) Santa Clara ( 5 - 1 - 3) 56.963 52.518 . 24) Oklahoma ( 6 - 2 - 1) 56.712 52.267 . 25) Boston College ( 9 - 2 - 0) 56.552 52.267 . 26) Villanova ( 6 - 2 - 0) 56.267 51.981 . 27) Southern Methodist ( 6 - 3 - 1) 55.897 53.675 . 28) Alabama ( 5 - 3 - 1) 55.895 53.673 . 29) Georgetown ( 7 - 0 - 1) 55.723 47.151 . 30) Mississippi State ( 8 - 2 - 0) 55.470 50.470 . 31) Baylor ( 7 - 3 - 0) 55.365 52.031 . 32) Penn State ( 5 - 1 - 2) 55.259 50.973 . 33) San Francisco ( 4 - 3 - 3) 54.889 50.603 . 34) Purdue ( 3 - 3 - 2) 54.572 54.572 . 35) Holy Cross ( 7 - 2 - 0) 54.572 49.572 . 36) Northwestern ( 3 - 4 - 1) 54.489 55.739 . 37) Mississippi ( 7 - 2 - 0) 54.448 50.162 . 38) Arizona State ( 8 - 2 - 1) 54.190 48.475 . 39) Minnesota ( 3 - 4 - 1) 54.060 55.310 . 40) Pittsburgh ( 5 - 4 - 0) 54.033 52.922 . 41) Kentucky ( 6 - 2 - 1) 53.798 50.941 . 42) Auburn ( 5 - 5 - 1) 53.702 54.702 . 43) Texas ( 5 - 4 - 0) 53.590 52.478 . 44) Hardin-Simmons ( 7 - 1 - 1) 53.337 48.337 . 45) Pennsylvania ( 4 - 4 - 0) 53.331 53.331 . 46) Detroit Mercy ( 5 - 3 - 1) 53.323 53.323 . 47) Indiana ( 2 - 4 - 2) 52.687 55.187 . 48) Illinois ( 3 - 4 - 1) 52.548 53.977 . 49) Syracuse ( 3 - 3 - 2) 52.151 53.580 . 50) New York University ( 5 - 4 - 0) 52.136 52.136 . 51) Wake Forest ( 7 - 3 - 0) 51.977 49.477 . 52) Oregon ( 3 - 4 - 1) 51.818 53.068 . 53) Washington (Missouri) ( 6 - 3 - 1) 51.597 47.312 . 54) Gonzaga ( 6 - 2 - 0) 51.499 47.214 . 55) Dartmouth ( 5 - 3 - 1) 51.467 50.217 . 56) Washington ( 4 - 5 - 0) 51.354 52.465 . 57) Navy ( 3 - 5 - 1) 51.130 53.352 . 58) Arkansas ( 4 - 5 - 1) 51.086 53.308 . 59) George Washington ( 5 - 3 - 0) 51.055 47.721 . 60) Louisiana State ( 4 - 5 - 0) 51.019 52.130 . 61) Washington State ( 4 - 5 - 0) 50.790 51.902 . 62) Yale ( 3 - 4 - 1) 50.708 51.958 . 63) Columbia ( 2 - 4 - 2) 50.688 53.188 . 64) Virginia ( 6 - 3 - 0) 50.243 46.910 . 65) New Mexico ( 8 - 2 - 0) 50.092 44.536 . 66) Michigan State ( 4 - 4 - 1) 50.091 52.948 . 67) Marquette ( 4 - 4 - 0) 50.049 50.049 . 68) St. Mary's ( 3 - 4 - 1) 50.012 51.440 . 69) Kansas State ( 4 - 5 - 0) 49.881 52.381 . 70) Manhattan ( 4 - 4 - 0) 49.793 53.126 . 71) Texas-El Paso ( 5 - 4 - 0) 49.471 48.043 . 72) Utah ( 6 - 1 - 2) 49.438 44.438 . 73) Florida ( 5 - 5 - 1) 49.425 51.647 . 74) Whittier ( 2 - 1 - 0) 49.317 45.983 . 75) Oklahoma State ( 5 - 4 - 1) 49.140 49.140 . 76) Georgia ( 5 - 6 - 0) 49.040 49.949 . 77) William & Mary ( 6 - 2 - 1) 48.792 45.935 . 78) Richmond ( 7 - 1 - 2) 48.783 43.783 . 79) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 6 - 1) 48.667 52.000 . 80) Virginia Tech ( 5 - 4 - 1) 48.597 47.347 . 81) Arizona ( 6 - 4 - 0) 48.569 47.457 . 82) Colgate ( 2 - 5 - 1) 48.539 54.253 . 83) Colorado ( 5 - 3 - 0) 48.328 45.828 . 84) Brown ( 5 - 3 - 1) 47.891 51.891 . 85) Texas Christian ( 3 - 7 - 0) 47.861 51.861 . 86) Wisconsin ( 1 - 6 - 1) 47.783 54.033 . 87) Harvard ( 4 - 4 - 0) 47.627 50.960 . 88) Carnegie Tech ( 3 - 5 - 0) 47.573 54.240 . 89) Army ( 3 - 4 - 2) 47.572 51.858 . 90) North Carolina State ( 2 - 8 - 0) 47.441 53.441 . 91) Furman ( 5 - 4 - 0) 47.354 46.243 . 92) Stanford ( 1 - 7 - 1) 47.329 53.996 . 93) Pacific ( 1 - 1 - 1) 47.324 47.324 . 94) South Carolina ( 3 - 6 - 1) 47.316 50.316 . 95) California ( 3 - 7 - 0) 47.220 52.775 . 96) Tulsa ( 4 - 5 - 1) 47.146 48.146 . 97) Miami (Florida) ( 5 - 5 - 0) 46.867 49.367 . 98) Sewanee ( 3 - 5 - 0) 46.755 50.089 . 99) Rutgers ( 1 - 1 - 1) 46.596 46.596 . 100) Washington & Lee ( 3 - 4 - 1) 46.476 47.726 . 101) Denver ( 5 - 3 - 1) 46.212 43.990 . 102) Loyola Marymount ( 2 - 6 - 1) 46.185 52.435 . 103) Temple ( 2 - 7 - 0) 46.168 51.723 . 104) Drake ( 5 - 5 - 0) 46.137 47.249 . 105) St. Louis ( 5 - 3 - 2) 46.115 46.115 . 106) Portland ( 1 - 3 - 0) 45.847 50.847 . 107) Texas Tech ( 5 - 5 - 1) 45.834 46.834 . 108) Kansas ( 2 - 6 - 0) 45.716 50.716 . 109) Rice ( 1 - 9 - 1) 45.696 52.696 . 110) Montana ( 3 - 6 - 0) 44.650 49.650 . 111) Rhodes ( 3 - 5 - 1) 44.442 48.192 . 112) Mercer ( 0 - 3 - 0) 44.440 54.440 . 113) Brigham Young ( 5 - 2 - 2) 44.252 42.823 . 114) Iowa State ( 2 - 7 - 0) 44.044 51.544 . 115) Creighton ( 4 - 5 - 0) 44.003 46.503 . 116) Samford ( 0 - 4 - 0) 43.744 53.744 . 117) Chicago ( 2 - 6 - 0) 43.640 53.640 . 118) Centenary ( 2 - 9 - 1) 43.518 50.518 . 119) Maryland ( 2 - 6 - 1) 43.114 47.558 . 120) Davidson ( 2 - 6 - 1) 43.069 47.514 . 121) Bucknell ( 3 - 5 - 0) 42.836 48.836 . 122) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 6 - 4) 42.835 49.502 . 123) West Virginia ( 2 - 6 - 1) 42.599 51.171 . 124) Wichita State ( 1 - 3 - 1) 42.510 46.510 . 125) Lafayette ( 0 - 3 - 0) 42.312 52.312 . 126) New Mexico State ( 3 - 6 - 0) 41.768 48.910 . 127) Idaho ( 2 - 6 - 0) 41.545 48.688 . 128) Utah State ( 3 - 4 - 1) 40.998 43.855 . 129) Washburn ( 6 - 4 - 0) 40.678 46.678 . 130) Citadel ( 3 - 8 - 0) 40.658 48.436 . 131) Colorado State ( 2 - 7 - 0) 40.249 45.249 . 132) Hampden-Sydney ( 4 - 5 - 0) 39.816 46.483 . 133) Northern Arizona ( 1 - 6 - 1) 37.575 47.575 . 134) Wyoming ( 0 - 7 - 1) 36.960 45.710 . 135) Randolph-Macon ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.497 46.497 . 136) Loyola (New Orleans) ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.324 46.324 . 137) McDaniel ( 0 - 3 - 0) 35.975 45.975 . 138) Erskine ( 0 - 3 - 0) 33.694 43.694 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 10/07/1939 Washington (Missouri) 20 Washburn 26 Upset! 10/07/1939 Utah State 16 Colorado 6 Upset! 10/28/1939 Hardin-Simmons 0 Loyola Marymount 6 Upset! 10/12/1939 Florida 7 Boston College 0 Upset! 11/18/1939 Kansas State 0 Iowa State 10 Upset! 11/04/1939 Michigan 7 Illinois 16 Upset! 11/17/1939 Southern Methodist 0 Arkansas 14 @ Little Rock AR Upset! 10/14/1939 Duke 13 Pittsburgh 14 Upset! 10/21/1939 New Mexico 7 Texas Tech 19 Upset! 11/04/1939 Portland 14 St. Mary's 12 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.2220 Standard deviation of fit = 6.1672 9.11 % of the games are upsets. 48 out of 527 games are upsets. 198 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 37.57 %) 354 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 67.17 %) 454 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.15 %) 511 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.96 %) 521 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 98.86 %) 526 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.81 %) 527 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 527 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 527 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.