TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Louisiana State ( 9 - 1 - 1) 64.565 57.565 . 2) Pittsburgh ( 8 - 1 - 1) 64.207 57.540 . 3) Minnesota ( 7 - 1 - 0) 63.525 56.025 . 4) Alabama ( 8 - 0 - 1) 63.453 54.565 . 5) Northwestern ( 7 - 1 - 0) 62.941 55.798 . 6) Duquesne ( 8 - 2 - 0) 62.818 55.318 . 7) Santa Clara ( 8 - 1 - 0) 61.715 53.938 . 8) Texas Christian ( 9 - 2 - 2) 61.715 56.715 . 9) Arkansas ( 7 - 3 - 0) 61.051 57.718 . 10) Auburn ( 7 - 2 - 2) 60.876 56.331 . 11) Fordham ( 5 - 1 - 2) 60.604 56.318 . 12) Marquette ( 7 - 2 - 0) 60.462 54.906 . 13) Tennessee ( 6 - 2 - 2) 60.316 56.983 . 14) Nebraska ( 7 - 2 - 0) 59.965 54.410 . 15) Duke ( 9 - 1 - 0) 59.781 51.781 . 16) Notre Dame ( 6 - 2 - 1) 59.652 55.208 . 17) Yale ( 7 - 1 - 0) 59.635 52.135 . 18) Washington ( 7 - 2 - 1) 59.350 54.350 . 19) Tulane ( 6 - 3 - 1) 58.853 56.631 . 20) Texas A&M ( 8 - 3 - 1) 58.813 55.177 . 21) Michigan State ( 6 - 1 - 2) 58.728 53.728 . 22) Ohio State ( 5 - 3 - 0) 58.688 56.188 . 23) Pennsylvania ( 7 - 1 - 0) 58.680 51.180 . 24) Holy Cross ( 7 - 2 - 1) 58.452 54.167 . 25) Dartmouth ( 7 - 1 - 1) 58.220 52.505 . 26) Mississippi State ( 7 - 3 - 1) 58.095 55.095 . 27) Purdue ( 5 - 2 - 1) 57.866 55.009 . 28) North Carolina ( 8 - 2 - 0) 57.840 51.840 . 29) Boston College ( 2 - 1 - 1) 57.755 55.255 . 30) George Washington ( 7 - 1 - 1) 57.497 52.497 . 31) Villanova ( 7 - 2 - 1) 57.346 52.901 . 32) Baylor ( 6 - 3 - 1) 57.235 54.235 . 33) Georgia ( 5 - 4 - 1) 56.948 55.948 . 34) Detroit Mercy ( 7 - 3 - 0) 56.672 53.338 . 35) Temple ( 6 - 3 - 2) 56.529 54.529 . 36) Southern Methodist ( 5 - 4 - 1) 56.490 57.740 . 37) North Dakota ( 2 - 1 - 0) 56.334 53.000 . 38) St. Mary's ( 6 - 3 - 1) 56.325 53.325 . 39) Southern California ( 4 - 2 - 3) 56.304 54.082 . 40) Mississippi ( 5 - 5 - 2) 55.608 56.517 . 41) Indiana ( 5 - 2 - 1) 55.475 51.725 . 42) Missouri ( 6 - 2 - 1) 55.391 51.641 . 43) Washington State ( 6 - 3 - 1) 55.374 52.374 . 44) Rice ( 5 - 7 - 0) 55.158 59.158 . 45) Illinois ( 4 - 3 - 1) 55.087 53.837 . 46) Princeton ( 4 - 2 - 2) 55.057 53.628 . 47) DePaul ( 2 - 1 - 0) 54.940 51.607 . 48) Utah State ( 7 - 0 - 1) 54.884 46.134 . 49) UCLA ( 6 - 3 - 1) 54.592 53.342 . 50) Texas ( 2 - 6 - 1) 54.443 58.888 . 51) Navy ( 6 - 3 - 0) 54.375 51.042 . 52) Iowa ( 3 - 4 - 1) 54.092 55.342 . 53) Carnegie Tech ( 2 - 6 - 0) 53.980 58.980 . 54) New York University ( 5 - 3 - 1) 53.586 53.586 . 55) Tulsa ( 5 - 2 - 2) 53.547 51.047 . 56) Manhattan ( 6 - 4 - 0) 53.395 54.823 . 57) Centenary ( 6 - 4 - 2) 53.145 54.256 . 58) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 2 - 1 - 0) 53.068 49.735 . 59) Georgia Tech ( 5 - 5 - 1) 53.053 53.053 . 60) Colgate ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.027 51.598 . 61) Montana ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.024 49.691 . 62) West Virginia ( 6 - 4 - 0) 52.986 50.486 . 63) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 5 - 1) 52.899 55.756 . 64) Georgetown ( 6 - 2 - 1) 52.802 49.944 . 65) California ( 6 - 5 - 0) 52.770 52.770 . 66) Kansas State ( 4 - 3 - 2) 52.455 52.455 . 67) Samford ( 1 - 2 - 1) 52.388 54.888 . 68) Kentucky ( 6 - 4 - 0) 52.368 51.257 . 69) Loyola (New Orleans) ( 4 - 6 - 0) 52.363 54.863 . 70) Furman ( 7 - 2 - 0) 52.236 46.681 . 71) Army ( 6 - 3 - 0) 52.017 52.017 . 72) Hardin-Simmons ( 2 - 2 - 0) 51.956 51.956 . 73) Denver ( 7 - 1 - 1) 51.567 44.901 . 74) Oklahoma ( 3 - 3 - 3) 51.438 51.438 . 75) Miami (Florida) ( 6 - 2 - 2) 51.434 48.577 . 76) Boston University ( 1 - 1 - 1) 51.317 51.317 . 77) San Francisco ( 4 - 4 - 2) 51.314 52.564 . 78) Oregon State ( 4 - 6 - 0) 51.129 54.463 . 79) Utah ( 6 - 3 - 0) 51.043 47.709 . 80) Stanford ( 2 - 5 - 2) 50.975 54.309 . 81) Gonzaga ( 5 - 3 - 0) 50.968 50.968 . 82) Clemson ( 5 - 5 - 0) 50.746 50.746 . 83) Davidson ( 5 - 4 - 0) 50.634 49.523 . 84) Texas Tech ( 5 - 4 - 1) 50.429 50.429 . 85) Michigan ( 1 - 7 - 0) 50.358 57.858 . 86) Iowa State ( 3 - 3 - 2) 50.050 51.717 . 87) Wake Forest ( 5 - 4 - 0) 49.991 48.880 . 88) Penn State ( 3 - 5 - 0) 49.816 53.149 . 89) Columbia ( 5 - 3 - 0) 49.736 48.308 . 90) Birmingham-Southern ( 1 - 2 - 0) 49.627 52.960 . 91) Harvard ( 3 - 4 - 1) 49.556 52.414 . 92) Xavier ( 1 - 2 - 0) 49.395 52.728 . 93) Arizona ( 5 - 2 - 3) 49.336 46.336 . 94) St. Louis ( 5 - 4 - 1) 49.305 49.305 . 95) Loyola Marymount ( 6 - 3 - 0) 49.280 49.280 . 96) McDaniel ( 1 - 2 - 0) 49.261 52.595 . 97) Wisconsin ( 2 - 6 - 0) 49.186 56.329 . 98) South Carolina ( 6 - 6 - 0) 49.145 49.145 . 99) Bucknell ( 4 - 4 - 1) 49.100 54.100 . 100) Cornell ( 3 - 5 - 0) 48.838 53.124 . 101) Waynesburg ( 0 - 3 - 0) 48.803 58.803 . 102) Catholic ( 1 - 2 - 0) 48.427 51.760 . 103) Colorado ( 4 - 3 - 0) 48.307 46.878 . 104) Chicago ( 2 - 5 - 1) 48.200 54.867 . 105) Florida ( 4 - 6 - 0) 48.183 50.183 . 106) Creighton ( 4 - 4 - 0) 48.016 48.016 . 107) Oregon ( 2 - 6 - 1) 47.807 52.252 . 108) Carleton ( 2 - 1 - 0) 47.507 44.174 . 109) Maryland ( 7 - 4 - 0) 47.453 45.453 . 110) San Jose State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 47.437 50.770 . 111) North Carolina State ( 3 - 7 - 0) 47.309 51.309 . 112) Idaho ( 3 - 7 - 0) 46.819 53.962 . 113) Oklahoma City ( 1 - 2 - 0) 46.810 50.143 . 114) Brown ( 3 - 7 - 0) 46.262 56.262 . 115) Rutgers ( 0 - 3 - 0) 46.093 56.093 . 116) Kansas ( 1 - 6 - 1) 46.016 52.266 . 117) Washington & Lee ( 4 - 5 - 0) 45.754 46.865 . 118) Mercer ( 3 - 6 - 1) 45.642 51.892 . 119) Washington (Missouri) ( 3 - 7 - 0) 45.172 52.672 . 120) Lafayette ( 0 - 3 - 0) 45.098 55.098 . 121) Drake ( 6 - 4 - 0) 45.035 46.464 . 122) Colorado State ( 4 - 4 - 1) 44.754 44.754 . 123) Sewanee ( 0 - 6 - 1) 44.217 54.217 . 124) Brigham Young ( 4 - 5 - 0) 44.207 45.318 . 125) Centre ( 0 - 4 - 0) 43.906 53.906 . 126) South Dakota ( 0 - 2 - 1) 43.804 50.471 . 127) Texas-El Paso ( 5 - 3 - 1) 43.761 40.903 . 128) Wichita State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 43.501 46.834 . 129) Citadel ( 4 - 6 - 0) 43.246 45.246 . 130) Portland ( 0 - 4 - 0) 42.951 52.951 . 131) Virginia Tech ( 5 - 5 - 0) 42.849 42.849 . 132) Pacific ( 0 - 3 - 0) 42.792 52.792 . 133) Oklahoma State ( 1 - 9 - 0) 42.767 50.767 . 134) Northern Colorado ( 5 - 4 - 0) 42.303 42.303 . 135) New Mexico State ( 6 - 4 - 1) 42.183 40.754 . 136) Cincinnati ( 0 - 3 - 0) 41.658 51.658 . 137) Wyoming ( 2 - 5 - 1) 41.417 45.167 . 138) Presbyterian ( 3 - 6 - 0) 41.337 44.670 . 139) Virginia ( 3 - 6 - 0) 41.330 44.663 . 140) Colorado College ( 3 - 4 - 1) 41.137 42.387 . 141) Montana State ( 3 - 5 - 0) 40.958 45.243 . 142) Washburn ( 2 - 6 - 1) 40.768 44.518 . 143) Northern Arizona ( 3 - 4 - 1) 40.754 39.087 . 144) Syracuse ( 1 - 7 - 0) 40.724 50.724 . 145) Elon ( 0 - 3 - 0) 40.187 50.187 . 146) Idaho State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 39.732 43.065 . 147) Erskine ( 4 - 5 - 0) 39.657 41.086 . 148) Arizona State ( 4 - 5 - 0) 39.280 41.780 . 149) Richmond ( 4 - 3 - 3) 38.765 38.765 . 150) Roanoke ( 1 - 1 - 1) 38.144 38.144 . 151) Western New Mexico ( 1 - 2 - 0) 37.619 40.952 . 152) New Mexico Military ( 1 - 2 - 0) 37.619 40.952 . 153) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 7 - 3) 37.022 44.022 . 154) New Mexico ( 2 - 7 - 0) 36.913 41.913 . 155) Stetson ( 0 - 3 - 0) 36.425 46.425 . 156) Grinnell ( 2 - 7 - 0) 36.126 46.126 . 157) Western State ( 1 - 6 - 0) 35.214 42.357 . 158) Wofford ( 1 - 6 - 2) 35.118 42.261 . 159) Hampden-Sydney ( 1 - 2 - 0) 34.304 37.638 . 160) Colorado Mines ( 2 - 6 - 0) 33.324 43.324 . 161) California Tech ( 0 - 3 - 0) 33.105 43.105 . 162) William & Mary ( 1 - 7 - 1) 32.818 41.568 . 163) Newberry ( 0 - 3 - 1) 32.340 39.840 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 09/26/1936 Texas Christian 0 Texas Tech 7 Upset! 10/31/1936 Villanova 0 Bucknell 6 Upset! 11/26/1936 New York University 7 Fordham 6 @ Bronx NY Upset! 10/09/1936 Wichita State 6 Texas Tech 0 Upset! 10/30/1936 Duquesne 7 Detroit Mercy 14 Upset! 11/21/1936 Texas A&M 0 Centenary 3 Upset! 11/07/1936 Notre Dame 0 Navy 3 @ Baltimore MD Upset! 10/17/1936 Furman 0 North Carolina State 27 Upset! 10/17/1936 New Mexico State 6 New Mexico Military 13 Upset! 11/14/1936 Arizona State 19 Texas-El Paso 0 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.2256 Standard deviation of fit = 6.2475 9.93 % of the games are upsets. 59 out of 594 games are upsets. 231 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 38.89 %) 400 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 67.34 %) 523 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 88.05 %) 566 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 95.29 %) 588 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 98.99 %) 593 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.83 %) 594 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 594 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 594 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.