TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Washington & Jefferson ( 7 - 1 - 1) 66.997 60.330 . 2) Stanford (10 - 0 - 1) 65.136 56.803 . 3) Michigan ( 7 - 1 - 0) 64.954 57.454 . 4) Navy ( 9 - 0 - 1) 64.693 55.943 . 5) Notre Dame ( 9 - 1 - 0) 63.936 56.158 . 6) Carnegie Tech ( 7 - 2 - 0) 63.665 61.665 . 7) Southern California ( 8 - 2 - 0) 62.427 57.427 . 8) Washington State ( 6 - 1 - 0) 62.423 55.280 . 9) Oregon State ( 7 - 1 - 0) 61.875 54.732 . 10) Washington ( 8 - 2 - 0) 61.296 57.962 . 11) Pittsburgh ( 5 - 2 - 2) 61.233 57.900 . 12) Northwestern ( 7 - 1 - 0) 60.205 53.538 . 13) Ohio State ( 7 - 1 - 0) 60.135 54.135 . 14) Southern Methodist ( 8 - 0 - 1) 60.066 51.316 . 15) New York University ( 2 - 1 - 0) 60.065 56.732 . 16) Alabama ( 9 - 0 - 1) 59.817 50.928 . 17) Nebraska ( 6 - 2 - 0) 59.590 54.590 . 18) Army ( 7 - 1 - 1) 59.263 55.263 . 19) Vanderbilt ( 8 - 1 - 0) 58.766 52.099 . 20) Missouri ( 5 - 1 - 2) 58.551 53.551 . 21) Brown ( 9 - 0 - 1) 58.354 50.854 . 22) Minnesota ( 5 - 3 - 0) 57.648 57.648 . 23) Illinois ( 6 - 2 - 0) 57.488 54.155 . 24) Grinnell ( 6 - 1 - 1) 57.014 52.014 . 25) Wisconsin ( 5 - 2 - 1) 56.761 53.904 . 26) Purdue ( 5 - 2 - 1) 56.652 54.985 . 27) Georgetown ( 1 - 2 - 1) 56.456 58.956 . 28) Texas Christian ( 6 - 1 - 2) 56.449 53.116 . 29) Princeton ( 5 - 1 - 1) 56.125 53.625 . 30) West Virginia ( 6 - 4 - 0) 56.092 57.521 . 31) Baylor ( 6 - 3 - 1) 55.915 50.201 . 32) Colgate ( 5 - 2 - 2) 55.647 57.647 . 33) Tennessee ( 8 - 1 - 0) 55.428 48.285 . 34) Marquette ( 2 - 2 - 0) 55.261 55.261 . 35) Oklahoma ( 5 - 2 - 1) 55.202 52.345 . 36) Pennsylvania ( 7 - 1 - 1) 55.192 50.192 . 37) Oklahoma State ( 3 - 4 - 1) 55.110 55.110 . 38) Kansas State ( 5 - 3 - 0) 55.098 53.669 . 39) Gonzaga ( 1 - 2 - 0) 54.777 58.110 . 40) Iowa State ( 4 - 3 - 1) 54.752 54.752 . 41) Oregon ( 2 - 4 - 1) 54.661 60.661 . 42) Syracuse ( 7 - 2 - 1) 53.806 50.949 . 43) Idaho ( 3 - 4 - 1) 53.391 56.248 . 44) Cornell ( 6 - 1 - 1) 53.299 50.799 . 45) Furman ( 8 - 1 - 1) 53.272 46.272 . 46) California ( 3 - 6 - 0) 52.573 59.240 . 47) Georgia ( 5 - 4 - 0) 52.177 51.066 . 48) Louisiana State ( 6 - 3 - 0) 51.969 50.541 . 49) Indiana ( 3 - 5 - 0) 51.629 55.915 . 50) Yale ( 4 - 4 - 0) 51.341 51.341 . 51) Oglethorpe ( 2 - 2 - 0) 51.241 51.241 . 52) Drake ( 2 - 6 - 0) 51.196 56.196 . 53) Texas A&M ( 5 - 3 - 1) 51.168 49.918 . 54) Texas ( 5 - 4 - 0) 51.123 52.552 . 55) Citadel ( 7 - 3 - 0) 50.952 45.952 . 56) Georgia Tech ( 4 - 5 - 0) 50.852 51.963 . 57) Columbia ( 6 - 3 - 0) 50.848 50.848 . 58) Arkansas ( 5 - 5 - 0) 50.699 52.127 . 59) Albertson ( 1 - 2 - 0) 50.374 53.708 . 60) Michigan State ( 3 - 4 - 1) 50.150 55.150 . 61) Santa Clara ( 0 - 3 - 0) 50.045 60.045 . 62) Montana ( 3 - 5 - 0) 50.034 56.700 . 63) Presbyterian ( 7 - 2 - 0) 49.889 44.333 . 64) Utah ( 7 - 0 - 0) 49.552 39.552 . 65) Harvard ( 3 - 5 - 0) 49.420 51.420 . 66) Chicago ( 2 - 6 - 0) 49.362 54.362 . 67) Kansas ( 2 - 6 - 0) 49.059 56.202 . 68) Washington & Lee ( 4 - 3 - 2) 49.046 49.046 . 69) Virginia ( 6 - 2 - 2) 48.620 46.120 . 70) Penn State ( 5 - 4 - 0) 48.542 58.542 . 71) Mississippi State ( 5 - 4 - 0) 48.518 51.851 . 72) Iowa ( 3 - 5 - 0) 48.022 54.688 . 73) Davidson ( 8 - 1 - 1) 47.337 40.337 . 74) Wabash ( 0 - 3 - 0) 47.263 57.263 . 75) Mercer ( 1 - 2 - 1) 47.254 49.754 . 76) Richmond ( 1 - 1 - 1) 47.252 47.252 . 77) Virginia Tech ( 5 - 3 - 1) 47.091 45.841 . 78) Auburn ( 5 - 4 - 0) 47.058 48.487 . 79) Dartmouth ( 4 - 4 - 0) 47.007 50.340 . 80) Tulane ( 3 - 5 - 1) 46.942 50.692 . 81) Washington (Missouri) ( 1 - 7 - 0) 46.703 56.703 . 82) Centre ( 1 - 3 - 0) 46.699 51.699 . 83) Hampden-Sydney ( 1 - 1 - 2) 46.416 46.416 . 84) South Carolina ( 6 - 4 - 0) 45.985 43.985 . 85) Maryland ( 5 - 4 - 1) 45.848 47.098 . 86) Rice ( 4 - 4 - 1) 45.839 50.839 . 87) Trinity (Texas) ( 0 - 3 - 1) 45.747 53.247 . 88) Centenary ( 0 - 3 - 0) 45.738 55.738 . 89) Mississippi ( 5 - 4 - 0) 45.323 48.656 . 90) Montana State ( 4 - 2 - 1) 45.309 42.452 . 91) Kentucky ( 3 - 5 - 1) 45.126 48.876 . 92) William & Mary ( 1 - 3 - 0) 44.272 49.272 . 93) Colorado State ( 6 - 2 - 1) 44.262 39.262 . 94) North Carolina ( 4 - 5 - 0) 43.719 44.831 . 95) Sewanee ( 2 - 6 - 0) 43.196 53.196 . 96) Utah State ( 5 - 1 - 2) 43.030 38.744 . 97) Newberry ( 1 - 3 - 0) 43.015 48.015 . 98) Wake Forest ( 5 - 4 - 1) 43.014 42.014 . 99) Florida ( 2 - 6 - 2) 42.615 48.170 . 100) Boston University ( 0 - 3 - 0) 42.537 52.537 . 101) Johns Hopkins ( 0 - 3 - 0) 41.615 51.615 . 102) Southwestern (Texas) ( 0 - 4 - 0) 41.011 51.011 . 103) Colorado College ( 5 - 2 - 0) 40.678 36.392 . 104) North Carolina State ( 4 - 5 - 1) 40.181 42.403 . 105) Regis ( 2 - 1 - 0) 40.005 36.671 . 106) Clemson ( 2 - 7 - 0) 39.012 44.568 . 107) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 7 - 3) 38.681 45.347 . 108) Denver ( 4 - 4 - 0) 38.386 38.386 . 109) Duke ( 3 - 6 - 0) 38.382 41.715 . 110) Wofford ( 2 - 7 - 1) 37.947 42.947 . 111) Colorado ( 3 - 5 - 1) 36.229 39.979 . 112) Northern Colorado ( 6 - 4 - 0) 35.893 37.321 . 113) Brigham Young ( 1 - 5 - 1) 35.855 40.855 . 114) Wyoming ( 2 - 4 - 2) 35.389 38.722 . 115) Erskine ( 0 - 4 - 0) 33.208 43.208 . 116) Guilford ( 0 - 3 - 0) 32.911 42.911 . 117) Elon ( 0 - 4 - 0) 32.228 42.228 . 118) Colorado Mines ( 1 - 6 - 0) 30.362 37.505 . 119) Western State ( 0 - 8 - 0) 27.085 37.085 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/11/1926 Oklahoma 9 Kansas 10 Upset! 11/06/1926 Maryland 15 Yale 0 Upset! 11/19/1926 Arkansas 24 Oklahoma State 2 Upset! 11/06/1926 Carnegie Tech 0 New York University 6 Upset! 10/23/1926 Louisiana State 6 Mississippi State 7 @ Jackson MS Upset! 11/06/1926 Missouri 7 Oklahoma 10 Upset! 11/25/1926 Mississippi 7 Mississippi State 6 Upset! 11/27/1926 Wake Forest 3 North Carolina State 7 Upset! 10/02/1926 Davidson 3 Presbyterian 0 Upset! 10/30/1926 Cornell 9 Columbia 17 @ New York NY Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.2042 Standard deviation of fit = 5.7304 9.02 % of the games are upsets. 34 out of 377 games are upsets. 151 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 40.05 %) 253 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 67.11 %) 323 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 85.68 %) 363 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.29 %) 374 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.20 %) 377 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) 377 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 377 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 377 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.