TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Dartmouth ( 8 - 0 - 0) 65.126 55.126 . 2) Pittsburgh ( 8 - 1 - 0) 63.400 55.900 . 3) Alabama (10 - 0 - 0) 63.037 53.037 . 4) Colgate ( 7 - 0 - 2) 62.682 56.682 . 5) West Virginia ( 8 - 1 - 0) 61.982 56.982 . 6) Michigan ( 7 - 1 - 0) 61.673 54.173 . 7) Lafayette ( 1 - 1 - 1) 61.212 61.212 . 8) Missouri ( 6 - 1 - 1) 61.200 55.486 . 9) Princeton ( 5 - 1 - 1) 61.193 57.193 . 10) Stanford ( 7 - 2 - 0) 60.499 53.832 . 11) Washington (10 - 1 - 1) 60.377 54.127 . 12) Pennsylvania ( 7 - 2 - 0) 60.375 57.042 . 13) Wisconsin ( 6 - 1 - 1) 59.985 54.270 . 14) Nebraska ( 4 - 2 - 2) 59.942 57.442 . 15) Tulane ( 9 - 0 - 1) 59.737 51.166 . 16) Syracuse ( 8 - 1 - 1) 58.876 52.876 . 17) Notre Dame ( 7 - 2 - 1) 58.454 54.704 . 18) Illinois ( 5 - 3 - 0) 57.877 56.449 . 19) Yale ( 5 - 2 - 1) 57.872 55.015 . 20) Minnesota ( 5 - 2 - 1) 57.750 56.083 . 21) Kansas State ( 5 - 2 - 1) 57.612 54.755 . 22) Washington & Jefferson ( 6 - 2 - 1) 57.555 60.055 . 23) Harvard ( 4 - 3 - 1) 57.401 57.401 . 24) Southern California (11 - 2 - 0) 57.334 51.778 . 25) Georgia Tech ( 6 - 2 - 1) 57.279 52.835 . 26) Drake ( 5 - 3 - 0) 56.644 54.144 . 27) Iowa ( 5 - 3 - 0) 56.178 53.678 . 28) Oregon State ( 7 - 2 - 0) 55.869 51.584 . 29) Cornell ( 6 - 2 - 0) 55.748 59.081 . 30) Texas A&M ( 7 - 1 - 1) 55.673 49.423 . 31) Oklahoma ( 4 - 3 - 1) 55.669 54.419 . 32) Army ( 7 - 2 - 0) 55.488 53.488 . 33) California ( 6 - 3 - 0) 55.435 53.435 . 34) Iowa State ( 4 - 3 - 1) 55.238 55.238 . 35) Chicago ( 3 - 4 - 1) 54.663 55.913 . 36) Florida ( 8 - 2 - 0) 54.447 48.891 . 37) Northwestern ( 5 - 3 - 0) 54.346 54.346 . 38) Navy ( 5 - 2 - 1) 54.274 54.274 . 39) Washington & Lee ( 5 - 5 - 0) 53.734 53.734 . 40) Carnegie Tech ( 5 - 2 - 1) 53.627 56.127 . 41) North Carolina ( 7 - 1 - 1) 53.552 46.885 . 42) Southern Methodist ( 5 - 2 - 2) 53.465 52.036 . 43) Penn State ( 4 - 4 - 1) 53.238 58.238 . 44) Ohio State ( 4 - 3 - 1) 53.121 54.788 . 45) Trinity (Texas) ( 2 - 1 - 0) 52.826 49.493 . 46) Virginia ( 7 - 1 - 1) 52.764 46.097 . 47) Texas ( 6 - 2 - 1) 52.736 48.292 . 48) Brown ( 5 - 4 - 1) 52.691 60.691 . 49) Georgia ( 4 - 5 - 0) 52.623 53.734 . 50) Vanderbilt ( 6 - 3 - 0) 52.568 51.139 . 51) Gonzaga ( 7 - 2 - 2) 52.537 50.537 . 52) Washington State ( 3 - 4 - 1) 52.319 53.986 . 53) Auburn ( 5 - 3 - 1) 51.918 51.918 . 54) Colorado State ( 9 - 1 - 0) 51.823 41.823 . 55) Texas Christian ( 7 - 1 - 1) 51.747 49.247 . 56) Columbia ( 6 - 3 - 1) 51.742 53.742 . 57) Kansas ( 2 - 5 - 1) 51.701 55.451 . 58) Kentucky ( 6 - 3 - 0) 51.515 49.015 . 59) Utah ( 6 - 2 - 0) 51.343 46.343 . 60) Utah State ( 6 - 1 - 0) 51.228 44.085 . 61) Grinnell ( 3 - 3 - 2) 51.020 52.687 . 62) Tennessee ( 5 - 2 - 1) 50.718 49.051 . 63) Furman ( 7 - 3 - 0) 50.666 46.666 . 64) William & Mary ( 7 - 4 - 0) 50.125 48.696 . 65) Wake Forest ( 6 - 2 - 1) 50.115 46.365 . 66) Sewanee ( 4 - 4 - 1) 50.056 52.913 . 67) Louisiana State ( 5 - 3 - 1) 49.880 53.880 . 68) Michigan State ( 3 - 5 - 0) 49.437 55.437 . 69) Montana ( 3 - 4 - 1) 49.303 50.553 . 70) Wabash ( 1 - 3 - 0) 49.190 54.190 . 71) Arkansas ( 4 - 4 - 1) 49.066 50.733 . 72) Idaho ( 3 - 5 - 0) 48.931 52.264 . 73) Oglethorpe ( 8 - 3 - 0) 48.809 43.809 . 74) Roanoke ( 3 - 1 - 1) 48.611 44.611 . 75) Virginia Tech ( 5 - 3 - 2) 48.598 46.598 . 76) Washington (Missouri) ( 2 - 5 - 1) 48.503 54.217 . 77) Mississippi State ( 3 - 4 - 1) 48.116 54.116 . 78) Davidson ( 6 - 2 - 2) 47.978 43.978 . 79) Santa Clara ( 0 - 3 - 0) 47.756 57.756 . 80) South Carolina ( 7 - 3 - 0) 47.551 43.551 . 81) North Carolina State ( 4 - 4 - 1) 47.440 47.440 . 82) Colorado ( 6 - 3 - 0) 46.857 42.572 . 83) Rice ( 4 - 4 - 1) 46.842 49.699 . 84) Mercer ( 4 - 5 - 0) 46.788 47.900 . 85) Indiana ( 3 - 4 - 1) 46.594 54.594 . 86) Oklahoma State ( 2 - 5 - 1) 46.284 51.284 . 87) Whitman ( 0 - 3 - 0) 46.261 56.261 . 88) Oregon ( 1 - 5 - 1) 46.222 56.222 . 89) Brigham Young ( 3 - 3 - 0) 45.972 45.972 . 90) Baylor ( 3 - 5 - 2) 45.963 53.106 . 91) Johns Hopkins ( 1 - 3 - 0) 45.477 50.477 . 92) Maryland ( 3 - 5 - 0) 45.333 51.999 . 93) Tennessee-Chattanooga ( 1 - 2 - 0) 45.218 48.551 . 94) St. Louis ( 0 - 3 - 0) 45.097 55.097 . 95) Purdue ( 3 - 4 - 1) 44.956 52.956 . 96) Wyoming ( 6 - 3 - 0) 44.935 42.435 . 97) Citadel ( 6 - 4 - 0) 44.303 43.192 . 98) Arizona ( 0 - 3 - 0) 43.804 53.804 . 99) Duke ( 4 - 5 - 0) 43.578 44.689 . 100) Newberry ( 5 - 3 - 0) 43.285 41.285 . 101) Colorado College ( 5 - 4 - 1) 43.154 42.042 . 102) Marquette ( 0 - 3 - 0) 42.892 52.892 . 103) Mississippi ( 5 - 5 - 0) 42.643 52.643 . 104) Hampden-Sydney ( 3 - 5 - 1) 42.478 44.700 . 105) Southwestern (Texas) ( 0 - 3 - 0) 41.751 51.751 . 106) Richmond ( 3 - 6 - 0) 41.434 44.767 . 107) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 7 - 3) 40.421 48.199 . 108) Presbyterian ( 3 - 6 - 0) 40.393 43.727 . 109) Montana State ( 6 - 5 - 0) 40.161 44.446 . 110) Clemson ( 1 - 7 - 0) 39.886 47.386 . 111) Centre ( 3 - 6 - 0) 39.606 49.606 . 112) Regis ( 1 - 3 - 0) 38.961 43.961 . 113) Rollins ( 0 - 4 - 0) 38.587 48.587 . 114) Wofford ( 3 - 6 - 1) 38.296 42.741 . 115) Western State ( 3 - 4 - 0) 38.126 41.459 . 116) Denver ( 1 - 6 - 0) 37.463 44.606 . 117) Guilford ( 0 - 3 - 0) 37.224 47.224 . 118) Montana Tech ( 0 - 3 - 0) 36.897 46.897 . 119) Randolph-Macon ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.700 46.700 . 120) Elon ( 0 - 4 - 0) 36.037 46.037 . 121) Colorado Mines ( 2 - 7 - 0) 35.932 41.487 . 122) Lynchburg ( 0 - 3 - 1) 35.733 43.233 . 123) Erskine ( 0 - 5 - 0) 32.766 42.766 . 124) Northern Colorado ( 2 - 6 - 1) 31.905 41.905 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/21/1925 Missouri 7 Kansas 10 Upset! 11/07/1925 Michigan 2 Northwestern 3 @ Chicago IL Upset! 10/24/1925 Texas Christian 7 Oklahoma State 22 Upset! 11/28/1925 Washington State 17 Southern California 12 Upset! 11/14/1925 Clemson 6 Citadel 0 Upset! 11/07/1925 Texas A&M 0 Texas Christian 3 Upset! 11/07/1925 Furman 0 Mercer 17 Upset! 11/14/1925 Columbia 21 Army 7 @ New York NY Upset! 10/24/1925 Washington & Jefferson 7 Lafayette 6 @ New York NY Upset! 09/26/1925 Wake Forest 6 North Carolina 0 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.2231 Standard deviation of fit = 6.0413 9.77 % of the games are upsets. 39 out of 399 games are upsets. 151 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 37.84 %) 271 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 67.92 %) 346 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.72 %) 378 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 94.74 %) 396 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.25 %) 398 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.75 %) 399 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 399 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 399 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.