TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Minnesota ( 6 - 0 - 1) 71.304 62.971 . 2) Chicago ( 6 - 1 - 0) 67.186 60.043 . 3) Wisconsin ( 5 - 1 - 1) 65.980 61.980 . 4) Oklahoma ( 3 - 0 - 0) 63.094 53.094 . 5) Carlisle (11 - 1 - 0) 62.200 54.422 . 6) Penn State ( 8 - 0 - 1) 62.044 53.473 . 7) Iowa State ( 6 - 1 - 1) 61.977 57.977 . 8) Nebraska ( 5 - 1 - 2) 61.403 58.070 . 9) Illinois ( 4 - 2 - 1) 61.282 59.616 . 10) Navy ( 6 - 0 - 3) 61.041 53.898 . 11) Colorado ( 6 - 0 - 0) 60.837 50.837 . 12) Iowa ( 3 - 4 - 0) 59.998 61.998 . 13) Princeton ( 8 - 0 - 2) 59.789 52.646 . 14) Michigan ( 5 - 1 - 2) 59.158 57.158 . 15) Army ( 6 - 1 - 1) 58.753 53.039 . 16) Cornell ( 7 - 3 - 0) 58.289 56.861 . 17) Georgetown ( 7 - 1 - 1) 58.149 54.149 . 18) Lafayette ( 8 - 2 - 0) 58.141 52.586 . 19) Yale ( 7 - 2 - 1) 57.727 53.977 . 20) Swarthmore ( 2 - 1 - 0) 56.854 53.521 . 21) Utah ( 5 - 1 - 1) 56.551 52.551 . 22) Pennsylvania ( 7 - 4 - 0) 56.342 54.342 . 23) Harvard ( 6 - 2 - 1) 56.275 56.275 . 24) Colorado College ( 4 - 3 - 0) 55.980 55.980 . 25) Syracuse ( 5 - 3 - 2) 55.800 54.371 . 26) St. Louis ( 1 - 1 - 1) 55.760 55.760 . 27) Northwestern ( 3 - 4 - 0) 55.432 61.432 . 28) Purdue ( 3 - 4 - 0) 55.295 60.295 . 29) Denver ( 5 - 2 - 1) 54.837 50.837 . 30) Kansas ( 4 - 2 - 2) 54.576 54.576 . 31) Texas ( 5 - 2 - 0) 54.508 50.222 . 32) Vanderbilt ( 8 - 1 - 0) 53.954 47.954 . 33) Pittsburgh ( 4 - 3 - 1) 53.750 55.750 . 34) Brown ( 7 - 3 - 1) 53.727 55.727 . 35) Texas A&M ( 6 - 1 - 0) 53.119 47.119 . 36) Virginia ( 8 - 2 - 0) 52.918 47.918 . 37) Indiana ( 3 - 3 - 1) 52.716 56.716 . 38) Georgia ( 7 - 1 - 1) 52.544 46.294 . 39) Kansas State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 51.206 54.540 . 40) North Carolina State ( 6 - 2 - 0) 50.752 45.752 . 41) Auburn ( 4 - 2 - 1) 50.699 47.842 . 42) Wyoming ( 4 - 3 - 1) 50.551 52.551 . 43) Missouri ( 2 - 4 - 2) 50.199 56.866 . 44) Washington & Jefferson ( 6 - 4 - 0) 49.859 54.859 . 45) Virginia Tech ( 6 - 1 - 2) 49.858 45.572 . 46) North Carolina ( 6 - 1 - 1) 49.801 44.086 . 47) Sewanee ( 6 - 3 - 1) 49.774 49.774 . 48) Colgate ( 3 - 6 - 0) 49.687 56.354 . 49) Lehigh ( 5 - 5 - 1) 49.503 55.218 . 50) Bucknell ( 6 - 3 - 1) 49.072 50.739 . 51) Dickinson ( 0 - 3 - 0) 48.894 58.894 . 52) Gettysburg ( 0 - 3 - 0) 48.842 58.842 . 53) Johns Hopkins ( 0 - 3 - 0) 48.720 58.720 . 54) Georgia Tech ( 6 - 2 - 1) 48.417 44.667 . 55) Holy Cross ( 0 - 3 - 0) 47.930 57.930 . 56) Arkansas ( 6 - 2 - 1) 47.639 47.639 . 57) St. John's (Maryland) ( 0 - 3 - 0) 47.369 57.369 . 58) Colorado Mines ( 2 - 5 - 0) 47.123 53.789 . 59) Drake ( 5 - 2 - 1) 46.979 53.645 . 60) Alabama ( 5 - 2 - 2) 46.503 44.003 . 61) Villanova ( 0 - 5 - 1) 46.357 56.357 . 62) Vermont ( 0 - 3 - 0) 46.094 56.094 . 63) Southwestern (Texas) ( 2 - 2 - 2) 45.799 47.799 . 64) Ursinus ( 0 - 3 - 1) 45.765 53.265 . 65) Florida ( 5 - 0 - 1) 45.579 38.079 . 66) Washington & Lee ( 4 - 2 - 2) 45.513 44.084 . 67) Mississippi State ( 7 - 2 - 1) 44.500 40.055 . 68) Washington (Missouri) ( 4 - 2 - 2) 44.383 49.383 . 69) Colorado State ( 0 - 6 - 0) 43.980 53.980 . 70) Davidson ( 5 - 2 - 1) 43.357 41.690 . 71) Mississippi ( 6 - 3 - 0) 43.158 41.730 . 72) Tulane ( 5 - 3 - 1) 42.717 41.467 . 73) Virginia Military Institu ( 0 - 2 - 1) 42.342 49.009 . 74) Louisiana State ( 6 - 3 - 0) 42.299 42.299 . 75) Clemson ( 3 - 5 - 0) 41.532 44.032 . 76) Rochester ( 0 - 3 - 0) 41.520 51.520 . 77) Baylor ( 3 - 4 - 2) 41.431 48.931 . 78) Wake Forest ( 3 - 5 - 0) 40.681 44.967 . 79) Tennessee ( 3 - 4 - 2) 40.431 45.431 . 80) Mercer ( 4 - 5 - 1) 40.272 44.557 . 81) Citadel ( 5 - 2 - 2) 39.968 38.302 . 82) Hampden-Sydney ( 0 - 3 - 0) 39.429 49.429 . 83) South Carolina ( 1 - 4 - 2) 39.199 43.485 . 84) USS Franklin ( 0 - 3 - 0) 37.078 47.078 . 85) Louisiana Tech ( 1 - 2 - 0) 35.861 39.194 . 86) Samford ( 1 - 6 - 1) 35.582 42.725 . 87) Roanoke ( 0 - 3 - 0) 35.351 45.351 . 88) Birmingham ( 0 - 4 - 0) 35.135 45.135 . 89) Rhodes ( 0 - 3 - 0) 32.696 42.696 . 90) Mississippi College ( 1 - 5 - 0) 31.707 41.707 . 91) Charleston ( 0 - 5 - 0) 31.614 41.614 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/18/1911 Carlisle 11 Syracuse 12 Upset! 11/02/1911 Sewanee 6 Texas 5 Upset! 10/21/1911 Brown 6 Pennsylvania 0 Upset! 11/30/1911 Cornell 9 Pennsylvania 21 Upset! 11/11/1911 Lafayette 6 Pennsylvania 23 Upset! 11/20/1911 Tulane 5 Mississippi State 4 Upset! 11/11/1911 Sewanee 0 Georgia Tech 23 Upset! 11/18/1911 Clemson 6 Mercer 20 @ Columbus GA Upset! 11/30/1911 North Carolina State 0 Virginia Tech 3 @ Norfolk VA Upset! 11/11/1911 Michigan 0 Cornell 6 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 8.9200 Standard deviation of fit = 4.9935 5.20 % of the games are upsets. 13 out of 250 games are upsets. 113 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 45.20 %) 168 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 67.20 %) 215 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.00 %) 237 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 94.80 %) 247 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 98.80 %) 249 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.60 %) 250 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 250 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 250 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.