TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Princeton (11 - 0 - 0) 71.153 61.153 . 2) Dartmouth ( 9 - 1 - 0) 70.533 62.533 . 3) Columbia ( 9 - 1 - 0) 69.086 61.309 . 4) Yale (11 - 1 - 0) 69.013 60.680 . 5) Harvard ( 9 - 3 - 0) 66.419 61.419 . 6) Holy Cross ( 8 - 2 - 0) 66.027 60.027 . 7) Amherst ( 7 - 3 - 0) 64.827 61.494 . 8) Pennsylvania ( 9 - 3 - 0) 64.332 59.332 . 9) Carlisle (11 - 2 - 1) 62.585 56.751 . 10) Lehigh ( 9 - 2 - 1) 62.548 57.094 . 11) Brown ( 5 - 4 - 1) 62.314 61.314 . 12) Army ( 6 - 2 - 1) 62.271 57.826 . 13) Williams ( 6 - 4 - 1) 62.013 61.013 . 14) Cornell ( 6 - 3 - 1) 61.543 63.210 . 15) Minnesota (14 - 0 - 1) 60.807 52.057 . 16) Massachusetts ( 5 - 4 - 0) 60.793 60.793 . 17) Nebraska (11 - 0 - 0) 59.579 49.579 . 18) Michigan (11 - 0 - 1) 59.318 50.568 . 19) Wesleyan ( 3 - 6 - 1) 58.343 61.343 . 20) Union (New York) ( 0 - 3 - 0) 58.149 68.149 . 21) Swarthmore ( 6 - 4 - 0) 58.007 56.896 . 22) Georgetown ( 7 - 3 - 0) 57.774 55.274 . 23) Lafayette ( 7 - 3 - 0) 57.588 55.088 . 24) Dickinson ( 7 - 5 - 0) 57.478 55.478 . 25) Penn State ( 5 - 3 - 0) 57.464 59.464 . 26) Exeter ( 1 - 1 - 0) 57.375 57.375 . 27) Tufts ( 5 - 9 - 0) 57.375 59.041 . 28) Springfield ( 0 - 3 - 1) 57.037 64.537 . 29) Chicago (12 - 2 - 1) 57.015 50.348 . 30) Bucknell ( 4 - 5 - 0) 56.863 59.363 . 31) Watertown ( 1 - 1 - 0) 56.863 56.863 . 32) Washburn ( 2 - 0 - 0) 56.809 46.809 . 33) Iowa State ( 8 - 1 - 0) 56.434 48.934 . 34) Virginia Tech ( 5 - 1 - 0) 56.066 49.400 . 35) Transylvania ( 2 - 1 - 0) 55.968 52.635 . 36) Bowdoin ( 0 - 2 - 0) 55.623 65.623 . 37) Virginia ( 7 - 2 - 1) 55.599 51.849 . 38) Hamilton ( 0 - 2 - 0) 55.550 65.550 . 39) Iowa ( 9 - 2 - 0) 55.426 49.063 . 40) Vermont ( 4 - 5 - 0) 55.290 57.790 . 41) Colgate ( 0 - 2 - 1) 55.276 61.942 . 42) Northwestern (10 - 1 - 3) 54.653 48.290 . 43) Washington & Jefferson ( 1 - 1 - 0) 54.653 54.653 . 44) Syracuse ( 0 - 3 - 0) 54.447 64.447 . 45) Gettysburg ( 0 - 4 - 0) 53.914 63.914 . 46) Colby ( 0 - 2 - 0) 53.570 63.570 . 47) Haskell ( 7 - 2 - 0) 53.289 49.003 . 48) Maine ( 0 - 3 - 0) 53.273 63.273 . 49) Trinity (Connecticut) ( 0 - 4 - 0) 53.244 63.244 . 50) North Carolina ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.072 51.643 . 51) Wisconsin ( 6 - 3 - 1) 52.454 49.454 . 52) Purdue ( 4 - 2 - 0) 51.909 48.576 . 53) Bates ( 0 - 2 - 0) 51.897 61.897 . 54) Colorado ( 8 - 2 - 0) 51.852 46.296 . 55) Navy ( 4 - 7 - 1) 51.842 55.479 . 56) Worcester Tech ( 0 - 2 - 0) 51.701 61.701 . 57) Drake ( 5 - 3 - 0) 51.645 50.217 . 58) Colorado State ( 6 - 1 - 0) 51.217 44.550 . 59) Haverford ( 0 - 2 - 0) 51.170 61.170 . 60) Kansas ( 6 - 3 - 0) 51.135 49.706 . 61) Illinois ( 8 - 6 - 0) 51.090 49.661 . 62) Manhattan ( 0 - 3 - 0) 50.731 60.731 . 63) Franklin & Marshall ( 0 - 4 - 0) 50.600 60.600 . 64) Wabash ( 1 - 1 - 0) 50.572 50.572 . 65) Vanderbilt ( 6 - 1 - 1) 50.335 44.621 . 66) Susquehanna ( 0 - 2 - 0) 50.068 60.068 . 67) Albright ( 0 - 2 - 0) 50.013 60.013 . 68) Grinnell ( 5 - 4 - 0) 49.794 49.794 . 69) Lebanon Valley ( 0 - 2 - 0) 49.724 59.724 . 70) Highland Park ( 1 - 1 - 0) 49.669 49.669 . 71) Clemson ( 4 - 1 - 1) 49.565 44.565 . 72) Lombard ( 5 - 3 - 0) 49.430 49.430 . 73) Ursinus ( 0 - 3 - 0) 49.344 59.344 . 74) Indiana ( 4 - 4 - 0) 49.235 50.663 . 75) Northern Iowa ( 1 - 1 - 0) 49.165 49.165 . 76) Cumberland ( 4 - 1 - 1) 48.877 44.877 . 77) Maryland-Baltimore ( 0 - 3 - 1) 48.775 56.275 . 78) Sewanee ( 7 - 1 - 0) 48.560 41.893 . 79) Lawrence ( 1 - 3 - 0) 48.443 53.443 . 80) South Dakota ( 0 - 2 - 0) 48.007 58.007 . 81) New York University ( 0 - 2 - 0) 47.966 57.966 . 82) Texas ( 5 - 1 - 2) 47.624 42.624 . 83) North Carolina State ( 1 - 2 - 0) 47.432 50.765 . 84) Rensselaer ( 0 - 2 - 0) 46.817 56.817 . 85) St. John's (Maryland) ( 0 - 2 - 0) 46.803 56.803 . 86) Monmouth ( 1 - 2 - 0) 46.673 50.006 . 87) South Carolina ( 8 - 2 - 0) 46.663 42.377 . 88) St. Albans ( 0 - 3 - 0) 46.479 56.479 . 89) Colorado Mines ( 3 - 3 - 0) 46.022 48.022 . 90) North Division High ( 0 - 2 - 0) 45.834 55.834 . 91) Gallaudet ( 0 - 3 - 0) 45.735 55.735 . 92) American Osteopath ( 1 - 2 - 0) 45.706 49.039 . 93) Oberlin ( 0 - 2 - 0) 45.613 55.613 . 94) St. Lawrence ( 0 - 2 - 0) 45.290 55.290 . 95) Simpson ( 1 - 4 - 0) 45.157 51.157 . 96) Ohio State ( 0 - 2 - 0) 44.276 54.276 . 97) Rush Medical ( 0 - 2 - 0) 44.052 54.052 . 98) Englewood High ( 0 - 4 - 0) 43.667 53.667 . 99) Knox ( 4 - 7 - 0) 43.574 46.907 . 100) Washington (Missouri) ( 4 - 4 - 1) 43.574 48.574 . 101) North Central ( 0 - 2 - 0) 43.554 53.554 . 102) Beloit ( 3 - 7 - 0) 43.497 50.640 . 103) Coe ( 1 - 4 - 0) 43.492 49.492 . 104) Colorado College ( 4 - 5 - 0) 42.928 48.928 . 105) Cornell (Iowa) ( 1 - 8 - 0) 42.904 50.681 . 106) Chicago Dental ( 0 - 2 - 0) 42.872 52.872 . 107) Alabama ( 3 - 4 - 0) 42.804 42.804 . 108) Georgia ( 3 - 4 - 0) 42.648 42.648 . 109) Missouri ( 1 - 7 - 1) 42.484 49.150 . 110) Denver ( 6 - 7 - 0) 42.260 46.260 . 111) Oklahoma ( 5 - 4 - 3) 42.242 43.670 . 112) Utah ( 0 - 4 - 0) 41.978 51.978 . 113) Davidson ( 0 - 4 - 0) 41.973 51.973 . 114) Emporia State ( 0 - 1 - 1) 41.688 46.688 . 115) Texas A&M ( 7 - 3 - 1) 41.605 37.968 . 116) Trinity (Texas) ( 2 - 1 - 0) 41.179 37.845 . 117) Arkansas ( 1 - 2 - 0) 40.490 43.823 . 118) Guilford ( 0 - 2 - 0) 39.867 49.867 . 119) Cincinnati ( 0 - 2 - 0) 39.113 49.113 . 120) Tennessee ( 4 - 5 - 0) 38.259 42.544 . 121) Baylor ( 4 - 3 - 1) 37.985 37.985 . 122) Wisconsin-Oshkosh ( 0 - 2 - 0) 37.976 47.976 . 123) Auburn ( 4 - 3 - 0) 37.676 37.676 . 124) Physicians & Surgeons ( 0 - 2 - 0) 37.332 47.332 . 125) DePauw ( 0 - 2 - 0) 36.404 46.404 . 126) Missouri-Rolla ( 0 - 3 - 0) 35.526 45.526 . 127) Nashville ( 0 - 2 - 0) 33.409 43.409 . 128) Georgia Tech ( 2 - 5 - 0) 33.391 40.057 . 129) Louisiana State ( 0 - 3 - 0) 33.119 43.119 . 130) Texas Deaf School ( 0 - 2 - 0) 32.805 42.805 . 131) Sacred Heart ( 0 - 2 - 0) 32.260 42.260 . 132) Texas Christian ( 0 - 7 - 0) 30.327 40.327 . 133) Samford ( 0 - 2 - 0) 25.533 35.533 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 10/17/1903 Dickinson 0 Navy 5 Upset! 10/14/1903 Virginia 5 Navy 6 Upset! 11/25/1903 North Carolina 16 Virginia 0 @ Richmond VA Upset! 11/06/1903 Illinois 0 Indiana 17 Upset! 11/21/1903 Oklahoma 0 Arkansas 12 Upset! 11/14/1903 Carlisle 16 Pennsylvania 6 Upset! 10/10/1903 Amherst 5 Harvard 0 Upset! 10/03/1903 Cumberland 6 Vanderbilt 0 Upset! 10/17/1903 Illinois 24 Purdue 0 Upset! 10/17/1903 Kansas 12 Colorado 11 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.5979 Standard deviation of fit = 5.0181 5.09 % of the games are upsets. 19 out of 373 games are upsets. 140 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 37.53 %) 249 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 66.76 %) 324 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 86.86 %) 355 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 95.17 %) 371 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.46 %) 372 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations ( 99.73 %) 373 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 373 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 373 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.