TFS - Flat Rank School Record Rating Schedule -------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Homestead A.C. ( 3 - 0 - 0) 64.775 54.775 . 2) Harvard (12 - 0 - 0) 64.161 54.161 . 3) Minnesota ( 9 - 1 - 1) 62.082 55.415 . 4) Michigan (11 - 0 - 0) 61.476 51.476 . 5) Yale (11 - 1 - 1) 61.235 53.543 . 6) Army ( 5 - 1 - 2) 60.756 55.756 . 7) Wisconsin ( 9 - 0 - 0) 59.514 49.514 . 8) Syracuse ( 7 - 2 - 0) 59.421 53.421 . 9) Cornell (11 - 1 - 0) 59.314 51.314 . 10) Princeton ( 9 - 1 - 1) 58.841 51.841 . 11) Dartmouth (10 - 1 - 0) 58.101 50.101 . 12) Buffalo ( 2 - 1 - 0) 57.902 54.569 . 13) Northwestern ( 8 - 2 - 1) 57.631 53.186 . 14) Massachusetts ( 8 - 1 - 0) 57.608 50.108 . 15) Notre Dame ( 8 - 1 - 1) 57.073 50.823 . 16) Lafayette ( 9 - 3 - 0) 57.070 51.070 . 17) Columbia ( 8 - 5 - 0) 56.886 55.219 . 18) Illinois ( 8 - 2 - 0) 56.716 51.716 . 19) Williams ( 6 - 4 - 0) 56.293 55.182 . 20) Holy Cross ( 7 - 1 - 1) 56.118 49.868 . 21) Pennsylvania (10 - 5 - 0) 55.695 52.838 . 22) Penn State ( 5 - 3 - 0) 54.780 53.352 . 23) Navy ( 6 - 4 - 1) 54.624 53.624 . 24) Nebraska ( 7 - 2 - 0) 53.974 49.688 . 25) Iowa ( 6 - 3 - 0) 53.871 51.371 . 26) Grinnell ( 7 - 1 - 1) 52.557 46.843 . 27) Brown ( 4 - 7 - 1) 52.474 54.974 . 28) Georgetown ( 1 - 1 - 1) 52.285 52.285 . 29) South Bend A.C. ( 0 - 1 - 1) 52.073 57.073 . 30) Bates ( 3 - 3 - 0) 52.064 52.064 . 31) Simpson ( 3 - 1 - 0) 51.495 46.495 . 32) Tufts ( 6 - 6 - 1) 51.450 51.450 . 33) Indiana ( 6 - 3 - 0) 51.298 48.798 . 34) Washington & Jefferson ( 1 - 1 - 1) 50.925 50.925 . 35) Haskell ( 2 - 2 - 0) 50.785 50.785 . 36) Amherst ( 4 - 6 - 2) 50.735 53.463 . 37) Wesleyan ( 3 - 6 - 1) 50.722 55.166 . 38) Union (New York) ( 1 - 2 - 1) 50.615 53.115 . 39) Chicago ( 8 - 6 - 2) 50.598 50.598 . 40) Beloit ( 5 - 3 - 3) 50.550 51.800 . 41) Andover ( 1 - 1 - 0) 50.413 50.413 . 42) Hyde Park High ( 1 - 2 - 0) 50.237 53.570 . 43) Carlisle ( 5 - 7 - 1) 49.953 53.590 . 44) Vermont ( 5 - 5 - 1) 49.937 53.687 . 45) Middlebury ( 1 - 1 - 0) 49.937 49.937 . 46) Hamilton ( 1 - 3 - 0) 49.866 54.866 . 47) Orange A.C. ( 0 - 3 - 0) 49.049 59.049 . 48) Purdue ( 4 - 4 - 1) 48.715 48.715 . 49) Ottawa ( 1 - 0 - 1) 48.542 43.542 . 50) Medico-Chirurgical ( 1 - 1 - 0) 48.379 48.379 . 51) Dickinson ( 4 - 6 - 0) 48.379 50.379 . 52) Maine ( 1 - 1 - 0) 48.236 48.236 . 53) Franklin & Marshall ( 0 - 2 - 0) 48.226 58.226 . 54) Bucknell ( 6 - 4 - 0) 48.197 51.530 . 55) Gettysburg ( 1 - 2 - 0) 47.948 51.282 . 56) Colgate ( 0 - 2 - 0) 47.804 57.804 . 57) Lake Forest ( 0 - 2 - 0) 47.352 57.352 . 58) Trinity (Connecticut) ( 1 - 6 - 1) 46.971 53.221 . 59) Drake ( 4 - 4 - 0) 46.967 48.396 . 60) Physicians & Surgeons ( 0 - 2 - 0) 46.895 56.895 . 61) Pittsfield A.C. ( 0 - 2 - 0) 46.863 56.863 . 62) Colby ( 1 - 2 - 0) 46.520 49.853 . 63) Swarthmore ( 1 - 2 - 0) 46.473 49.806 . 64) Ohio State ( 0 - 2 - 0) 46.387 56.387 . 65) Lehigh ( 1 - 11 - 0) 45.344 53.678 . 66) Kansas ( 3 - 5 - 2) 45.297 49.047 . 67) Case ( 0 - 2 - 0) 45.095 55.095 . 68) Bowdoin ( 2 - 7 - 0) 45.022 50.577 . 69) Boston College ( 2 - 7 - 0) 44.708 50.263 . 70) Iowa State ( 2 - 6 - 2) 44.670 50.226 . 71) Knox ( 0 - 3 - 0) 44.661 54.661 . 72) Lombard ( 0 - 2 - 0) 44.114 54.114 . 73) Worcester Tech ( 0 - 4 - 0) 43.978 53.978 . 74) American Osteopath ( 1 - 2 - 0) 43.686 47.019 . 75) Manhattan ( 0 - 3 - 0) 43.665 53.665 . 76) Milwaukee Medical ( 0 - 3 - 0) 43.554 53.554 . 77) Texas ( 1 - 1 - 0) 43.542 43.542 . 78) Susquehanna ( 0 - 3 - 0) 43.410 53.410 . 79) New York University ( 0 - 2 - 0) 42.906 52.906 . 80) Englewood High ( 0 - 3 - 0) 42.637 52.637 . 81) Haverford ( 0 - 5 - 0) 41.881 51.881 . 82) Northern Iowa ( 0 - 2 - 1) 41.836 48.503 . 83) Missouri ( 1 - 6 - 1) 41.786 48.036 . 84) Wabash ( 0 - 2 - 0) 40.006 50.006 . 85) DePauw ( 0 - 2 - 0) 40.006 50.006 . 86) Franklin ( 0 - 2 - 0) 40.006 50.006 . 87) New Hampshire ( 0 - 3 - 0) 39.277 49.277 . 88) Cornell (Iowa) ( 0 - 3 - 0) 39.259 49.259 . 89) Exeter ( 0 - 2 - 0) 34.865 44.865 Largest Deviations: ------------------ 11/28/1901 Kansas 12 Missouri 18 @ Kansas City MO Upset! 11/16/1901 Wisconsin 18 Minnesota 0 Upset! 10/12/1901 Lafayette 5 Syracuse 0 Upset! 10/02/1901 Gettysburg 6 Carlisle 5 @ Harrisburg PA Upset! 10/15/1901 Tufts 5 Vermont 6 Upset! 10/15/1901 Amherst 5 Bates 0 Upset! 11/23/1901 Williams 17 Massachusetts 0 Upset! 10/21/1901 Pennsylvania 5 Navy 6 Upset! 11/02/1901 Princeton 8 Cornell 6 Upset! 09/25/1901 Hyde Park High 6 Chicago 0 Upset! Average Game Outcome Measure = 9.3962 Standard deviation of fit = 5.1998 4.91 % of the games are upsets. 13 out of 265 games are upsets. 103 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations ( 38.87 %) 182 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations ( 68.68 %) 222 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations ( 83.77 %) 256 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations ( 96.60 %) 264 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations ( 99.62 %) 265 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) 265 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations (100.00 %) 265 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations (100.00 %) These ratings are based on 265 College Football games played. Games involving teams with too few games are included in the records but excluded from the fit.