NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision (TFS 2.2) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Georgia ( 7 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 163.134 138.420 . 2) Tennessee ( 6 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 160.106 139.273 . 3) Mississippi ( 7 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 159.624 136.910 . 4) Clemson ( 7 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 159.099 136.599 . 5) Alabama ( 6 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 158.890 141.604 . 6) TCU ( 6 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 157.213 136.630 . 7) Michigan ( 7 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 156.430 133.073 . 8) UCLA ( 6 - 0) Pac-12 DI-FBS 154.047 133.881 . 9) Ohio State ( 6 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 153.162 131.079 . 10) Southern Cal ( 6 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 153.042 137.114 . 11) Syracuse ( 6 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 152.553 130.803 . 12) Illinois ( 6 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 152.182 134.039 . 13) Penn State ( 5 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 151.194 136.277 . 14) Texas ( 5 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 150.914 140.128 . 15) Oregon ( 5 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 150.596 137.429 . 16) Kansas St ( 5 - 1) Big XII DI-FBS 149.965 135.881 . 17) Mississippi St ( 5 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 149.502 139.788 . 18) LSU ( 5 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 149.483 139.198 . 19) Utah ( 5 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 149.293 138.650 . 20) Wake Forest ( 5 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 149.200 134.783 . 21) Maryland ( 5 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 147.137 137.137 . 22) Oregon St ( 5 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 146.981 138.196 . 23) Kansas ( 5 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 146.872 137.443 . 24) Kentucky ( 5 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 146.817 136.674 . 25) Tulane ( 6 - 1) American DI-FBS 146.712 129.426 . 26) Oklahoma St ( 5 - 1) Big XII DI-FBS 146.576 131.160 . 27) Purdue ( 5 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 146.384 136.741 . 28) North Carolina St ( 5 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 145.554 136.983 . 29) Arkansas ( 4 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 145.214 142.072 . 30) Central Florida ( 5 - 1) American DI-FBS 144.052 128.636 . 31) South Alabama ( 5 - 1) Sun Belt DI-FBS 144.027 128.861 . 32) Oklahoma ( 4 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 143.352 140.281 . 33) Cincinnati ( 5 - 1) American DI-FBS 142.795 128.045 . 34) North Carolina ( 6 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 142.769 129.054 . 35) Liberty ( 6 - 1) FBS Indep DI-FBS 142.609 127.894 . 36) Auburn ( 3 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 142.198 146.984 . 37) South Carolina ( 4 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 141.539 135.122 . 38) Florida ( 4 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 141.457 140.171 . 39) Washington ( 5 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 141.428 131.428 . 40) Pittsburgh ( 4 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 141.077 133.744 . 41) Florida St ( 4 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 141.027 137.884 . 42) Coastal Carolina ( 6 - 1) Sun Belt DI-FBS 141.021 127.950 . 43) Texas A&M ( 3 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 140.472 139.138 . 44) Iowa St ( 3 - 4) Big XII DI-FBS 140.436 141.150 . 45) Troy ( 5 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 139.779 130.779 . 46) Washington St ( 4 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 139.667 136.596 . 47) Iowa ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 139.531 137.615 . 48) Houston ( 3 - 3) American DI-FBS 139.343 140.176 . 49) Georgia Tech ( 3 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 138.713 142.713 . 50) James Madison ( 5 - 1) Sun Belt DI-FBS 138.611 122.611 . 51) Minnesota ( 4 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 138.245 128.412 . 52) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 138.201 143.201 . 53) Memphis ( 4 - 3) American DI-FBS 137.989 132.774 . 54) Texas Tech ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 137.966 138.633 . 55) Texas-San Antonio ( 5 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 137.960 128.531 . 56) Brigham Young ( 4 - 3) FBS Indep DI-FBS 137.898 135.183 . 57) Notre Dame ( 3 - 3) FBS Indep DI-FBS 137.273 137.273 . 58) Louisville ( 3 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 137.115 135.032 . 59) Alabama-Birmingham ( 4 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 136.628 127.045 . 60) Missouri ( 2 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 136.314 141.647 . 61) Indiana ( 3 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 136.205 141.348 . 62) Buffalo ( 4 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 136.134 131.562 . 63) East Carolina ( 4 - 3) American DI-FBS 136.132 133.204 . 64) San Jose St ( 4 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 136.129 127.463 . 65) Air Force ( 5 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 135.806 124.877 . 66) Duke ( 4 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 135.330 129.758 . 67) SMU ( 3 - 3) American DI-FBS 135.090 134.340 . 68) Boise St ( 4 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 134.899 127.066 . 69) West Virginia ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 134.647 133.981 . 70) Toledo ( 5 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 133.719 122.219 . 71) Rice ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 133.557 132.724 . 72) Western Kentucky ( 4 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 133.387 127.101 . 73) Baylor ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 133.071 130.904 . 74) Stanford ( 2 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 132.899 139.899 . 75) Georgia Southern ( 4 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 132.652 129.080 . 76) Appalachian St ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 132.549 131.633 . 77) Wisconsin ( 3 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 132.369 132.726 . 78) Wyoming ( 4 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 131.855 130.784 . 79) Old Dominion ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 131.837 132.671 . 80) Michigan St ( 3 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 131.814 135.528 . 81) Arizona ( 3 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 131.392 135.320 . 82) North Texas ( 4 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 131.319 128.247 . 83) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 131.153 128.903 . 84) Ohio U. ( 4 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 130.971 128.900 . 85) Nebraska ( 3 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 130.948 133.091 . 86) Virginia ( 2 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 130.413 138.830 . 87) Arizona St ( 2 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 130.390 137.723 . 88) California ( 3 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 129.914 129.831 . 89) Southern Miss ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 129.745 131.328 . 90) Florida Atlantic ( 3 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 129.158 131.301 . 91) Tulsa ( 2 - 4) American DI-FBS 128.982 135.649 . 92) Utah St ( 3 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 128.675 134.532 . 93) Louisiana Tech ( 2 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 128.469 135.803 . 94) Ball St ( 4 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 128.291 126.077 . 95) Navy ( 2 - 4) American DI-FBS 128.228 135.394 . 96) UNLV ( 4 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 128.084 126.013 . 97) Louisiana-Monroe ( 2 - 5) Sun Belt DI-FBS 127.647 137.075 . 98) Bowling Green ( 3 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 127.148 132.434 . 99) Miami FL ( 3 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 127.144 126.644 . 100) Fresno St ( 2 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 127.009 132.509 . 101) Marshall ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 126.997 125.247 . 102) Rutgers ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 126.691 127.858 . 103) Eastern Michigan ( 4 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 126.274 124.774 . 104) Georgia St ( 2 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 126.218 133.052 . 105) San Diego St ( 3 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 125.664 128.164 . 106) Middle Tennessee St ( 3 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 125.431 128.360 . 107) Connecticut ( 3 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 124.681 129.994 . 108) Arkansas St ( 2 - 5) Sun Belt DI-FBS 124.606 131.535 . 109) Colorado ( 1 - 5) Pac-12 DI-FBS 124.603 141.103 . 110) Kent St ( 2 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 123.747 132.962 . 111) Miami OH ( 3 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 123.581 126.867 . 112) Texas St-San Marcos ( 3 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 123.034 124.819 . 113) Central Michigan ( 2 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 122.934 130.934 . 114) Northern Illinois ( 2 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 122.801 130.372 . 115) Boston College ( 2 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 122.546 131.796 . 116) Army ( 2 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 122.426 129.176 . 117) UTEP ( 3 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 122.305 126.163 . 118) Virginia Tech ( 2 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 121.243 129.529 . 119) Temple ( 2 - 4) American DI-FBS 120.292 127.792 . 120) Western Michigan ( 2 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 119.920 130.491 . 121) South Florida ( 1 - 6) American DI-FBS 119.599 134.742 . 122) Northwestern ( 1 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 118.745 134.495 . 123) UNC-Charlotte ( 1 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 117.903 134.189 . 124) Colorado St ( 1 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 116.711 133.378 . 125) New Mexico ( 2 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 116.615 126.115 . 126) Akron ( 1 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 116.437 132.866 . 127) Hawai`i ( 2 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 116.049 125.906 . 128) Nevada ( 2 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 114.893 124.607 . 129) Massachusetts ( 1 - 6) FBS Indep DI-FBS 112.679 129.394 . 130) Florida Int'l ( 2 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 111.582 121.415 . 131) New Mexico St ( 2 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 110.580 121.723 Average game outcome measure (gom): 22.1740 Standard deviation of the fit: 12.5014 242 of the 2462 games were upsets. ( 9.829%) These ratings are based on 2462 games played between 767 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 148.068 140.014 14 Big XII DI-FBS 144.101 136.619 10 Pac-12 DI-FBS 140.354 136.431 12 B1G DI-FBS 140.074 134.244 14 ACC DI-FBS 138.842 133.868 14 American DI-FBS 134.474 132.743 11 Sun Belt DI-FBS 132.134 129.682 14 CUSA DI-FBS 127.973 129.171 11 FBS Indep DI-FBS 126.878 130.091 7 MtnWest DI-FBS 126.032 128.451 12 MAC DI-FBS 125.996 129.205 12 ------------------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 23-Sep-22 Boise St 10 UTEP 27 <== upset! 24-Sep-22 Southern Miss 27 Tulane 24 <== upset! 15-Oct-22 Old Dominion 49 Coastal Carolina 21 <== upset! 02-Sep-22 Illinois 20 Indiana 23 <== upset! 10-Sep-22 Marshall 26 Notre Dame 21 <== upset! 08-Oct-22 Appalachian St 24 Texas St-San Marcos 36 <== upset! 15-Oct-22 Northern Illinois 39 Eastern Michigan 10 <== upset! 03-Sep-22 Texas St-San Marcos 14 Nevada 38 <== upset! 01-Oct-22 Louisville 33 Boston College 34 <== upset! 24-Sep-22 Notre Dame 45 North Carolina 32 <== upset! There were 64 upsets out of 487 games ( 13.142%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.