NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision (TFS 2.2) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Georgia ( 6 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 163.216 139.049 . 2) Alabama ( 6 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 159.996 137.246 . 3) Clemson ( 6 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 159.272 136.356 . 4) Mississippi ( 6 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 156.568 133.568 . 5) Tennessee ( 5 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 155.236 133.336 . 6) TCU ( 5 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 155.090 133.490 . 7) Southern Cal ( 6 - 0) Pac-12 DI-FBS 154.656 133.656 . 8) Ohio State ( 6 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 154.010 131.927 . 9) Penn State ( 5 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 153.393 131.293 . 10) Mississippi St ( 5 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 153.021 138.521 . 11) Kansas ( 5 - 1) Big XII DI-FBS 152.107 137.941 . 12) Michigan ( 6 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 151.813 128.063 . 13) Oregon ( 5 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 151.619 138.452 . 14) Illinois ( 5 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 151.087 133.254 . 15) UCLA ( 6 - 0) Pac-12 DI-FBS 150.984 130.817 . 16) Kansas St ( 5 - 1) Big XII DI-FBS 149.870 135.787 . 17) Texas ( 4 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 149.063 139.063 . 18) Wake Forest ( 5 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 148.559 134.142 . 19) Oklahoma St ( 5 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 147.871 126.271 . 20) Syracuse ( 5 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 147.821 126.421 . 21) North Carolina St ( 5 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 147.694 133.777 . 22) LSU ( 4 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 147.245 138.912 . 23) Tulane ( 5 - 1) American DI-FBS 146.953 130.786 . 24) James Madison ( 5 - 0) Sun Belt DI-FBS 145.975 123.275 . 25) Coastal Carolina ( 6 - 0) Sun Belt DI-FBS 145.884 126.634 . 26) Notre Dame ( 3 - 2) FBS Indep DI-FBS 145.661 142.061 . 27) San Jose St ( 4 - 1) MtnWest DI-FBS 144.935 130.635 . 28) Utah ( 4 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 144.773 134.773 . 29) Auburn ( 3 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 144.500 146.583 . 30) Washington St ( 4 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 144.156 136.739 . 31) Purdue ( 4 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 143.685 135.269 . 32) Brigham Young ( 4 - 2) FBS Indep DI-FBS 143.243 136.077 . 33) Iowa St ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 142.854 141.104 . 34) Maryland ( 4 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 142.742 134.325 . 35) South Alabama ( 4 - 1) Sun Belt DI-FBS 142.531 127.831 . 36) Liberty ( 5 - 1) FBS Indep DI-FBS 142.390 127.640 . 37) Cincinnati ( 5 - 1) American DI-FBS 142.201 127.451 . 38) Arkansas ( 3 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 142.155 142.488 . 39) North Carolina ( 5 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 141.746 128.829 . 40) Memphis ( 4 - 2) American DI-FBS 141.680 133.097 . 41) Houston ( 3 - 3) American DI-FBS 141.658 142.491 . 42) Central Florida ( 4 - 1) American DI-FBS 141.616 127.416 . 43) Oregon St ( 4 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 141.127 134.711 . 44) Florida ( 4 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 140.885 135.718 . 45) Florida St ( 4 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 140.428 133.428 . 46) Kentucky ( 4 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 140.250 131.583 . 47) Troy ( 4 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 139.326 131.410 . 48) South Carolina ( 4 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 139.232 132.815 . 49) Baylor ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 139.185 133.485 . 50) Texas A&M ( 3 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 139.097 137.763 . 51) Pittsburgh ( 4 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 139.037 131.704 . 52) Iowa ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 138.771 136.854 . 53) Rice ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 138.760 134.660 . 54) Washington ( 4 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 138.530 130.030 . 55) Oklahoma ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 138.439 138.022 . 56) Duke ( 4 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 138.264 128.681 . 57) Georgia Tech ( 3 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 138.256 142.256 . 58) Texas Tech ( 3 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 138.250 138.917 . 59) California ( 3 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 138.188 134.488 . 60) Texas-San Antonio ( 4 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 137.196 130.529 . 61) Buffalo ( 3 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 136.857 136.107 . 62) Alabama-Birmingham ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 136.495 129.195 . 63) Missouri ( 2 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 136.463 141.796 . 64) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 136.232 137.398 . 65) Minnesota ( 4 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 135.071 119.271 . 66) Wisconsin ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 135.056 132.639 . 67) Louisville ( 3 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 134.992 132.909 . 68) Indiana ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 134.857 137.607 . 69) Appalachian St ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 134.695 133.779 . 70) UNLV ( 4 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 133.834 126.834 . 71) Arizona ( 3 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 133.635 135.052 . 72) Wyoming ( 4 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 133.393 132.321 . 73) Marshall ( 3 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 133.115 126.515 . 74) Eastern Michigan ( 4 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 132.677 126.594 . 75) East Carolina ( 3 - 3) American DI-FBS 132.506 131.590 . 76) Boise St ( 4 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 132.500 124.667 . 77) West Virginia ( 2 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 131.883 134.183 . 78) Air Force ( 4 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 131.500 123.333 . 79) Arizona St ( 2 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 130.803 138.136 . 80) Louisiana Tech ( 2 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 130.536 135.136 . 81) SMU ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 130.191 132.691 . 82) Toledo ( 4 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 129.925 120.008 . 83) Nebraska ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 129.309 128.976 . 84) Ohio U. ( 3 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 129.257 130.841 . 85) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 129.205 131.005 . 86) Western Kentucky ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 129.058 125.724 . 87) Louisiana-Monroe ( 2 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 128.615 136.699 . 88) Navy ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 128.595 133.795 . 89) Utah St ( 2 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 128.313 138.396 . 90) Georgia Southern ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 128.201 126.951 . 91) Virginia ( 2 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 128.101 136.518 . 92) Michigan St ( 2 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 127.772 134.938 . 93) Middle Tennessee St ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 127.575 126.992 . 94) Bowling Green ( 2 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 127.316 136.233 . 95) North Texas ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 127.314 127.231 . 96) Tulsa ( 2 - 4) American DI-FBS 127.287 133.954 . 97) Stanford ( 1 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 127.166 139.166 . 98) Arkansas St ( 2 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 126.673 132.339 . 99) Rutgers ( 3 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 126.477 127.643 . 100) Texas St-San Marcos ( 3 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 126.314 125.814 . 101) Southern Miss ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 125.972 130.772 . 102) Georgia St ( 2 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 125.238 132.072 . 103) Miami OH ( 3 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 124.488 125.571 . 104) Kent St ( 2 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 124.446 131.696 . 105) Old Dominion ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 124.300 130.100 . 106) Connecticut ( 3 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 124.074 127.860 . 107) Florida Atlantic ( 2 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 123.241 128.324 . 108) San Diego St ( 3 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 122.768 125.268 . 109) Ball St ( 3 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 122.679 122.762 . 110) Miami FL ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 122.536 125.936 . 111) Western Michigan ( 2 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 122.441 130.774 . 112) Army ( 1 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 121.735 134.035 . 113) Temple ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 121.321 126.021 . 114) Boston College ( 2 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 121.198 130.448 . 115) Virginia Tech ( 2 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 120.829 127.163 . 116) New Mexico ( 2 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 120.670 128.003 . 117) UTEP ( 3 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 120.356 124.213 . 118) Northwestern ( 1 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 119.963 135.713 . 119) Fresno St ( 1 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 119.927 130.427 . 120) Central Michigan ( 1 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 119.059 131.809 . 121) Colorado St ( 1 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 118.740 134.840 . 122) South Florida ( 1 - 5) American DI-FBS 118.289 131.955 . 123) Colorado ( 0 - 5) Pac-12 DI-FBS 117.856 141.256 . 124) Nevada ( 2 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 117.156 124.989 . 125) Akron ( 1 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 116.837 132.587 . 126) UNC-Charlotte ( 1 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 115.633 131.133 . 127) Northern Illinois ( 1 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 114.291 127.457 . 128) Massachusetts ( 1 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 113.675 128.592 . 129) Florida Int'l ( 2 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 110.060 116.660 . 130) Hawai`i ( 1 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 109.191 124.191 . 131) New Mexico St ( 1 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 104.398 121.148 Average game outcome measure (gom): 22.2406 Standard deviation of the fit: 11.9967 180 of the 2124 games were upsets. ( 8.475%) These ratings are based on 2124 games played between 768 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 146.721 137.627 14 Big XII DI-FBS 144.461 135.826 10 Pac-12 DI-FBS 139.458 135.606 12 B1G DI-FBS 138.858 131.984 14 ACC DI-FBS 137.767 132.041 14 American DI-FBS 133.845 131.932 11 Sun Belt DI-FBS 132.575 129.657 14 FBS Indep DI-FBS 127.882 131.059 7 CUSA DI-FBS 126.929 128.163 11 MtnWest DI-FBS 126.077 128.659 12 MAC DI-FBS 125.023 129.370 12 ------------------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 24-Sep-22 Southern Miss 27 Tulane 24 <== upset! 23-Sep-22 Boise St 10 UTEP 27 <== upset! 10-Sep-22 Marshall 26 Notre Dame 21 <== upset! 02-Sep-22 Illinois 20 Indiana 23 <== upset! 03-Sep-22 Texas St-San Marcos 14 Nevada 38 <== upset! 08-Oct-22 Appalachian St 24 Texas St-San Marcos 36 <== upset! 01-Oct-22 Louisville 33 Boston College 34 <== upset! 10-Sep-22 Southern Miss 7 Miami FL 30 <== upset! 17-Sep-22 UNC-Charlotte 42 Georgia St 41 <== upset! 17-Sep-22 Mississippi St 16 LSU 31 <== upset! There were 46 upsets out of 434 games ( 10.599%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.