NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision (TFS 2.2) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Georgia (12 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 167.671 143.796 . 2) TCU (12 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 161.179 140.804 . 3) Michigan (12 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 160.512 137.387 . 4) Alabama (10 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 159.178 142.469 . 5) Southern Cal (11 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 157.658 140.283 . 6) Tennessee (10 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 157.457 142.416 . 7) Ohio State (11 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 157.413 138.496 . 8) Kansas St ( 9 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 155.525 143.234 . 9) Penn State (10 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 154.850 139.350 . 10) Oregon ( 9 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 153.938 143.021 . 11) Oregon St ( 9 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 153.674 142.340 . 12) Clemson (10 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 153.511 138.511 . 13) Texas ( 8 - 4) Big XII DI-FBS 153.474 145.182 . 14) Utah ( 9 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 153.012 140.720 . 15) LSU ( 9 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 152.577 141.786 . 16) Washington (10 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 152.363 137.946 . 17) Mississippi ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 149.961 141.836 . 18) UCLA ( 9 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 149.953 139.328 . 19) Mississippi St ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 149.751 143.210 . 20) Florida St ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 149.365 137.657 . 21) Tulane (10 - 2) American DI-FBS 148.333 133.041 . 22) Notre Dame ( 8 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 147.725 140.225 . 23) Illinois ( 8 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 147.460 136.918 . 24) South Carolina ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 146.074 140.574 . 25) Kentucky ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 146.059 142.601 . 26) Washington St ( 7 - 5) Pac-12 DI-FBS 145.336 141.670 . 27) Troy (10 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 145.199 131.532 . 28) Texas Tech ( 7 - 5) Big XII DI-FBS 145.067 142.276 . 29) North Carolina ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 144.898 135.232 . 30) Texas-San Antonio (10 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 144.834 130.709 . 31) Arkansas ( 6 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 144.729 143.563 . 32) Louisville ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 144.459 139.417 . 33) Florida ( 6 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 144.371 144.205 . 34) Iowa ( 7 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 144.183 139.016 . 35) Cincinnati ( 9 - 3) American DI-FBS 144.078 132.619 . 36) Pittsburgh ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 144.074 136.740 . 37) Oklahoma ( 6 - 6) Big XII DI-FBS 143.878 142.378 . 38) Purdue ( 8 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 143.603 136.644 . 39) Central Florida ( 9 - 3) American DI-FBS 143.190 132.356 . 40) Missouri ( 6 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 143.079 142.662 . 41) South Alabama (10 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 142.943 128.027 . 42) Kansas ( 6 - 6) Big XII DI-FBS 142.923 142.840 . 43) Oklahoma St ( 7 - 5) Big XII DI-FBS 142.902 139.818 . 44) Minnesota ( 8 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 142.852 133.352 . 45) North Carolina St ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 142.756 136.839 . 46) Boise St ( 9 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 142.741 131.074 . 47) Maryland ( 7 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 142.315 138.857 . 48) Baylor ( 6 - 6) Big XII DI-FBS 142.076 141.326 . 49) Auburn ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 141.901 146.692 . 50) Wake Forest ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 141.809 137.351 . 51) Coastal Carolina ( 9 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 141.752 130.570 . 52) Air Force ( 9 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 140.506 127.881 . 53) Duke ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 140.488 131.447 . 54) Syracuse ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 140.488 137.071 . 55) Marshall ( 8 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 139.868 131.451 . 56) Ohio U. ( 9 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 139.794 129.627 . 57) Brigham Young ( 7 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 139.766 136.391 . 58) SMU ( 7 - 5) American DI-FBS 139.606 135.564 . 59) Iowa St ( 4 - 8) Big XII DI-FBS 139.261 144.886 . 60) Fresno St ( 8 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 139.244 130.619 . 61) Arizona ( 5 - 7) Pac-12 DI-FBS 139.123 143.832 . 62) Wisconsin ( 6 - 6) B1G DI-FBS 139.109 137.984 . 63) James Madison ( 8 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 139.001 128.365 . 64) West Virginia ( 5 - 7) Big XII DI-FBS 138.846 143.096 . 65) Houston ( 7 - 5) American DI-FBS 138.806 135.014 . 66) Vanderbilt ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 138.294 143.961 . 67) Texas A&M ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 138.276 140.026 . 68) Michigan St ( 5 - 7) B1G DI-FBS 137.422 141.964 . 69) Western Kentucky ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 137.391 131.083 . 70) East Carolina ( 7 - 5) American DI-FBS 136.318 133.443 . 71) Liberty ( 8 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 135.634 128.550 . 72) California ( 4 - 8) Pac-12 DI-FBS 135.591 142.841 . 73) Memphis ( 6 - 6) American DI-FBS 135.517 132.808 . 74) Georgia Tech ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 135.006 141.381 . 75) San Jose St ( 7 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 134.507 127.870 . 76) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 6 - 6) Sun Belt DI-FBS 134.407 132.907 . 77) Indiana ( 4 - 8) B1G DI-FBS 134.275 142.733 . 78) North Texas ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 133.555 129.722 . 79) Alabama-Birmingham ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 133.453 131.411 . 80) San Diego St ( 7 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 132.953 130.078 . 81) Stanford ( 3 - 9) Pac-12 DI-FBS 132.689 144.064 . 82) Wyoming ( 7 - 5) MtnWest DI-FBS 132.637 130.928 . 83) Toledo ( 7 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 131.893 126.768 . 84) Southern Miss ( 6 - 6) Sun Belt DI-FBS 131.671 132.046 . 85) Nebraska ( 4 - 8) B1G DI-FBS 131.558 138.725 . 86) Appalachian St ( 6 - 6) Sun Belt DI-FBS 131.409 129.493 . 87) Eastern Michigan ( 8 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 131.406 125.365 . 88) Arizona St ( 3 - 9) Pac-12 DI-FBS 131.393 141.685 . 89) Utah St ( 6 - 6) MtnWest DI-FBS 131.388 133.346 . 90) Middle Tennessee St ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 131.022 127.606 . 91) Navy ( 4 - 7) American DI-FBS 130.815 136.951 . 92) Miami FL ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 130.789 135.331 . 93) Georgia Southern ( 6 - 6) Sun Belt DI-FBS 130.711 131.294 . 94) Buffalo ( 5 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 130.681 131.227 . 95) Bowling Green ( 6 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 130.597 132.555 . 96) Kent St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 130.106 133.606 . 97) Army ( 5 - 6) FBS Indep DI-FBS 129.953 130.498 . 98) Tulsa ( 5 - 7) American DI-FBS 129.911 134.077 . 99) Florida Atlantic ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 129.632 131.632 . 100) Connecticut ( 6 - 6) FBS Indep DI-FBS 129.543 129.626 . 101) Virginia ( 3 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 128.930 138.180 . 102) Georgia St ( 4 - 8) Sun Belt DI-FBS 128.013 133.596 . 103) Rice ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 127.969 132.178 . 104) Colorado ( 1 - 11) Pac-12 DI-FBS 127.687 147.603 . 105) Rutgers ( 4 - 8) B1G DI-FBS 127.637 137.012 . 106) Western Michigan ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 126.741 131.116 . 107) Louisiana-Monroe ( 4 - 8) Sun Belt DI-FBS 126.515 134.765 . 108) Miami OH ( 6 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 126.271 126.937 . 109) Ball St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 126.001 129.251 . 110) UTEP ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 125.619 129.161 . 111) UNLV ( 5 - 7) MtnWest DI-FBS 125.375 129.166 . 112) Virginia Tech ( 3 - 8) ACC DI-FBS 124.854 133.672 . 113) Boston College ( 3 - 9) ACC DI-FBS 124.622 137.372 . 114) Central Michigan ( 4 - 8) MAC DI-FBS 123.092 129.800 . 115) Colorado St ( 3 - 9) MtnWest DI-FBS 122.928 134.386 . 116) Louisiana Tech ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 122.674 132.799 . 117) Texas St-San Marcos ( 4 - 8) Sun Belt DI-FBS 122.471 128.846 . 118) Old Dominion ( 3 - 9) Sun Belt DI-FBS 121.507 133.340 . 119) Northwestern ( 1 - 11) B1G DI-FBS 121.385 141.177 . 120) New Mexico St ( 5 - 6) FBS Indep DI-FBS 121.058 123.921 . 121) Arkansas St ( 3 - 9) Sun Belt DI-FBS 120.652 130.985 . 122) UNC-Charlotte ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 119.793 131.793 . 123) Temple ( 3 - 9) American DI-FBS 119.677 130.469 . 124) South Florida ( 1 - 11) American DI-FBS 119.203 136.662 . 125) Hawai`i ( 3 - 10) MtnWest DI-FBS 119.059 130.713 . 126) Northern Illinois ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 118.317 128.358 . 127) Florida Int'l ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 118.082 127.248 . 128) Akron ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 118.037 131.992 . 129) Nevada ( 2 - 10) MtnWest DI-FBS 115.904 131.154 . 130) New Mexico ( 2 - 10) MtnWest DI-FBS 114.696 131.071 . 131) Massachusetts ( 1 - 11) FBS Indep DI-FBS 109.232 128.524 Average game outcome measure (gom): 22.0813 Standard deviation of the fit: 13.8761 554 of the 4144 games were upsets. ( 13.369%) These ratings are based on 4144 games played between 767 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 148.527 142.843 14 Big XII DI-FBS 146.513 142.584 10 Pac-12 DI-FBS 144.368 142.111 12 B1G DI-FBS 141.755 138.544 14 ACC DI-FBS 139.004 136.872 14 American DI-FBS 135.041 133.909 11 Sun Belt DI-FBS 132.580 131.230 14 FBS Indep DI-FBS 130.416 131.105 7 CUSA DI-FBS 129.457 130.486 11 MtnWest DI-FBS 129.328 130.691 12 MAC DI-FBS 127.745 129.717 12 ------------------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 15-Oct-22 Old Dominion 49 Coastal Carolina 21 <== upset! 23-Sep-22 Boise St 10 UTEP 27 <== upset! 15-Oct-22 Northern Illinois 39 Eastern Michigan 10 <== upset! 26-Nov-22 New Mexico St 49 Liberty 14 <== upset! 08-Oct-22 Washington 38 Arizona St 45 <== upset! 12-Nov-22 Boston College 21 North Carolina St 20 <== upset! 26-Nov-22 LSU 23 Texas A&M 38 <== upset! 24-Sep-22 Southern Miss 27 Tulane 24 <== upset! 01-Oct-22 Louisville 33 Boston College 34 <== upset! 17-Sep-22 UTEP 10 New Mexico 27 <== upset! There were 152 upsets out of 841 games ( 18.074%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.