NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision (Flat) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Georgia ( 5 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 127.564 117.564 . 2) Clemson ( 5 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 127.092 117.092 . 3) Mississippi ( 5 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 125.501 115.501 . 4) Alabama ( 5 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 125.458 115.458 . 5) Kansas ( 5 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 125.155 115.155 . 6) Mississippi St ( 4 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 124.014 118.014 . 7) Wake Forest ( 4 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 123.891 117.891 . 8) Oregon ( 4 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 123.832 117.832 . 9) UCLA ( 5 - 0) Pac-12 DI-FBS 123.817 113.817 . 10) Ohio State ( 5 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 123.404 113.404 . 11) Penn State ( 5 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 123.328 113.328 . 12) Tennessee ( 4 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 122.750 112.750 . 13) TCU ( 4 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 122.246 112.246 . 14) Southern Cal ( 5 - 0) Pac-12 DI-FBS 122.133 112.133 . 15) LSU ( 4 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 121.770 115.770 . 16) Michigan ( 5 - 0) B1G DI-FBS 121.766 111.766 . 17) Kansas St ( 4 - 1) Big XII DI-FBS 121.278 115.278 . 18) Syracuse ( 5 - 0) ACC DI-FBS 120.925 110.925 . 19) Auburn ( 3 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 120.839 118.839 . 20) Brigham Young ( 4 - 1) FBS Indep DI-FBS 120.683 114.683 . 21) Washington ( 4 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 120.496 114.496 . 22) North Carolina St ( 4 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 120.362 114.362 . 23) Liberty ( 4 - 1) FBS Indep DI-FBS 120.221 114.221 . 24) Memphis ( 4 - 1) American DI-FBS 120.160 114.160 . 25) Illinois ( 4 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 119.892 113.892 . 26) Iowa St ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 119.804 117.804 . 27) Washington St ( 4 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 119.776 113.776 . 28) James Madison ( 4 - 0) Sun Belt DI-FBS 119.676 109.676 . 29) Arkansas ( 3 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 119.624 117.624 . 30) Cincinnati ( 4 - 1) American DI-FBS 119.510 113.510 . 31) Maryland ( 4 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 119.478 113.478 . 32) Coastal Carolina ( 5 - 0) Sun Belt DI-FBS 119.408 109.408 . 33) Kentucky ( 4 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 119.284 113.284 . 34) San Jose St ( 3 - 1) MtnWest DI-FBS 119.274 114.274 . 35) Florida St ( 4 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 119.239 113.239 . 36) Duke ( 4 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 119.120 113.120 . 37) Oklahoma St ( 4 - 0) Big XII DI-FBS 118.461 108.461 . 38) Utah ( 4 - 1) Pac-12 DI-FBS 118.238 112.238 . 39) Tulane ( 4 - 1) American DI-FBS 118.166 112.166 . 40) Iowa ( 3 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 118.036 116.036 . 41) North Carolina ( 4 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 118.033 112.033 . 42) Texas ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 117.916 115.916 . 43) Notre Dame ( 2 - 2) FBS Indep DI-FBS 117.848 117.848 . 44) Oklahoma ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 117.725 115.725 . 45) Appalachian St ( 3 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 117.520 115.520 . 46) Texas A&M ( 3 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 117.429 115.429 . 47) Georgia Tech ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 117.138 119.138 . 48) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 117.104 115.104 . 49) Air Force ( 4 - 1) MtnWest DI-FBS 117.030 111.030 . 50) South Alabama ( 4 - 1) Sun Belt DI-FBS 116.919 110.919 . 51) Texas Tech ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 116.854 114.854 . 52) Florida ( 2 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 116.741 116.741 . 53) California ( 3 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 116.705 114.705 . 54) Oregon St ( 3 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 116.701 114.701 . 55) Pittsburgh ( 3 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 116.691 114.691 . 56) Troy ( 3 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 116.589 114.589 . 57) Indiana ( 3 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 116.587 114.587 . 58) Missouri ( 2 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 116.503 118.503 . 59) Purdue ( 3 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 116.293 114.293 . 60) Arizona ( 3 - 2) Pac-12 DI-FBS 116.292 114.292 . 61) Baylor ( 3 - 2) Big XII DI-FBS 116.174 114.174 . 62) UNLV ( 4 - 1) MtnWest DI-FBS 116.048 110.048 . 63) Wyoming ( 3 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 115.665 115.665 . 64) Houston ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 115.621 117.621 . 65) Central Florida ( 3 - 1) American DI-FBS 115.386 110.386 . 66) Rice ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 115.103 113.103 . 67) Buffalo ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 114.636 116.636 . 68) South Carolina ( 3 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 114.631 112.631 . 69) Rutgers ( 3 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 114.609 112.609 . 70) Bowling Green ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 114.420 116.420 . 71) Minnesota ( 4 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 114.410 108.410 . 72) East Carolina ( 3 - 2) American DI-FBS 114.252 112.252 . 73) Virginia ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 114.038 116.038 . 74) Tulsa ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 113.663 115.663 . 75) Georgia Southern ( 3 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 113.427 111.427 . 76) Boise St ( 3 - 2) MtnWest DI-FBS 113.275 111.275 . 77) Marshall ( 3 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 113.249 111.249 . 78) Kent St ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 113.213 115.213 . 79) Southern Miss ( 2 - 2) Sun Belt DI-FBS 113.210 113.210 . 80) Alabama-Birmingham ( 2 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 113.158 113.158 . 81) Stanford ( 1 - 3) Pac-12 DI-FBS 113.071 118.071 . 82) Michigan St ( 2 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 112.930 114.930 . 83) Ohio U. ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 112.930 114.930 . 84) West Virginia ( 2 - 3) Big XII DI-FBS 112.847 114.847 . 85) Texas-San Antonio ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 112.826 110.826 . 86) Western Kentucky ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 112.792 110.792 . 87) SMU ( 2 - 2) American DI-FBS 112.704 112.704 . 88) Navy ( 1 - 3) American DI-FBS 112.532 117.532 . 89) Wisconsin ( 2 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 112.527 114.527 . 90) Louisville ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 112.085 114.085 . 91) Eastern Michigan ( 3 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 111.987 109.987 . 92) North Texas ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 111.840 111.840 . 93) Nebraska ( 2 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 111.744 113.744 . 94) Old Dominion ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 111.722 113.722 . 95) Arkansas St ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 111.710 113.710 . 96) Louisiana-Monroe ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 111.593 113.593 . 97) Middle Tennessee St ( 3 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 111.487 109.487 . 98) Western Michigan ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 111.142 113.142 . 99) Utah St ( 1 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 111.054 117.054 . 100) Louisiana Tech ( 1 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 110.860 115.860 . 101) Temple ( 2 - 3) American DI-FBS 110.705 112.705 . 102) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 110.685 112.685 . 103) Nevada ( 2 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 110.558 112.558 . 104) Miami FL ( 2 - 2) ACC DI-FBS 110.540 110.540 . 105) Toledo ( 3 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 110.324 108.324 . 106) UTEP ( 3 - 3) CUSA DI-FBS 110.144 110.144 . 107) San Diego St ( 2 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 109.841 111.841 . 108) Miami OH ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 109.642 111.642 . 109) New Mexico ( 2 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 109.564 111.564 . 110) Northwestern ( 1 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 109.545 115.545 . 111) Connecticut ( 2 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 109.493 112.827 . 112) Texas St-San Marcos ( 2 - 3) Sun Belt DI-FBS 109.330 111.330 . 113) Akron ( 1 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 109.125 115.125 . 114) Colorado ( 0 - 5) Pac-12 DI-FBS 108.759 118.759 . 115) Arizona St ( 1 - 4) Pac-12 DI-FBS 108.726 114.726 . 116) Ball St ( 2 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 108.441 110.441 . 117) Virginia Tech ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 108.386 110.386 . 118) Florida Atlantic ( 2 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 108.271 111.604 . 119) Boston College ( 2 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 108.181 110.181 . 120) Fresno St ( 1 - 3) MtnWest DI-FBS 107.065 112.065 . 121) Central Michigan ( 1 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 107.035 113.035 . 122) Colorado St ( 0 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 106.818 116.818 . 123) South Florida ( 1 - 4) American DI-FBS 106.692 112.692 . 124) Georgia St ( 1 - 4) Sun Belt DI-FBS 106.563 112.563 . 125) Florida Int'l ( 2 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 106.009 106.009 . 126) Northern Illinois ( 1 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 105.798 111.798 . 127) Army ( 1 - 3) FBS Indep DI-FBS 105.393 110.393 . 128) UNC-Charlotte ( 1 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 105.351 112.017 . 129) Hawai`i ( 1 - 4) MtnWest DI-FBS 105.008 111.008 . 130) Massachusetts ( 1 - 4) FBS Indep DI-FBS 103.992 109.992 . 131) New Mexico St ( 1 - 5) FBS Indep DI-FBS 103.109 109.776 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 5.5127 104 of the 1789 games were upsets. ( 5.813%) These ratings are based on 1789 games played between 768 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 120.658 115.944 14 Big XII DI-FBS 118.846 114.446 10 Pac-12 DI-FBS 117.379 114.962 12 ACC DI-FBS 116.837 113.837 14 B1G DI-FBS 116.754 113.611 14 American DI-FBS 114.490 113.763 11 Sun Belt DI-FBS 113.686 112.400 14 MtnWest DI-FBS 111.767 112.933 12 FBS Indep DI-FBS 111.534 112.820 7 MAC DI-FBS 110.724 113.058 12 CUSA DI-FBS 110.713 111.349 11 ------------------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 24-Sep-22 Southern Miss 27 Tulane 24 <== upset! 01-Oct-22 Indiana 21 Nebraska 35 <== upset! 10-Sep-22 Marshall 26 Notre Dame 21 <== upset! 01-Oct-22 Louisville 33 Boston College 34 <== upset! 24-Sep-22 Baylor 31 Iowa St 24 <== upset! 02-Sep-22 Illinois 20 Indiana 23 <== upset! 09-Sep-22 Louisville 20 Central Florida 14 <== upset! 23-Sep-22 Boise St 10 UTEP 27 <== upset! 17-Sep-22 Tulane 17 Kansas St 10 <== upset! 10-Sep-22 Southern Miss 7 Miami FL 30 <== upset! There were 27 upsets out of 376 games ( 7.181%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.