TFS 2.2 (NAIA) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Marian IN (12 - 2) MidStFA NAIA 118.670 100.134 . 2) St Francis IN (11 - 1) MidStFA NAIA 115.059 96.559 . 3) Reinhardt ( 9 - 2) MidSouth NAIA 108.439 93.939 . 4) Southern Oregon (11 - 3) Frontier NAIA 105.308 92.987 . 5) Montana Tech (10 - 2) Frontier NAIA 105.123 90.373 . 6) Campbellsville ( 8 - 3) MidSouth NAIA 103.746 93.928 . 7) Grand View (11 - 2) HeartAm NAIA 102.920 87.189 . 8) Baker (11 - 2) HeartAm NAIA 102.594 85.902 . 9) Robert Morris IL ( 6 - 4) MidStFA NAIA 101.627 97.277 . 10) St Francis IL ( 8 - 3) MidStFA NAIA 101.613 90.840 . 11) Faulkner ( 7 - 3) MidSouth NAIA 101.383 90.683 . 12) Lindsey Wilson ( 8 - 3) MidSouth NAIA 101.374 90.737 . 13) Taylor ( 7 - 3) MidStFA NAIA 100.803 91.453 . 14) St Ambrose ( 8 - 2) MidStFA NAIA 100.517 88.267 . 15) Cumberlands KY ( 7 - 3) MidSouth NAIA 99.890 90.590 . 16) Morningside (12 - 2) GPAC NAIA 99.074 80.753 . 17) St Xavier ( 7 - 4) MidStFA NAIA 98.421 93.967 . 18) Montana-Western ( 7 - 3) Frontier NAIA 98.380 88.680 . 19) Georgetown KY ( 6 - 4) MidSouth NAIA 98.308 90.908 . 20) Point U. ( 8 - 3) Sun NAIA 97.676 87.995 . 21) Southeastern FL ( 7 - 2) Sun NAIA 94.429 80.485 . 22) Webber Int'l ( 6 - 4) Sun NAIA 92.778 86.728 . 23) Lindenwood-Belleville ( 4 - 6) MidStFA NAIA 92.179 97.529 . 24) Concordia MI ( 5 - 6) MidStFA NAIA 91.381 94.063 . 25) Siena Heights ( 4 - 6) MidStFA NAIA 91.350 94.750 . 26) Eastern Oregon ( 4 - 7) Frontier NAIA 90.526 95.253 . 27) William Penn ( 7 - 4) HeartAm NAIA 90.195 84.195 . 28) Carroll MT ( 4 - 6) Frontier NAIA 90.033 94.633 . 29) Benedictine KS ( 7 - 4) HeartAm NAIA 89.861 84.225 . 30) Coll of Idaho ( 4 - 7) Frontier NAIA 89.351 93.988 . 31) Peru St ( 7 - 4) HeartAm NAIA 89.111 84.293 . 32) Cumberland TN ( 3 - 8) MidSouth NAIA 88.731 99.594 . 33) Rocky Mountain ( 5 - 6) Frontier NAIA 88.658 90.340 . 34) Bethel TN ( 4 - 7) MidSouth NAIA 88.509 94.600 . 35) Doane ( 9 - 2) GPAC NAIA 88.228 72.274 . 36) Dakota Wesleyan ( 9 - 2) GPAC NAIA 88.182 74.409 . 37) Pikeville ( 4 - 7) MidSouth NAIA 87.981 92.117 . 38) MidAmerica Nazarene ( 6 - 5) HeartAm NAIA 87.611 84.429 . 39) Dickinson St ( 8 - 3) NSAA NAIA 86.812 75.630 . 40) Missouri Valley ( 6 - 5) HeartAm NAIA 86.111 84.566 . 41) Arizona Christian ( 6 - 3) CSFL NAIA 85.996 78.163 . 42) SW Assem of God ( 8 - 3) CSFL NAIA 85.140 74.958 . 43) Langston ( 7 - 3) CSFL NAIA 83.744 73.244 . 44) Tabor (11 - 2) Kansas NAIA 82.587 66.741 . 45) Valley City St ( 7 - 3) NSAA NAIA 82.082 72.832 . 46) Northwestern IA ( 6 - 4) GPAC NAIA 81.564 76.114 . 47) Olivet Nazarene ( 3 - 8) MidStFA NAIA 80.872 91.917 . 48) Concordia NE ( 6 - 4) GPAC NAIA 80.006 73.406 . 49) Kansas Wesleyan (10 - 2) Kansas NAIA 79.599 64.057 . 50) Ave Maria ( 4 - 7) Sun NAIA 79.552 86.779 . 51) Graceland ( 4 - 7) HeartAm NAIA 79.195 85.195 . 52) Kentucky Christian ( 2 - 9) MidSouth NAIA 77.849 95.167 . 53) Edward Waters ( 2 - 7) Sun NAIA 77.490 90.879 . 54) Evangel ( 3 - 8) HeartAm NAIA 76.736 85.418 . 55) Trinity Int'l ( 2 - 9) MidStFA NAIA 76.200 90.336 . 56) Dakota St ( 6 - 5) NSAA NAIA 75.631 73.131 . 57) Warner U. ( 2 - 9) Sun NAIA 75.060 88.424 . 58) Central Methodist ( 3 - 8) HeartAm NAIA 74.945 85.581 . 59) Avila ( 3 - 8) HeartAm NAIA 74.361 85.634 . 60) Sterling ( 7 - 3) Kansas NAIA 73.927 64.577 . 61) Missouri Baptist ( 0 - 10) MidStFA NAIA 73.395 98.095 . 62) Hastings ( 5 - 5) GPAC NAIA 73.253 74.203 . 63) Union KY ( 1 - 9) MidSouth NAIA 72.732 90.682 . 64) Bluefield ( 1 - 10) MidSouth NAIA 72.717 91.944 . 65) Jamestown ( 4 - 6) NSAA NAIA 72.127 76.577 . 66) Wayland Baptist ( 4 - 6) CSFL NAIA 71.767 75.217 . 67) VA-Lynchburg ( 0 - 5) Other Other 71.694 96.694 . 68) Ottawa ( 6 - 4) Kansas NAIA 70.937 63.787 . 69) Bacone ( 2 - 9) CSFL NAIA 70.363 86.727 . 70) Montana St-Northern ( 0 - 11) Frontier NAIA 69.896 95.123 . 71) Nebraska Wesleyan ( 4 - 6) GPAC NAIA 68.503 74.703 . 72) Mayville St ( 5 - 5) NSAA NAIA 66.903 68.603 . 73) Concordia AL ( 0 - 10) Other Other 66.145 88.095 . 74) Briar Cliff ( 3 - 8) GPAC NAIA 62.806 73.761 . 75) Culver-Stockton ( 0 - 11) HeartAm NAIA 62.695 86.695 . 76) Waldorf ( 3 - 7) NSAA NAIA 62.434 71.334 . 77) Texas College ( 2 - 8) CSFL NAIA 62.329 80.879 . 78) Presentation ( 4 - 6) NSAA NAIA 61.322 64.722 . 79) Lyon ( 0 - 11) CSFL NAIA 60.735 83.190 . 80) Midland U. ( 1 - 10) GPAC NAIA 59.924 78.242 . 81) Dordt ( 2 - 9) GPAC NAIA 58.577 74.168 . 82) Bethany KS ( 3 - 8) Kansas NAIA 55.770 66.815 . 83) Friends ( 3 - 8) Kansas NAIA 55.414 65.641 . 84) Bethel KS ( 3 - 7) Kansas NAIA 55.170 63.870 . 85) Southwestern KS ( 3 - 8) Kansas NAIA 53.949 65.313 . 86) St Mary KS ( 3 - 8) Kansas NAIA 52.736 63.418 . 87) McPherson ( 0 - 10) Kansas NAIA 40.532 66.832 . 88) Trinity Bible ( 0 - 9) Other Other 38.672 62.117 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.7912 Standard deviation of the fit: 13.7813 539 of the 4185 games were upsets. ( 12.879%) These ratings are based on 4185 games played between 759 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ MidStFA NAIA 95.545 94.245 13 Frontier NAIA 92.159 92.672 8 MidSouth NAIA 91.805 92.907 12 Sun NAIA 86.164 86.882 6 HeartAm NAIA 84.695 85.277 12 GPAC NAIA 76.012 75.203 10 CSFL NAIA 74.296 78.911 7 NSAA NAIA 72.473 71.833 7 Kansas NAIA 62.062 65.105 10 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 19-Sep-15 Marian IN 21 Robert Morris IL 30 <== upset! 19-Sep-15 Montana Tech 21 Eastern Oregon 33 <== upset! 12-Sep-15 Waldorf 24 Dakota St 17 <== upset! 19-Sep-15 Briar Cliff 23 Nebraska Wesleyan 7 <== upset! 03-Oct-15 Mayville St 14 Valley City St 13 <== upset! 05-Sep-15 Southern Oregon 20 Carroll MT 26 <== upset! 17-Oct-15 Dickinson St 21 Dakota St 54 <== upset! 19-Sep-15 Pikeville 22 Bethel TN 0 <== upset! 07-Nov-15 Northwestern IA 38 Nebraska Wesleyan 44 <== upset! 12-Sep-15 Campbellsville 25 Webber Int'l 35 <== upset! There were 62 upsets out of 509 games ( 12.181%) involving teams from the NAIA.