TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Ohio State (14 - 1) B1G DI-FBS 160.083 141.116 . 2) Alabama (12 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 158.977 142.906 . 3) Oregon (13 - 2) Pac12 DI-FBS 158.598 142.265 . 4) TCU (12 - 1) BigXII DI-FBS 157.256 137.410 . 5) Florida St (13 - 1) ACC DI-FBS 156.689 139.903 . 6) UCLA (10 - 3) Pac12 DI-FBS 154.256 144.140 . 7) Michigan St (11 - 2) B1G DI-FBS 154.052 138.629 . 8) Georgia (10 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 153.610 140.264 . 9) Mississippi ( 9 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 153.561 143.984 . 10) Missouri (11 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 152.692 141.370 . 11) Mississippi St (10 - 3) SEC DI-FBS 152.308 138.962 . 12) Georgia Tech (11 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 152.251 139.073 . 13) Baylor (11 - 2) BigXII DI-FBS 151.910 135.834 . 14) Wisconsin (11 - 3) B1G DI-FBS 151.720 138.756 . 15) Clemson (10 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 150.608 137.685 . 16) Arizona St (10 - 3) Pac12 DI-FBS 150.391 138.737 . 17) Auburn ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 150.174 144.789 . 18) Southern Cal ( 9 - 4) Pac12 DI-FBS 150.092 141.668 . 19) Boise St (12 - 2) MWC DI-FBS 149.954 134.954 . 20) Arizona (10 - 4) Pac12 DI-FBS 149.772 141.415 . 21) Utah ( 9 - 4) Pac12 DI-FBS 148.951 141.335 . 22) Kansas St ( 9 - 4) BigXII DI-FBS 148.745 140.014 . 23) LSU ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 147.332 141.947 . 24) Stanford ( 8 - 5) Pac12 DI-FBS 147.008 139.931 . 25) Nebraska ( 9 - 4) B1G DI-FBS 146.400 137.285 . 26) Arkansas ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 146.366 141.981 . 27) Oklahoma ( 8 - 5) BigXII DI-FBS 145.847 139.578 . 28) Louisville ( 9 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 145.820 136.281 . 29) Notre Dame ( 8 - 5) Ind-FBS DI-FBS 145.735 140.850 . 30) Texas A&M ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 145.123 140.623 . 31) Florida ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 144.806 140.181 . 32) Marshall (13 - 1) CUSA DI-FBS 144.142 125.035 . 33) Tennessee ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 144.085 142.431 . 34) Minnesota ( 8 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 143.719 139.103 . 35) West Virginia ( 7 - 6) BigXII DI-FBS 142.751 139.828 . 36) Colorado St (10 - 3) MWC DI-FBS 141.835 130.874 . 37) Utah St (10 - 4) MWC DI-FBS 141.617 131.010 . 38) Washington ( 8 - 6) Pac12 DI-FBS 141.597 138.025 . 39) Maryland ( 7 - 6) B1G DI-FBS 140.800 139.415 . 40) South Carolina ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 140.588 138.934 . 41) North Carolina St ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 140.343 136.228 . 42) Louisiana Tech ( 9 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 140.279 132.279 . 43) Rutgers ( 8 - 5) B1G DI-FBS 140.136 137.251 . 44) Oklahoma St ( 7 - 6) BigXII DI-FBS 139.812 139.543 . 45) Duke ( 9 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 139.719 130.719 . 46) Boston College ( 7 - 6) ACC DI-FBS 139.688 136.611 . 47) Memphis (10 - 3) AAC DI-FBS 139.562 126.986 . 48) Iowa ( 7 - 6) B1G DI-FBS 139.442 136.788 . 49) Virginia Tech ( 7 - 6) ACC DI-FBS 139.308 137.116 . 50) Texas ( 6 - 7) BigXII DI-FBS 138.885 140.539 . 51) Cincinnati ( 9 - 4) AAC DI-FBS 138.810 129.772 . 52) Air Force (10 - 3) MWC DI-FBS 138.664 127.433 . 53) Northern Illinois (11 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 138.287 126.466 . 54) Penn State ( 7 - 6) B1G DI-FBS 138.025 136.409 . 55) Miami FL ( 6 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 137.822 137.937 . 56) Central Florida ( 9 - 4) AAC DI-FBS 137.502 127.809 . 57) Brigham Young ( 8 - 5) Ind-FBS DI-FBS 136.608 129.992 . 58) Illinois ( 6 - 7) B1G DI-FBS 136.395 139.434 . 59) Toledo ( 9 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 136.391 128.468 . 60) California ( 5 - 7) Pac12 DI-FBS 136.174 140.299 . 61) Rice ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 136.087 130.048 . 62) Virginia ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 136.038 139.246 . 63) North Carolina ( 6 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 135.883 139.075 . 64) Kentucky ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 135.598 139.014 . 65) Northwestern ( 5 - 7) B1G DI-FBS 135.559 138.684 . 66) Navy ( 8 - 5) Ind-FBS DI-FBS 135.497 130.882 . 67) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 9 - 4) SunBelt DI-FBS 135.260 126.721 . 68) Michigan ( 5 - 7) B1G DI-FBS 135.183 139.766 . 69) Western Kentucky ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 134.949 129.833 . 70) East Carolina ( 8 - 5) AAC DI-FBS 133.997 127.574 . 71) Nevada ( 7 - 6) MWC DI-FBS 133.996 132.111 . 72) Oregon St ( 5 - 7) Pac12 DI-FBS 133.871 138.038 . 73) Pittsburgh ( 6 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 133.836 133.490 . 74) Georgia Southern ( 9 - 3) SunBelt DI-FBS 133.084 120.959 . 75) Texas Tech ( 4 - 8) BigXII DI-FBS 131.927 139.510 . 76) Houston ( 8 - 5) AAC DI-FBS 131.424 125.539 . 77) Indiana ( 4 - 8) B1G DI-FBS 131.155 138.821 . 78) San Diego St ( 7 - 6) MWC DI-FBS 131.139 128.254 . 79) Washington St ( 3 - 9) Pac12 DI-FBS 130.911 141.661 . 80) UTEP ( 7 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 130.895 129.626 . 81) Western Michigan ( 8 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 130.555 124.363 . 82) Fresno St ( 6 - 8) MWC DI-FBS 130.521 133.736 . 83) Arkansas St ( 7 - 6) SunBelt DI-FBS 128.465 126.081 . 84) Bowling Green ( 8 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 128.238 125.916 . 85) Alabama-Birmingham ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 128.162 128.412 . 86) Central Michigan ( 7 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 128.158 126.427 . 87) Colorado ( 2 - 10) Pac12 DI-FBS 128.012 142.054 . 88) Temple ( 6 - 6) AAC DI-FBS 127.964 126.631 . 89) Purdue ( 3 - 9) B1G DI-FBS 127.884 139.009 . 90) Syracuse ( 3 - 9) ACC DI-FBS 127.629 139.629 . 91) Wyoming ( 4 - 8) MWC DI-FBS 127.562 135.937 . 92) Middle Tennessee St ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 127.342 128.051 . 93) Iowa St ( 2 - 10) BigXII DI-FBS 127.044 142.127 . 94) Old Dominion ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 126.867 127.867 . 95) Kansas ( 3 - 9) BigXII DI-FBS 126.494 138.536 . 96) Appalachian St ( 7 - 5) SunBelt DI-FBS 125.742 120.867 . 97) New Mexico ( 4 - 8) MWC DI-FBS 125.382 132.590 . 98) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 9) SEC DI-FBS 125.132 139.049 . 99) Texas St-San Marcos ( 7 - 5) SunBelt DI-FBS 124.682 120.848 . 100) Hawai`i ( 4 - 9) MWC DI-FBS 124.237 132.237 . 101) South Alabama ( 6 - 7) SunBelt DI-FBS 124.198 126.737 . 102) Wake Forest ( 3 - 9) ACC DI-FBS 123.508 135.508 . 103) Ohio U. ( 6 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 122.882 124.716 . 104) Ball St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 122.836 125.628 . 105) Texas-San Antonio ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 122.469 130.802 . 106) Florida Int'l ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 121.741 128.033 . 107) Southern Miss ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 121.265 133.349 . 108) South Florida ( 4 - 8) AAC DI-FBS 121.176 131.176 . 109) Tulane ( 3 - 9) AAC DI-FBS 120.944 132.777 . 110) Louisiana-Monroe ( 4 - 8) SunBelt DI-FBS 120.556 127.431 . 111) San José St ( 3 - 9) MWC DI-FBS 120.214 132.172 . 112) Florida Atlantic ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 120.027 130.944 . 113) Akron ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 119.932 122.265 . 114) Buffalo ( 5 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 119.427 120.336 . 115) Army ( 4 - 8) Ind-FBS DI-FBS 119.363 127.446 . 116) North Texas ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 117.990 124.824 . 117) UNLV ( 2 - 11) MWC DI-FBS 115.817 131.470 . 118) Massachusetts ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 114.875 124.750 . 119) Tulsa ( 2 - 10) AAC DI-FBS 114.722 129.763 . 120) Kent St ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 114.366 128.503 . 121) Troy ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-FBS 113.688 124.938 . 122) Miami OH ( 2 - 10) MAC DI-FBS 113.241 127.366 . 123) Connecticut ( 2 - 10) AAC DI-FBS 112.921 129.212 . 124) SMU ( 1 - 11) AAC DI-FBS 112.199 133.533 . 125) Eastern Michigan ( 2 - 10) MAC DI-FBS 111.708 128.916 . 126) New Mexico St ( 2 - 10) SunBelt DI-FBS 110.217 124.717 . 127) Georgia St ( 1 - 11) SunBelt DI-FBS 109.188 128.271 . 128) Idaho ( 1 - 10) SunBelt DI-FBS 106.474 124.110 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.7939 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.6101 594 of the 4230 games were upsets. ( 14.043%) These ratings are based on 4230 games played between 760 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 146.454 141.174 14 Pac12 DI-FBS 144.136 140.797 12 B1G DI-FBS 141.468 138.605 14 BigXII DI-FBS 141.067 139.292 10 ACC DI-FBS 139.939 137.036 14 Ind-FBS DI-FBS 134.301 132.293 4 MWC DI-FBS 131.745 131.898 12 CUSA DI-FBS 128.632 129.162 13 AAC DI-FBS 126.475 129.161 11 MAC DI-FBS 123.146 125.702 13 SunBelt DI-FBS 121.050 124.698 11 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 06-Sep-14 Virginia Tech 35 Ohio State 21 <== upset! 01-Nov-14 Central Florida 29 Connecticut 37 <== upset! 20-Sep-14 Indiana 31 Missouri 27 <== upset! 27-Sep-14 Akron 21 Pittsburgh 10 <== upset! 20-Sep-14 Northwestern St 30 Louisiana Tech 27 <== upset! 29-Aug-14 Texas-San Antonio 27 Houston 7 <== upset! 27-Sep-14 Washington St 28 Utah 27 <== upset! 22-Nov-14 Mississippi 0 Arkansas 30 <== upset! 15-Nov-14 Arizona St 27 Oregon St 35 <== upset! 28-Aug-14 Cal Poly SLO 10 New Mexico St 28 <== upset! There were 137 upsets out of 868 games ( 15.783%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.