TFS 2.2 (NAIA) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Morningside (13 - 1) GrPlains NAIA 61.845 40.023 . 2) Marian IN (12 - 1) MidWestFA NAIA 61.362 42.708 . 3) Southern Oregon ( 9 - 3) Frontier NAIA 59.425 47.175 . 4) St Xavier (11 - 2) MidWestFA NAIA 58.004 40.812 . 5) Montana Tech ( 8 - 3) Frontier NAIA 57.987 47.033 . 6) Missouri Valley (12 - 1) HeartAm NAIA 54.761 34.453 . 7) Carroll MT ( 7 - 4) Frontier NAIA 53.318 44.364 . 8) St Francis IN ( 9 - 3) MidWestFA NAIA 52.767 40.100 . 9) St Ambrose ( 9 - 2) MidWestFA NAIA 51.607 37.880 . 10) Georgetown KY (10 - 1) MidSouth NAIA 50.620 30.347 . 11) Cumberlands KY (10 - 2) MidSouth NAIA 50.090 35.173 . 12) Grand View ( 8 - 3) MidWestFA NAIA 49.612 38.658 . 13) MidAmerica Nazarene ( 8 - 3) HeartAm NAIA 48.476 36.067 . 14) Langston ( 6 - 4) CenStates NAIA 46.355 41.355 . 15) Baker ( 8 - 3) HeartAm NAIA 45.809 34.809 . 16) Northwestern IA ( 9 - 3) GrPlains NAIA 45.778 32.820 . 17) William Penn ( 9 - 3) MidWestFA NAIA 45.086 32.794 . 18) Montana-Western ( 4 - 6) Frontier NAIA 44.499 48.249 . 19) Rocky Mountain ( 6 - 5) Frontier NAIA 43.826 42.462 . 20) Eastern Oregon ( 4 - 6) Frontier NAIA 42.666 48.616 . 21) Bacone ( 6 - 4) CenStates NAIA 42.394 36.544 . 22) Bethel TN ( 9 - 4) MidSouth NAIA 42.291 34.868 . 23) Doane ( 7 - 3) GrPlains NAIA 41.572 32.072 . 24) Evangel ( 7 - 4) HeartAm NAIA 39.873 34.600 . 25) Concordia AL ( 4 - 4) Ind Ind 39.585 38.585 . 26) St Francis IL ( 6 - 5) MidWestFA NAIA 39.581 38.126 . 27) Nebraska Wesleyan ( 6 - 4) GrPlains NAIA 39.119 33.669 . 28) Benedictine KS ( 7 - 4) HeartAm NAIA 38.865 31.547 . 29) Cumberland TN ( 8 - 3) MidSouth NAIA 38.319 28.592 . 30) Kentucky Christian ( 7 - 4) MidSouth NAIA 37.907 32.361 . 31) Montana St-Northern ( 3 - 7) Frontier NAIA 37.521 45.421 . 32) Valley City St ( 7 - 3) NAIA-Ind NAIA 37.399 27.699 . 33) Robert Morris IL ( 8 - 3) NAIA-Ind NAIA 36.641 23.459 . 34) Ottawa ( 8 - 3) Kansas NAIA 36.390 25.344 . 35) Belhaven ( 6 - 5) MidSouth NAIA 36.363 32.273 . 36) Hastings ( 6 - 4) GrPlains NAIA 35.844 32.644 . 37) Tabor ( 8 - 2) Kansas NAIA 35.333 20.083 . 38) Dakota Wesleyan ( 6 - 4) GrPlains NAIA 34.572 32.772 . 39) Faulkner ( 6 - 5) MidSouth NAIA 34.300 32.209 . 40) Edward Waters ( 5 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 32.921 36.057 . 41) Siena Heights ( 4 - 6) MidWestFA NAIA 32.550 37.750 . 42) Concordia NE ( 5 - 6) GrPlains NAIA 31.471 33.607 . 43) Taylor ( 4 - 6) MidWestFA NAIA 31.065 35.115 . 44) Menlo ( 3 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 29.515 36.626 . 45) Trinity Int'l ( 4 - 7) MidWestFA NAIA 28.959 33.232 . 46) Midland U. ( 4 - 6) GrPlains NAIA 28.730 33.380 . 47) Olivet Nazarene ( 3 - 8) MidWestFA NAIA 28.647 40.147 . 48) Graceland ( 5 - 6) HeartAm NAIA 28.435 34.208 . 49) Virginia U-Lynchburg ( 1 - 8) Ind Ind 28.207 47.207 . 50) St Mary KS ( 6 - 5) Kansas NAIA 27.818 24.636 . 51) Dickinson St ( 2 - 9) Frontier NAIA 27.672 45.399 . 52) Peru St ( 5 - 6) HeartAm NAIA 26.985 29.439 . 53) Friends ( 6 - 5) Kansas NAIA 26.484 23.802 . 54) Texas College ( 2 - 9) CenStates NAIA 25.656 41.292 . 55) Jamestown ( 4 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 25.485 30.585 . 56) Lindsey Wilson ( 3 - 8) MidSouth NAIA 24.742 33.560 . 57) Kansas Wesleyan ( 6 - 5) Kansas NAIA 24.521 23.839 . 58) Webber Int'l ( 4 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 23.900 28.350 . 59) Union KY ( 4 - 7) MidSouth NAIA 23.797 31.479 . 60) Campbellsville ( 3 - 8) MidSouth NAIA 23.534 33.670 . 61) Pikeville ( 3 - 8) MidSouth NAIA 23.086 32.677 . 62) McPherson ( 4 - 5) Kansas NAIA 23.054 23.443 . 63) Virginia-Wise ( 3 - 8) MidSouth NAIA 22.929 34.292 . 64) Southern Virginia ( 4 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 22.698 27.598 . 65) Iowa Wesleyan ( 3 - 8) Ind Ind 22.520 33.111 . 66) Central Methodist ( 2 - 8) HeartAm NAIA 21.889 33.789 . 67) Waldorf ( 4 - 7) MidWestFA NAIA 21.276 28.321 . 68) Lindenwood-Belleville ( 4 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 20.230 26.430 . 69) SW Assem of God ( 4 - 6) CenStates NAIA 19.736 24.336 . 70) Wayland Baptist ( 2 - 7) CenStates NAIA 19.671 34.616 . 71) Avila ( 2 - 9) HeartAm NAIA 18.984 31.984 . 72) Point U. ( 2 - 8) NAIA-Ind NAIA 18.656 33.006 . 73) Ave Maria ( 1 - 7) NAIA-Ind NAIA 16.101 33.351 . 74) Southwestern KS ( 4 - 7) Kansas NAIA 15.967 22.421 . 75) Concordia MI ( 0 - 9) MidWestFA NAIA 15.605 40.383 . 76) Briar Cliff ( 1 - 10) GrPlains NAIA 15.560 34.106 . 77) Culver-Stockton ( 1 - 10) HeartAm NAIA 15.475 36.520 . 78) Sterling ( 3 - 7) Kansas NAIA 14.861 23.861 . 79) Mayville St ( 3 - 6) NAIA-Ind NAIA 14.531 21.531 . 80) Dakota St ( 2 - 9) NAIA-Ind NAIA 14.291 29.336 . 81) Dordt ( 1 - 10) GrPlains NAIA 13.505 33.642 . 82) Bethany KS ( 3 - 8) Kansas NAIA 11.027 22.027 . 83) Bluefield ( 0 - 11) MidSouth NAIA 8.853 32.535 . 84) Haskell ( 1 - 8) NAIA-Ind NAIA 2.212 22.934 . 85) Bethel KS ( 0 - 10) Kansas NAIA -0.846 26.054 . 86) Trinity Bible ( 1 - 7) Ind Ind -3.028 14.410 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.8425 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.5127 535 of the 4054 games were upsets. ( 13.197%) These ratings are based on 4054 games played between 739 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Frontier NAIA 45.864 46.090 8 MidWestFA NAIA 39.702 37.387 13 GrPlains NAIA 34.800 33.874 10 HeartAm NAIA 33.955 33.742 10 MidSouth NAIA 32.064 32.618 13 CenStates NAIA 30.762 35.629 5 NAIA-Ind NAIA 22.660 28.997 13 Kansas NAIA 21.461 23.551 10 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 25-Aug-12 Virginia-Wise 24 Bethel TN 21 <== upset! 08-Sep-12 Southern Oregon 30 Rocky Mountain 52 <== upset! 01-Sep-12 Eastern Oregon 26 Montana Tech 23 <== upset! 27-Oct-12 Concordia AL 20 Texas College 31 <== upset! 10-Nov-12 Southern Virginia 17 Edward Waters 10 <== upset! 20-Oct-12 Jamestown 13 Valley City St 10 <== upset! 29-Sep-12 Campbellsville 15 Kentucky Christian 14 <== upset! 29-Sep-12 South Dakota Tech 39 Valley City St 28 <== upset! 01-Sep-12 Concordia AL 20 Mississippi Valley St 19 <== upset! 13-Oct-12 Friends 21 Southwestern KS 32 <== upset! There were 60 upsets out of 506 games ( 11.858%) involving teams from the NAIA.