Flat (NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Oklahoma St (12 - 1) Big12 DI-FBS 79.181 70.719 . 2) LSU (13 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 78.334 69.763 . 3) Alabama (12 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 77.628 69.167 . 4) Oklahoma (10 - 3) Big12 DI-FBS 75.994 70.610 . 5) Baylor (10 - 3) Big12 DI-FBS 75.633 70.248 . 6) Kansas St (10 - 3) Big12 DI-FBS 75.574 70.189 . 7) Arkansas (11 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 75.181 68.258 . 8) South Carolina (11 - 2) SEC DI-FBS 74.764 67.841 . 9) Oregon (12 - 2) PAC-12 DI-FBS 73.971 66.829 . 10) Michigan (11 - 2) Big10 DI-FBS 73.858 66.935 . 11) Stanford (11 - 2) PAC-12 DI-FBS 73.677 66.754 . 12) Southern Cal (10 - 2) PAC-12 DI-FBS 73.621 66.954 . 13) Boise St (12 - 1) MWC DI-FBS 73.051 64.589 . 14) Texas ( 8 - 5) Big12 DI-FBS 72.838 70.530 . 15) Georgia (10 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 72.286 68.000 . 16) Houston (13 - 1) CUSA DI-FBS 72.275 63.703 . 17) Virginia Tech (11 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 72.218 66.504 . 18) Wisconsin (11 - 3) Big10 DI-FBS 71.901 66.187 . 19) Michigan St (11 - 3) Big10 DI-FBS 71.807 66.093 . 20) Missouri ( 8 - 5) Big12 DI-FBS 71.794 69.486 . 21) Clemson (10 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 71.413 67.127 . 22) Nebraska ( 9 - 4) Big10 DI-FBS 71.382 67.536 . 23) Texas A&M ( 7 - 6) Big12 DI-FBS 71.342 70.573 . 24) TCU (11 - 2) MWC DI-FBS 71.329 64.406 . 25) Auburn ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 71.208 68.901 . 26) West Virginia (10 - 3) BigEast DI-FBS 71.183 65.799 . 27) Penn State ( 9 - 4) Big10 DI-FBS 70.940 67.094 . 28) Southern Miss (12 - 2) CUSA DI-FBS 70.340 63.197 . 29) Iowa St ( 6 - 7) Big12 DI-FBS 70.058 70.827 . 30) Northern Illinois (11 - 3) MAC DI-FBS 69.297 63.583 . 31) Notre Dame ( 8 - 5) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 69.151 66.843 . 32) Cincinnati (10 - 3) BigEast DI-FBS 68.869 63.484 . 33) Tulsa ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 68.799 66.491 . 34) Florida ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 68.750 67.981 . 35) Brigham Young (10 - 3) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 68.424 63.039 . 36) Florida St ( 9 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 68.313 64.467 . 37) Arkansas St (10 - 3) SunBelt DI-FBS 68.244 62.860 . 38) Mississippi St ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 68.223 67.454 . 39) Toledo ( 9 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 68.221 64.375 . 40) Texas Tech ( 5 - 7) Big12 DI-FBS 68.176 69.843 . 41) Rutgers ( 9 - 4) BigEast DI-FBS 67.965 64.119 . 42) Utah ( 8 - 5) PAC-12 DI-FBS 67.907 65.600 . 43) Washington ( 7 - 6) PAC-12 DI-FBS 67.821 67.052 . 44) Iowa ( 7 - 6) Big10 DI-FBS 67.500 66.730 . 45) North Carolina ( 7 - 6) ACC DI-FBS 67.361 66.592 . 46) Georgia Tech ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 67.261 64.953 . 47) Tennessee ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 67.233 68.900 . 48) Virginia ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 67.074 64.766 . 49) California ( 7 - 6) PAC-12 DI-FBS 67.031 66.262 . 50) SMU ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 66.875 64.568 . 51) Illinois ( 7 - 6) Big10 DI-FBS 66.779 66.010 . 52) North Carolina St ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 66.655 64.347 . 53) Vanderbilt ( 6 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 66.592 67.361 . 54) Louisiana Tech ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-FBS 66.570 64.262 . 55) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 9 - 4) SunBelt DI-FBS 66.505 62.659 . 56) Marshall ( 7 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 66.358 65.589 . 57) Louisville ( 7 - 6) BigEast DI-FBS 66.143 65.373 . 58) UCLA ( 6 - 8) PAC-12 DI-FBS 66.052 67.481 . 59) Ohio U. (10 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 66.040 61.754 . 60) Ohio State ( 6 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 65.973 66.743 . 61) San Diego St ( 8 - 5) MWC DI-FBS 65.951 63.643 . 62) Wyoming ( 8 - 5) MWC DI-FBS 65.803 63.495 . 63) Arizona St ( 6 - 7) PAC-12 DI-FBS 65.781 66.550 . 64) Temple ( 9 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 65.699 61.852 . 65) Kentucky ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 65.613 67.280 . 66) Miami FL ( 6 - 6) ACC DI-FBS 65.605 65.605 . 67) Purdue ( 7 - 6) Big10 DI-FBS 65.449 64.680 . 68) Western Kentucky ( 7 - 5) SunBelt DI-FBS 65.210 63.543 . 69) Pittsburgh ( 6 - 7) BigEast DI-FBS 65.159 65.928 . 70) Kansas ( 2 - 10) Big12 DI-FBS 64.676 71.343 . 71) Nevada ( 7 - 6) WAC DI-FBS 64.627 63.858 . 72) Northwestern ( 6 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 64.434 65.203 . 73) Wake Forest ( 6 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 64.425 65.195 . 74) Arizona ( 4 - 8) PAC-12 DI-FBS 64.283 67.616 . 75) Ball St ( 6 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 64.041 64.041 . 76) Florida Int'l ( 8 - 5) SunBelt DI-FBS 63.957 61.650 . 77) Air Force ( 7 - 6) MWC DI-FBS 63.877 63.108 . 78) Western Michigan ( 7 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 63.772 63.003 . 79) Utah St ( 7 - 6) WAC DI-FBS 63.578 62.809 . 80) Syracuse ( 5 - 7) BigEast DI-FBS 63.559 65.225 . 81) South Florida ( 5 - 7) BigEast DI-FBS 63.432 65.099 . 82) Navy ( 5 - 7) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 63.345 65.012 . 83) East Carolina ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 63.247 64.914 . 84) Kent St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 62.998 64.665 . 85) Minnesota ( 3 - 9) Big10 DI-FBS 62.984 67.984 . 86) Rice ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 62.957 66.291 . 87) Connecticut ( 5 - 7) BigEast DI-FBS 62.814 64.480 . 88) Eastern Michigan ( 6 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 62.750 62.750 . 89) North Texas ( 5 - 7) SunBelt DI-FBS 62.656 64.322 . 90) Mississippi ( 2 - 10) SEC DI-FBS 62.293 68.959 . 91) Oregon St ( 3 - 9) PAC-12 DI-FBS 61.913 66.913 . 92) Bowling Green ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 61.798 63.464 . 93) Boston College ( 4 - 8) ACC DI-FBS 61.795 65.129 . 94) San José St ( 5 - 7) WAC DI-FBS 61.771 63.438 . 95) UTEP ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 61.660 63.327 . 96) Washington St ( 4 - 8) PAC-12 DI-FBS 61.653 64.986 . 97) Colorado ( 3 - 10) PAC-12 DI-FBS 61.234 66.619 . 98) Central Florida ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 61.073 62.739 . 99) Hawai`i ( 6 - 7) WAC DI-FBS 60.729 61.498 . 100) Maryland ( 2 - 10) ACC DI-FBS 60.201 66.867 . 101) Fresno St ( 4 - 9) WAC DI-FBS 60.178 64.024 . 102) Miami OH ( 4 - 8) MAC DI-FBS 60.172 63.505 . 103) Duke ( 3 - 9) ACC DI-FBS 60.115 65.115 . 104) Louisiana-Monroe ( 4 - 8) SunBelt DI-FBS 59.906 63.239 . 105) New Mexico St ( 4 - 9) WAC DI-FBS 59.493 63.339 . 106) Central Michigan ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 59.289 64.289 . 107) Troy ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-FBS 58.968 63.968 . 108) Alabama-Birmingham ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 58.741 63.741 . 109) Buffalo ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 58.130 63.130 . 110) Army ( 3 - 9) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 57.952 62.952 . 111) Indiana ( 1 - 11) Big10 DI-FBS 57.918 66.251 . 112) UNLV ( 2 - 10) MWC DI-FBS 57.736 64.403 . 113) Colorado St ( 3 - 9) MWC DI-FBS 57.547 62.547 . 114) New Mexico ( 1 - 11) MWC DI-FBS 57.524 65.858 . 115) Idaho ( 2 - 10) WAC DI-FBS 57.033 63.699 . 116) Middle Tennessee St ( 2 - 10) SunBelt DI-FBS 56.425 63.092 . 117) Florida Atlantic ( 1 - 11) SunBelt DI-FBS 56.032 64.365 . 118) Memphis ( 2 - 10) CUSA DI-FBS 55.684 62.351 . 119) Tulane ( 2 - 11) CUSA DI-FBS 55.144 62.067 . 120) Akron ( 1 - 11) MAC DI-FBS 53.810 62.143 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.5366 552 of the 4021 games were upsets. ( 13.728%) These ratings are based on 4021 games played between 733 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Big12 DI-FBS 72.527 70.437 10 SEC DI-FBS 70.675 68.322 12 Big10 DI-FBS 67.577 66.454 12 PAC-12 DI-FBS 67.079 66.635 12 BigEast DI-FBS 66.141 64.938 8 ACC DI-FBS 66.036 65.556 12 FBS-Ind DI-FBS 64.718 64.462 4 MWC DI-FBS 64.102 64.006 8 CUSA DI-FBS 63.596 64.081 12 MAC DI-FBS 62.771 63.273 13 SunBelt DI-FBS 61.989 63.300 9 WAC DI-FBS 61.747 63.366 8 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 17-Nov-11 Southern Miss 31 Alabama-Birmingham 34 <== upset! 01-Oct-11 Northern Illinois 41 Central Michigan 48 <== upset! 18-Nov-11 Oklahoma St 31 Iowa St 37 <== upset! 08-Oct-11 Ohio U. 37 Buffalo 38 <== upset! 24-Sep-11 Southern Cal 22 Arizona St 43 <== upset! 22-Oct-11 Texas Tech 41 Oklahoma 38 <== upset! 21-Oct-11 West Virginia 23 Syracuse 49 <== upset! 03-Sep-11 Sacramento St 29 Oregon St 28 <== upset! 05-Nov-11 Northwestern 28 Nebraska 25 <== upset! 25-Nov-11 Colorado 17 Utah 14 <== upset! There were 129 upsets out of 812 games ( 15.887%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.