TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I - Championship Subdivision) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Villanova (14 - 1) Colonial DI-FCS 93.492 74.059 . 2) William & Mary (11 - 3) Colonial DI-FCS 88.548 73.548 . 3) Montana (14 - 1) BigSky DI-FCS 88.209 68.642 . 4) Richmond (11 - 2) Colonial DI-FCS 85.349 70.195 . 5) Appalachian St (11 - 3) Southern DI-FCS 82.323 69.645 . 6) Southern Illinois (11 - 2) MVFC DI-FCS 80.195 63.695 . 7) New Hampshire (10 - 3) Colonial DI-FCS 78.284 66.630 . 8) Elon ( 9 - 3) Southern DI-FCS 78.069 64.861 . 9) Eastern Washington ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-FCS 77.864 69.405 . 10) South Dakota St ( 8 - 4) MVFC DI-FCS 76.107 66.357 . 11) Delaware ( 6 - 5) Colonial DI-FCS 75.503 73.275 . 12) Jacksonville St ( 8 - 3) OVC DI-FCS 75.398 63.262 . 13) Weber St ( 7 - 5) BigSky DI-FCS 75.206 70.872 . 14) South Carolina St (10 - 2) MEAC DI-FCS 75.162 59.037 . 15) Pennsylvania ( 8 - 2) Ivy DI-FCS 74.938 59.688 . 16) James Madison ( 6 - 5) Colonial DI-FCS 73.980 71.980 . 17) Northern Iowa ( 7 - 4) MVFC DI-FCS 73.676 63.494 . 18) Montana St ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-FCS 73.049 68.277 . 19) Stephen F. Austin (10 - 3) Southland DI-FCS 72.234 60.965 . 20) Northern Arizona ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-FCS 71.387 72.796 . 21) Prairie View A&M ( 9 - 1) SWAC DI-FCS 70.414 53.064 . 22) Furman ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-FCS 70.349 68.668 . 23) McNeese St ( 9 - 3) Southland DI-FCS 70.043 60.168 . 24) UC-Davis ( 6 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 70.039 69.039 . 25) Holy Cross ( 9 - 3) Patriot DI-FCS 69.748 58.498 . 26) Texas St-San Marcos ( 7 - 4) Southland DI-FCS 69.628 63.855 . 27) Liberty ( 8 - 3) BigSouth DI-FCS 69.371 58.962 . 28) Lafayette ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-FCS 69.283 59.192 . 29) Massachusetts ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 68.505 69.414 . 30) Chattanooga ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-FCS 68.462 67.553 . 31) Eastern Illinois ( 8 - 4) OVC DI-FCS 68.378 61.128 . 32) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-FCS 67.976 58.876 . 33) Maine ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 67.800 68.982 . 34) Colgate ( 9 - 2) Patriot DI-FCS 67.105 53.650 . 35) Georgia Southern ( 5 - 6) Southern DI-FCS 66.771 69.635 . 36) Florida A&M ( 8 - 3) MEAC DI-FCS 66.320 57.138 . 37) Southern Utah ( 5 - 6) GrWest DI-FCS 66.014 66.696 . 38) Hofstra ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 65.910 67.546 . 39) Sacramento St ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-FCS 65.752 69.661 . 40) Youngstown St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 65.240 64.876 . 41) Illinois St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 64.941 63.623 . 42) North Dakota ( 6 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 64.935 64.254 . 43) Missouri St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 64.900 63.582 . 44) South Dakota ( 5 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 64.110 62.910 . 45) Samford ( 5 - 6) Southern DI-FCS 64.074 64.892 . 46) Cal Poly SLO ( 4 - 7) GrWest DI-FCS 63.831 70.468 . 47) Grambling St ( 7 - 4) SWAC DI-FCS 63.656 56.293 . 48) Brown ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-FCS 63.253 58.403 . 49) SE Louisiana St ( 6 - 5) Southland DI-FCS 62.941 61.123 . 50) Central Conn St ( 9 - 3) NEC DI-FCS 62.291 52.624 . 51) Stony Brook ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 62.241 60.468 . 52) Norfolk St ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-FCS 61.899 55.944 . 53) Wofford ( 3 - 8) Southern DI-FCS 61.461 71.597 . 54) Charleston Southern ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 61.406 59.951 . 55) The Citadel ( 4 - 7) Southern DI-FCS 60.897 66.260 . 56) Tennessee Tech ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-FCS 60.577 59.986 . 57) Central Arkansas ( 5 - 7) Southland DI-FCS 60.446 59.821 . 58) Northeastern ( 3 - 8) Colonial DI-FCS 60.124 72.487 . 59) Eastern Kentucky ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-FCS 59.859 61.041 . 60) Albany NY ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-FCS 59.829 52.556 . 61) Alabama A&M ( 7 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 59.464 54.964 . 62) Dayton ( 9 - 2) Pioneer DI-FCS 58.593 43.320 . 63) Butler (11 - 1) Pioneer DI-FCS 58.313 42.272 . 64) Gardner-Webb ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 57.719 56.219 . 65) Northern Colorado ( 3 - 8) BigSky DI-FCS 57.672 68.263 . 66) Drake ( 8 - 3) Pioneer DI-FCS 57.587 46.405 . 67) Coastal Carolina ( 5 - 6) BigSouth DI-FCS 57.501 60.138 . 68) Towson ( 2 - 9) Colonial DI-FCS 57.071 73.298 . 69) Texas Southern ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 56.330 55.830 . 70) Morgan St ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-FCS 56.186 55.777 . 71) Old Dominion ( 9 - 2) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 56.150 42.195 . 72) Lehigh ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-FCS 56.072 61.072 . 73) Columbia ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 55.978 59.128 . 74) Delaware St ( 4 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 55.679 59.579 . 75) Sam Houston St ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-FCS 55.659 59.068 . 76) Portland St ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-FCS 55.594 69.821 . 77) North Dakota St ( 3 - 8) MVFC DI-FCS 55.479 63.525 . 78) Tennessee-Martin ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-FCS 54.665 55.620 . 79) Nicholls St ( 3 - 8) Southland DI-FCS 54.534 65.034 . 80) Idaho St ( 1 - 10) BigSky DI-FCS 54.328 74.555 . 81) Southern U. ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 54.161 51.252 . 82) Fordham ( 5 - 6) Patriot DI-FCS 54.053 55.053 . 83) Rhode Island ( 1 - 10) Colonial DI-FCS 53.659 71.613 . 84) Yale ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 53.246 56.896 . 85) Hampton ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 53.087 54.542 . 86) Western Carolina ( 2 - 9) Southern DI-FCS 52.995 67.313 . 87) Jacksonville FL ( 7 - 4) Pioneer DI-FCS 52.566 44.975 . 88) Austin Peay ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-FCS 52.454 59.408 . 89) Princeton ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 51.974 59.374 . 90) Alcorn St ( 3 - 6) SWAC DI-FCS 51.198 58.698 . 91) Tennessee St ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-FCS 50.054 56.009 . 92) North Carolina A&T ( 4 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 49.991 54.541 . 93) Monmouth NJ ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-FCS 49.886 51.431 . 94) Bryant ( 5 - 6) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 49.814 50.359 . 95) Dartmouth ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-FCS 49.116 62.766 . 96) Robert Morris ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-FCS 49.071 49.116 . 97) Marist ( 7 - 4) Pioneer DI-FCS 49.031 42.576 . 98) Bethune-Cookman ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 48.688 52.598 . 99) VMI ( 2 - 9) BigSouth DI-FCS 48.475 61.839 . 100) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 5 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 47.942 48.942 . 101) SE Missouri St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-FCS 47.890 61.980 . 102) Bucknell ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-FCS 47.409 55.409 . 103) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-FCS 47.241 45.787 . 104) Western Illinois ( 1 - 10) MVFC DI-FCS 47.062 65.971 . 105) Murray St ( 3 - 8) OVC DI-FCS 46.985 57.985 . 106) North Carolina Central ( 4 - 7) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 45.385 50.021 . 107) Jackson St ( 3 - 7) SWAC DI-FCS 45.347 54.297 . 108) Cornell NY ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-FCS 45.155 58.505 . 109) San Diego ( 4 - 7) Pioneer DI-FCS 44.946 49.264 . 110) Northwestern St ( 0 - 11) Southland DI-FCS 44.582 66.946 . 111) Indiana St ( 1 - 10) MVFC DI-FCS 41.896 63.941 . 112) Howard ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-FCS 41.424 57.242 . 113) Davidson ( 3 - 7) Pioneer DI-FCS 41.103 51.653 . 114) Presbyterian ( 0 - 11) BigSouth DI-FCS 40.967 62.785 . 115) Duquesne ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-FCS 39.826 50.508 . 116) Winston-Salem St ( 1 - 10) MEAC DI-FCS 39.760 56.715 . 117) Sacred Heart ( 2 - 8) NEC DI-FCS 38.877 51.477 . 118) Alabama St ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-FCS 38.111 46.384 . 119) St Francis PA ( 2 - 9) NEC DI-FCS 38.037 52.810 . 120) Mississippi Valley St ( 3 - 8) SWAC DI-FCS 35.868 47.550 . 121) Georgetown DC ( 0 - 11) Patriot DI-FCS 35.215 58.988 . 122) Campbell ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-FCS 34.891 44.664 . 123) Morehead St ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-FCS 32.118 42.300 . 124) Savannah St ( 2 - 8) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 27.629 40.879 . 125) Valparaiso ( 1 - 10) Pioneer DI-FCS 25.030 45.894 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.8765 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.4984 550 of the 3980 games were upsets. ( 13.819%) These ratings are based on 3980 games played between 726 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Colonial DI-FCS 72.352 71.086 12 BigSky DI-FCS 68.785 70.255 9 Southern DI-FCS 67.267 67.825 9 GrWest DI-FCS 65.786 66.673 5 MVFC DI-FCS 63.277 64.340 9 Southland DI-FCS 61.258 62.123 8 Ivy DI-FCS 57.705 59.205 8 OVC DI-FCS 57.362 59.602 9 Patriot DI-FCS 56.984 57.409 7 BigSouth DI-FCS 56.811 60.052 7 MEAC DI-FCS 54.820 56.311 10 SWAC DI-FCS 52.249 52.727 10 NEC DI-FCS 48.132 50.789 8 Pioneer DI-FCS 45.418 45.332 10 FCS-Ind DI-FCS 44.745 45.863 4 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 19-Nov-09 Tennessee St 21 Eastern Illinois 10 <== upset! 14-Nov-09 Florida A&M 0 Hampton 25 <== upset! 21-Nov-09 Holy Cross 17 Bucknell 23 <== upset! 14-Nov-09 Western Carolina 24 Eastern Kentucky 7 <== upset! 12-Sep-09 Urbana 13 Dayton 10 <== upset! 19-Sep-09 Morehead St 13 North Carolina Central 10 <== upset! 07-Nov-09 Grambling St 42 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49 <== upset! 19-Nov-09 Nicholls St 45 SE Louisiana St 30 <== upset! 24-Oct-09 Columbia 6 Dartmouth 28 <== upset! 12-Sep-09 McNeese St 40 Appalachian St 35 <== upset! There were 110 upsets out of 779 games ( 14.121%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FCS.