Flat (NCAA Division I - Championship Subdivision) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Villanova (14 - 1) Colonial DI-FCS 68.794 60.127 . 2) Montana (14 - 1) BigSky DI-FCS 66.924 58.257 . 3) William & Mary (11 - 3) Colonial DI-FCS 65.759 60.045 . 4) Richmond (11 - 2) Colonial DI-FCS 65.194 58.271 . 5) Appalachian St (11 - 3) Southern DI-FCS 63.970 58.256 . 6) Southern Illinois (11 - 2) MVFC DI-FCS 62.569 55.646 . 7) New Hampshire (10 - 3) Colonial DI-FCS 62.202 56.818 . 8) Eastern Washington ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-FCS 61.978 58.645 . 9) Elon ( 9 - 3) Southern DI-FCS 61.042 56.042 . 10) Weber St ( 7 - 5) BigSky DI-FCS 61.029 59.363 . 11) South Carolina St (10 - 2) MEAC DI-FCS 60.891 54.225 . 12) Montana St ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-FCS 60.706 57.979 . 13) Delaware ( 6 - 5) Colonial DI-FCS 60.638 59.729 . 14) Jacksonville St ( 8 - 3) OVC DI-FCS 60.289 55.744 . 15) South Dakota St ( 8 - 4) MVFC DI-FCS 60.288 56.955 . 16) Stephen F. Austin (10 - 3) Southland DI-FCS 60.122 54.737 . 17) Prairie View A&M ( 9 - 1) SWAC DI-FCS 59.971 51.971 . 18) James Madison ( 6 - 5) Colonial DI-FCS 59.923 59.014 . 19) Pennsylvania ( 8 - 2) Ivy DI-FCS 59.694 53.694 . 20) McNeese St ( 9 - 3) Southland DI-FCS 59.274 54.274 . 21) Northern Arizona ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-FCS 59.188 60.097 . 22) UC-Davis ( 6 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 59.166 58.257 . 23) Furman ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-FCS 58.611 57.702 . 24) Texas St-San Marcos ( 7 - 4) Southland DI-FCS 58.590 55.863 . 25) Northern Iowa ( 7 - 4) MVFC DI-FCS 58.330 55.603 . 26) Holy Cross ( 9 - 3) Patriot DI-FCS 58.241 53.241 . 27) Eastern Illinois ( 8 - 4) OVC DI-FCS 58.116 54.782 . 28) Chattanooga ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-FCS 58.055 57.146 . 29) Liberty ( 8 - 3) BigSouth DI-FCS 57.980 53.434 . 30) Lafayette ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-FCS 57.934 53.389 . 31) Sacramento St ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-FCS 57.875 58.784 . 32) Florida A&M ( 8 - 3) MEAC DI-FCS 57.853 53.308 . 33) Colgate ( 9 - 2) Patriot DI-FCS 57.487 51.124 . 34) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-FCS 57.176 53.176 . 35) Massachusetts ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 57.088 57.998 . 36) Youngstown St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 57.060 56.151 . 37) Georgia Southern ( 5 - 6) Southern DI-FCS 56.987 57.896 . 38) Maine ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 56.872 57.781 . 39) North Dakota ( 6 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 56.818 55.909 . 40) Illinois St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 56.510 55.601 . 41) Missouri St ( 6 - 5) MVFC DI-FCS 56.460 55.551 . 42) Southern Utah ( 5 - 6) GrWest DI-FCS 56.223 57.132 . 43) Hofstra ( 5 - 6) Colonial DI-FCS 56.165 57.074 . 44) Cal Poly SLO ( 4 - 7) GrWest DI-FCS 56.130 58.857 . 45) Grambling St ( 7 - 4) SWAC DI-FCS 56.011 53.284 . 46) Norfolk St ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-FCS 55.533 52.806 . 47) South Dakota ( 5 - 5) GrWest DI-FCS 55.496 55.496 . 48) SE Louisiana St ( 6 - 5) Southland DI-FCS 55.490 54.581 . 49) Samford ( 5 - 6) Southern DI-FCS 55.251 56.160 . 50) Tennessee Tech ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-FCS 55.230 54.321 . 51) Central Conn St ( 9 - 3) NEC DI-FCS 55.152 50.152 . 52) Stony Brook ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 55.009 54.100 . 53) Butler (11 - 1) Pioneer DI-FCS 55.005 46.671 . 54) Brown ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-FCS 54.999 52.999 . 55) Northeastern ( 3 - 8) Colonial DI-FCS 54.850 59.395 . 56) Charleston Southern ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 54.840 53.931 . 57) Wofford ( 3 - 8) Southern DI-FCS 54.480 59.026 . 58) Alabama A&M ( 7 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 54.263 52.597 . 59) The Citadel ( 4 - 7) Southern DI-FCS 53.928 56.655 . 60) Texas Southern ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 53.787 52.878 . 61) Eastern Kentucky ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-FCS 53.730 54.639 . 62) Morgan St ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-FCS 53.650 52.741 . 63) Towson ( 2 - 9) Colonial DI-FCS 53.633 59.997 . 64) Northern Colorado ( 3 - 8) BigSky DI-FCS 53.404 57.950 . 65) Dayton ( 9 - 2) Pioneer DI-FCS 53.276 46.913 . 66) Gardner-Webb ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-FCS 53.181 52.272 . 67) Drake ( 8 - 3) Pioneer DI-FCS 53.046 48.501 . 68) Coastal Carolina ( 5 - 6) BigSouth DI-FCS 53.042 53.951 . 69) Albany NY ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-FCS 52.836 50.109 . 70) Sam Houston St ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-FCS 52.731 53.640 . 71) Central Arkansas ( 5 - 7) Southland DI-FCS 52.710 54.377 . 72) Portland St ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-FCS 52.523 58.887 . 73) Idaho St ( 1 - 10) BigSky DI-FCS 52.421 60.603 . 74) Delaware St ( 4 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 52.387 54.387 . 75) Old Dominion ( 9 - 2) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 52.300 45.936 . 76) Southern U. ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 51.913 51.004 . 77) Lehigh ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-FCS 51.786 54.513 . 78) Nicholls St ( 3 - 8) Southland DI-FCS 51.623 56.168 . 79) Tennessee-Martin ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-FCS 51.597 52.506 . 80) Columbia ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 51.342 53.342 . 81) Hampton ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 51.295 52.204 . 82) Princeton ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 51.289 53.289 . 83) Austin Peay ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-FCS 51.186 53.913 . 84) North Dakota St ( 3 - 8) MVFC DI-FCS 51.087 55.632 . 85) Alcorn St ( 3 - 6) SWAC DI-FCS 50.938 54.271 . 86) Rhode Island ( 1 - 10) Colonial DI-FCS 50.759 58.941 . 87) Western Carolina ( 2 - 9) Southern DI-FCS 50.730 57.094 . 88) Fordham ( 5 - 6) Patriot DI-FCS 50.693 51.602 . 89) Jacksonville FL ( 7 - 4) Pioneer DI-FCS 50.477 47.749 . 90) Yale ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-FCS 50.387 52.387 . 91) Bethune-Cookman ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 50.316 51.225 . 92) North Carolina A&T ( 4 - 6) MEAC DI-FCS 50.175 52.175 . 93) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 5 - 5) SWAC DI-FCS 49.992 49.992 . 94) Tennessee St ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-FCS 49.989 52.716 . 95) Marist ( 7 - 4) Pioneer DI-FCS 49.215 46.488 . 96) Dartmouth ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-FCS 48.992 54.992 . 97) Bucknell ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-FCS 48.933 51.660 . 98) SE Missouri St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-FCS 48.850 55.213 . 99) Murray St ( 3 - 8) OVC DI-FCS 48.832 53.377 . 100) Monmouth NJ ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-FCS 48.826 49.735 . 101) Western Illinois ( 1 - 10) MVFC DI-FCS 48.457 56.638 . 102) VMI ( 2 - 9) BigSouth DI-FCS 48.379 54.743 . 103) Jackson St ( 3 - 7) SWAC DI-FCS 48.311 52.311 . 104) Bryant ( 5 - 6) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 48.182 49.092 . 105) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-FCS 48.054 47.145 . 106) Robert Morris ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-FCS 47.806 48.715 . 107) Indiana St ( 1 - 10) MVFC DI-FCS 47.566 55.748 . 108) Northwestern St ( 0 - 11) Southland DI-FCS 47.361 57.361 . 109) North Carolina Central ( 4 - 7) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 47.155 49.882 . 110) Cornell NY ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-FCS 47.099 53.099 . 111) Howard ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-FCS 46.981 53.345 . 112) San Diego ( 4 - 7) Pioneer DI-FCS 46.865 49.592 . 113) Davidson ( 3 - 7) Pioneer DI-FCS 46.322 50.322 . 114) Alabama St ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-FCS 45.984 48.711 . 115) Presbyterian ( 0 - 11) BigSouth DI-FCS 45.124 55.124 . 116) Winston-Salem St ( 1 - 10) MEAC DI-FCS 45.037 53.219 . 117) Mississippi Valley St ( 3 - 8) SWAC DI-FCS 44.936 49.481 . 118) Duquesne ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-FCS 44.743 49.288 . 119) St Francis PA ( 2 - 9) NEC DI-FCS 43.799 50.162 . 120) Sacred Heart ( 2 - 8) NEC DI-FCS 43.685 49.685 . 121) Georgetown DC ( 0 - 11) Patriot DI-FCS 43.559 53.559 . 122) Campbell ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-FCS 43.273 47.819 . 123) Morehead St ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-FCS 41.969 46.515 . 124) Savannah St ( 2 - 8) FCS-Ind DI-FCS 40.215 46.215 . 125) Valparaiso ( 1 - 10) Pioneer DI-FCS 39.964 48.146 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.4783 535 of the 3980 games were upsets. ( 13.442%) These ratings are based on 3980 games played between 726 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Colonial DI-FCS 59.323 58.766 12 BigSky DI-FCS 58.450 58.952 9 Southern DI-FCS 57.006 57.331 9 GrWest DI-FCS 56.767 57.130 5 MVFC DI-FCS 55.370 55.947 9 Southland DI-FCS 54.738 55.125 8 OVC DI-FCS 53.091 54.135 9 Patriot DI-FCS 52.662 52.727 7 Ivy DI-FCS 52.622 53.372 8 BigSouth DI-FCS 52.508 53.936 7 MEAC DI-FCS 52.412 52.964 10 SWAC DI-FCS 51.611 51.650 10 NEC DI-FCS 48.113 49.374 8 Pioneer DI-FCS 47.941 47.872 10 FCS-Ind DI-FCS 46.963 47.781 4 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 21-Nov-09 Holy Cross 17 Bucknell 23 <== upset! 19-Nov-09 Tennessee St 21 Eastern Illinois 10 <== upset! 07-Nov-09 Central Conn St 27 Wagner 32 <== upset! 10-Oct-09 Villanova 24 New Hampshire 28 <== upset! 14-Nov-09 Florida A&M 0 Hampton 25 <== upset! 21-Nov-09 Lafayette 21 Lehigh 27 <== upset! 07-Nov-09 Grambling St 42 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 49 <== upset! 12-Sep-09 Texas College 0 Stephen F. Austin 92 12-Sep-09 Urbana 13 Dayton 10 <== upset! 12-Sep-09 Norfolk St 13 North Carolina A&T 17 <== upset! There were 107 upsets out of 779 games ( 13.736%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FCS.