Flat (NCAA Division I - Bowl Subdivision) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Alabama (14 - 0) SEC DI-FBS 76.539 66.539 . 2) Florida (13 - 1) SEC DI-FBS 74.772 66.201 . 3) Texas (13 - 1) Big12 DI-FBS 73.931 65.360 . 4) TCU (12 - 1) MWC DI-FBS 73.084 64.623 . 5) Oregon (10 - 3) Pac-10 DI-FBS 72.877 67.493 . 6) Cincinnati (12 - 1) BigEast DI-FBS 72.834 64.372 . 7) Boise St (14 - 0) WAC DI-FBS 72.747 62.747 . 8) Ohio State (11 - 2) Big10 DI-FBS 72.404 65.481 . 9) Iowa (11 - 2) Big10 DI-FBS 72.343 65.420 . 10) Georgia Tech (11 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 71.937 66.222 . 11) Virginia Tech (10 - 3) ACC DI-FBS 71.856 66.472 . 12) Brigham Young (11 - 2) MWC DI-FBS 71.427 64.504 . 13) Penn State (11 - 2) Big10 DI-FBS 71.038 64.115 . 14) LSU ( 9 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 70.428 66.581 . 15) Southern Cal ( 9 - 4) Pac-10 DI-FBS 70.364 66.518 . 16) Pittsburgh (10 - 3) BigEast DI-FBS 70.362 64.978 . 17) Miami FL ( 9 - 4) ACC DI-FBS 70.132 66.286 . 18) Utah (10 - 3) MWC DI-FBS 69.858 64.473 . 19) Wisconsin (10 - 3) Big10 DI-FBS 69.856 64.471 . 20) West Virginia ( 9 - 4) BigEast DI-FBS 69.392 65.546 . 21) Arizona ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-FBS 69.265 66.958 . 22) Nebraska (10 - 4) Big12 DI-FBS 69.005 64.719 . 23) Arkansas ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 68.769 66.461 . 24) Georgia ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 68.760 66.453 . 25) Oregon St ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-FBS 68.721 66.413 . 26) Mississippi ( 9 - 4) SEC DI-FBS 68.716 64.869 . 27) Oklahoma St ( 9 - 4) Big12 DI-FBS 68.709 64.863 . 28) Clemson ( 9 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 68.525 65.668 . 29) California ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-FBS 68.429 66.122 . 30) Stanford ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-FBS 68.410 66.102 . 31) Auburn ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-FBS 68.357 66.050 . 32) Oklahoma ( 8 - 5) Big12 DI-FBS 67.970 65.662 . 33) Texas Tech ( 9 - 4) Big12 DI-FBS 67.862 64.016 . 34) Florida St ( 7 - 6) ACC DI-FBS 67.819 67.050 . 35) North Carolina ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 67.664 65.356 . 36) South Carolina ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 67.489 66.720 . 37) Navy (10 - 4) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 67.413 63.127 . 38) Connecticut ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-FBS 67.298 64.990 . 39) East Carolina ( 9 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 67.054 64.196 . 40) Central Michigan (12 - 2) MAC DI-FBS 67.026 59.883 . 41) UCLA ( 7 - 6) Pac-10 DI-FBS 66.984 66.215 . 42) Tennessee ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 66.813 66.044 . 43) Missouri ( 8 - 5) Big12 DI-FBS 66.802 64.494 . 44) Boston College ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-FBS 66.770 64.462 . 45) Fresno St ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-FBS 66.164 63.856 . 46) Rutgers ( 9 - 4) BigEast DI-FBS 66.096 62.250 . 47) Air Force ( 8 - 5) MWC DI-FBS 66.060 63.753 . 48) Houston (10 - 4) CUSA DI-FBS 66.051 61.766 . 49) South Florida ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-FBS 66.015 63.707 . 50) Kentucky ( 7 - 6) SEC DI-FBS 65.835 65.066 . 51) Notre Dame ( 6 - 6) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 65.834 65.834 . 52) Nevada ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-FBS 65.660 63.352 . 53) Washington ( 5 - 7) Pac-10 DI-FBS 65.635 67.302 . 54) Wyoming ( 7 - 6) MWC DI-FBS 65.547 64.778 . 55) Minnesota ( 6 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 65.374 66.144 . 56) Mississippi St ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-FBS 65.295 66.961 . 57) Troy ( 9 - 4) SunBelt DI-FBS 65.258 61.412 . 58) Northwestern ( 8 - 5) Big10 DI-FBS 65.157 62.849 . 59) SMU ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 65.149 62.841 . 60) Central Florida ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-FBS 65.117 62.810 . 61) Middle Tennessee St (10 - 3) SunBelt DI-FBS 65.027 59.643 . 62) Idaho ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-FBS 64.845 62.537 . 63) Michigan St ( 6 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 64.429 65.199 . 64) Temple ( 9 - 4) MAC DI-FBS 64.341 60.494 . 65) Texas A&M ( 6 - 7) Big12 DI-FBS 64.154 64.923 . 66) Marshall ( 7 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 64.088 63.318 . 67) Iowa St ( 7 - 6) Big12 DI-FBS 63.927 63.158 . 68) Wake Forest ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 63.848 65.515 . 69) Kansas St ( 6 - 6) Big12 DI-FBS 63.524 63.524 . 70) Ohio U. ( 9 - 5) MAC DI-FBS 63.171 60.314 . 71) UNLV ( 5 - 7) MWC DI-FBS 63.157 64.824 . 72) Purdue ( 5 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 63.122 64.789 . 73) Bowling Green ( 7 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 62.653 61.883 . 74) Arizona St ( 4 - 8) Pac-10 DI-FBS 62.596 65.930 . 75) Kansas ( 5 - 7) Big12 DI-FBS 62.441 64.108 . 76) Syracuse ( 4 - 8) BigEast DI-FBS 62.322 65.655 . 77) Southern Miss ( 7 - 6) CUSA DI-FBS 62.246 61.477 . 78) North Carolina St ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 62.225 63.891 . 79) Hawai`i ( 6 - 7) WAC DI-FBS 62.172 62.941 . 80) Duke ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-FBS 61.702 63.369 . 81) Michigan ( 5 - 7) Big10 DI-FBS 61.674 63.341 . 82) Virginia ( 3 - 9) ACC DI-FBS 61.558 66.558 . 83) Baylor ( 4 - 8) Big12 DI-FBS 61.555 64.888 . 84) Louisville ( 4 - 8) BigEast DI-FBS 61.376 64.709 . 85) Alabama-Birmingham ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 61.079 62.746 . 86) San Diego St ( 4 - 8) MWC DI-FBS 60.946 64.279 . 87) Utah St ( 4 - 8) WAC DI-FBS 60.774 64.108 . 88) Colorado ( 3 - 9) Big12 DI-FBS 60.502 65.502 . 89) Illinois ( 3 - 9) Big10 DI-FBS 60.490 65.490 . 90) Louisiana Tech ( 4 - 8) WAC DI-FBS 60.479 63.812 . 91) Louisiana-Monroe ( 6 - 6) SunBelt DI-FBS 60.420 60.420 . 92) Indiana ( 4 - 8) Big10 DI-FBS 60.376 63.710 . 93) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 6 - 6) SunBelt DI-FBS 60.322 60.322 . 94) Northern Illinois ( 7 - 6) MAC DI-FBS 60.298 59.529 . 95) Tulsa ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-FBS 60.035 61.701 . 96) Colorado St ( 3 - 9) MWC DI-FBS 59.896 64.896 . 97) Florida Atlantic ( 5 - 7) SunBelt DI-FBS 59.418 61.085 . 98) Buffalo ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 59.182 60.849 . 99) Washington St ( 1 - 11) Pac-10 DI-FBS 58.870 67.203 . 100) Vanderbilt ( 2 - 10) SEC DI-FBS 58.794 65.460 . 101) Toledo ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 58.694 60.361 . 102) Maryland ( 2 - 10) ACC DI-FBS 58.648 65.315 . 103) UTEP ( 4 - 8) CUSA DI-FBS 58.417 61.750 . 104) Tulane ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-FBS 58.082 63.082 . 105) San Jose St ( 2 - 10) WAC DI-FBS 57.936 64.603 . 106) Kent St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 57.790 59.456 . 107) Army ( 5 - 7) FBS-Ind DI-FBS 57.771 59.438 . 108) New Mexico St ( 3 - 10) WAC DI-FBS 57.627 63.012 . 109) Florida Int'l ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-FBS 57.340 62.340 . 110) Western Michigan ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-FBS 57.098 58.765 . 111) Rice ( 2 - 10) CUSA DI-FBS 56.980 63.647 . 112) Arkansas St ( 4 - 8) SunBelt DI-FBS 56.690 60.024 . 113) New Mexico ( 1 - 11) MWC DI-FBS 56.638 64.971 . 114) Memphis ( 2 - 10) CUSA DI-FBS 56.353 63.020 . 115) Akron ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-FBS 56.046 61.046 . 116) Miami OH ( 1 - 11) MAC DI-FBS 54.983 63.317 . 117) North Texas ( 2 - 10) SunBelt DI-FBS 53.896 60.563 . 118) Ball St ( 2 - 10) MAC DI-FBS 53.851 60.518 . 119) Western Kentucky ( 0 - 12) SunBelt DI-FBS 50.944 60.944 . 120) Eastern Michigan ( 0 - 12) MAC DI-FBS 50.709 60.709 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.4783 535 of the 3980 games were upsets. ( 13.442%) These ratings are based on 3980 games played between 726 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ SEC DI-FBS 68.381 66.117 12 Pac-10 DI-FBS 67.215 66.626 10 BigEast DI-FBS 66.962 64.526 8 ACC DI-FBS 66.057 65.514 12 Big10 DI-FBS 66.024 64.637 11 Big12 DI-FBS 65.865 64.601 12 MWC DI-FBS 65.179 64.567 9 FBS-Ind DI-FBS 63.673 62.800 3 WAC DI-FBS 63.156 63.441 9 CUSA DI-FBS 61.721 62.696 12 MAC DI-FBS 58.911 60.548 13 SunBelt DI-FBS 58.813 60.750 9 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 03-Oct-09 Clemson 21 Maryland 24 <== upset! 17-Oct-09 Ohio State 18 Purdue 26 <== upset! 26-Sep-09 Pittsburgh 31 North Carolina St 38 <== upset! 03-Oct-09 Houston 41 UTEP 58 <== upset! 07-Nov-09 Northwestern 17 Iowa 10 <== upset! 19-Sep-09 SMU 27 Washington St 30 <== upset! 03-Oct-09 Virginia 16 North Carolina 3 <== upset! 19-Sep-09 Nevada 20 Colorado St 35 <== upset! 28-Nov-09 Marshall 21 UTEP 52 <== upset! 28-Nov-09 North Carolina 27 North Carolina St 28 <== upset! There were 125 upsets out of 808 games ( 15.470%) involving teams from NCAA DI-FBS.