TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I-AA) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Appalachian St (12 - 3) Southern DI-AA 90.864 77.898 . 2) Furman (11 - 3) Southern DI-AA 83.547 71.904 . 3) Northern Iowa (11 - 4) GFC DI-AA 82.780 73.414 . 4) Texas St-San Marcos (11 - 3) Southland DI-AA 82.135 68.671 . 5) Montana ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 81.107 73.274 . 6) Cal Poly SLO ( 9 - 4) GWFC DI-AA 80.492 71.377 . 7) Southern Illinois ( 9 - 4) GFC DI-AA 78.869 68.869 . 8) New Hampshire (11 - 2) Atl10 DI-AA 78.623 63.546 . 9) Richmond ( 9 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 78.526 70.141 . 10) Georgia Southern ( 8 - 4) Southern DI-AA 78.380 70.505 . 11) Montana St ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 78.134 72.907 . 12) Massachusetts ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 77.966 68.921 . 13) Illinois St ( 7 - 4) GFC DI-AA 77.760 69.124 . 14) Eastern Washington ( 7 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 77.734 71.401 . 15) Youngstown St ( 8 - 3) GFC DI-AA 76.723 66.860 . 16) Portland St ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 76.691 73.873 . 17) North Dakota St ( 7 - 4) GWFC DI-AA 76.352 68.125 . 18) Hofstra ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 75.465 67.146 . 19) Brown ( 9 - 1) Ivy DI-AA 75.352 57.202 . 20) Western Carolina ( 5 - 4) Southern DI-AA 75.146 72.757 . 21) Nicholls St ( 6 - 4) Southland DI-AA 75.033 69.283 . 22) James Madison ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 74.179 65.360 . 23) UC-Davis ( 6 - 5) GWFC DI-AA 73.685 71.321 . 24) Western Kentucky ( 6 - 5) GFC DI-AA 72.402 69.902 . 25) Wofford ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 72.140 71.458 . 26) Princeton ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 71.984 62.834 . 27) Eastern Kentucky ( 7 - 4) OVC DI-AA 71.924 63.788 . 28) Eastern Illinois ( 9 - 3) OVC DI-AA 71.819 61.402 . 29) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 71.406 62.506 . 30) Weber St ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 70.833 68.560 . 31) Chattanooga ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 70.582 70.309 . 32) Hampton (11 - 1) MEAC DI-AA 70.160 51.160 . 33) Northwestern St ( 5 - 5) Southland DI-AA 69.767 70.417 . 34) McNeese St ( 5 - 4) Southland DI-AA 69.602 69.158 . 35) South Carolina St ( 9 - 2) MEAC DI-AA 69.199 53.926 . 36) Grambling St (11 - 1) SWAC DI-AA 69.052 50.177 . 37) Lafayette ( 8 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 68.922 60.755 . 38) Delaware ( 6 - 5) Atl10 DI-AA 68.868 67.959 . 39) Lehigh ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 68.622 57.031 . 40) Coastal Carolina ( 9 - 2) BigSo DI-AA 68.489 55.625 . 41) The Citadel ( 4 - 7) Southern DI-AA 68.189 73.961 . 42) Colgate ( 8 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 67.713 59.755 . 43) Idaho St ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-AA 67.408 69.317 . 44) South Dakota St ( 6 - 5) GWFC DI-AA 66.974 65.201 . 45) Maine ( 5 - 6) Atl10 DI-AA 66.211 69.393 . 46) Western Illinois ( 5 - 6) GFC DI-AA 65.959 68.004 . 47) Jacksonville St ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-AA 65.536 62.081 . 48) Cornell NY ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-AA 65.239 58.939 . 49) Stephen F. Austin ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-AA 64.656 67.701 . 50) William & Mary ( 5 - 6) Atl10 DI-AA 64.178 64.450 . 51) San Diego (11 - 1) Pioneer DI-AA 63.583 44.667 . 52) Missouri St ( 4 - 6) GFC DI-AA 62.990 68.090 . 53) Sam Houston St ( 3 - 7) Southland DI-AA 62.352 70.152 . 54) Delaware St ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 62.166 56.621 . 55) SE Louisiana St ( 4 - 6) Southland DI-AA 61.630 65.430 . 56) Dayton ( 9 - 1) Pioneer DI-AA 61.245 41.095 . 57) Towson ( 6 - 5) Atl10 DI-AA 61.194 59.876 . 58) Yale ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 61.148 62.998 . 59) Northern Colorado ( 4 - 7) GWFC DI-AA 60.588 65.633 . 60) Northern Arizona ( 3 - 8) BigSky DI-AA 60.356 70.856 . 61) Tennessee-Martin ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-AA 59.815 59.860 . 62) Villanova ( 4 - 7) Atl10 DI-AA 59.685 66.413 . 63) Sacramento St ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-AA 59.429 74.565 . 64) Rhode Island ( 4 - 7) Atl10 DI-AA 59.358 64.086 . 65) Pennsylvania ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 59.278 58.878 . 66) Holy Cross ( 6 - 5) Patriot DI-AA 58.821 56.730 . 67) Florida A&M ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-AA 58.067 58.112 . 68) Alabama A&M ( 9 - 3) SWAC DI-AA 57.640 46.973 . 69) Elon ( 3 - 8) Southern DI-AA 57.532 68.486 . 70) Samford ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-AA 57.305 59.487 . 71) Northeastern ( 2 - 9) Atl10 DI-AA 56.686 69.777 . 72) Alabama St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 55.802 51.211 . 73) Bethune-Cookman ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 54.904 48.631 . 74) Drake ( 6 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 53.229 46.079 . 75) Morehead St ( 8 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 52.660 45.368 . 76) VMI ( 3 - 8) BigSo DI-AA 52.211 61.711 . 77) Tennessee Tech ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-AA 52.162 58.707 . 78) Charleston Southern ( 7 - 4) BigSo DI-AA 51.997 47.679 . 79) Gardner-Webb ( 5 - 6) BigSo DI-AA 51.092 53.546 . 80) Southern Utah ( 1 - 9) GWFC DI-AA 50.548 70.348 . 81) Dartmouth ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 50.478 65.478 . 82) Monmouth NJ ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 50.450 44.300 . 83) Alcorn St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 50.344 49.207 . 84) Indiana St ( 0 - 11) GFC DI-AA 50.010 73.147 . 85) Mississippi Valley St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 49.596 47.778 . 86) Albany NY ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-AA 48.645 49.873 . 87) Central Conn St ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-AA 48.597 43.915 . 88) Duquesne ( 7 - 3) MAAC DI-AA 48.377 38.127 . 89) Marist ( 7 - 4) MAAC DI-AA 48.107 42.834 . 90) SE Missouri St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 47.513 60.832 . 91) Southern U. ( 4 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 47.104 49.049 . 92) Georgetown DC ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-AA 46.927 56.245 . 93) Stony Brook ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 46.001 45.546 . 94) Howard ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 45.813 51.950 . 95) Murray St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 45.770 59.815 . 96) Norfolk St ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 45.531 51.259 . 97) Columbia ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 45.217 61.317 . 98) North Carolina A&T ( 3 - 8) MEAC DI-AA 44.482 54.618 . 99) Prairie View A&M ( 5 - 6) SWAC DI-AA 42.596 44.959 . 100) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 3 - 8) SWAC DI-AA 42.111 51.156 . 101) Liberty ( 1 - 10) BigSo DI-AA 41.658 59.658 . 102) Fordham ( 2 - 9) Patriot DI-AA 40.986 57.077 . 103) Morgan St ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-AA 40.656 53.384 . 104) Jacksonville FL ( 4 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 40.494 40.556 . 105) Tennessee St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 40.190 56.599 . 106) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 39.920 38.329 . 107) Bucknell ( 1 - 10) Patriot DI-AA 39.891 57.300 . 108) Sacred Heart ( 4 - 6) NEC DI-AA 39.067 43.517 . 109) Davidson ( 4 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 38.774 42.924 . 110) Texas Southern ( 1 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 37.972 55.017 . 111) Jackson St ( 2 - 9) SWAC DI-AA 36.324 51.142 . 112) St Francis PA ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-AA 32.356 41.038 . 113) Valparaiso ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-AA 31.643 42.143 . 114) Robert Morris ( 2 - 8) NEC DI-AA 31.580 43.380 . 115) Iona ( 3 - 7) MAAC DI-AA 30.697 40.797 . 116) Savannah St ( 0 - 11) IAA-Ind DI-AA 27.165 49.710 . 117) Austin Peay ( 2 - 9) Pioneer DI-AA 26.990 43.581 . 118) La Salle ( 4 - 7) MAAC DI-AA 26.250 33.295 . 119) Butler ( 0 - 11) Pioneer DI-AA 23.015 46.879 . 120) St Peter's ( 1 - 9) MAAC DI-AA 19.870 38.670 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.9571 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.7805 558 of the 3792 games were upsets. ( 14.715%) These ratings are based on 3792 games played between 712 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Southern DI-AA 74.548 72.160 8 BigSky DI-AA 71.461 71.844 8 GFC DI-AA 70.937 69.676 8 Southland DI-AA 69.311 68.687 7 Atl10 DI-AA 68.412 66.422 12 GWFC DI-AA 68.107 68.668 6 Ivy DI-AA 62.513 61.269 8 OVC DI-AA 56.893 60.286 9 Patriot DI-AA 55.983 57.842 7 MEAC DI-AA 54.553 53.296 9 BigSo DI-AA 53.089 55.644 5 SWAC DI-AA 48.854 49.667 10 Pioneer DI-AA 43.515 43.699 9 NEC DI-AA 42.077 43.737 8 MAAC DI-AA 34.660 38.745 5 IAA-Ind DI-AA 27.165 49.710 1 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 01-Oct-05 Texas Southern 17 Alabama A&M 7 <== upset! 17-Sep-05 Presbyterian 19 Elon 34 <== upset! 08-Oct-05 New Hampshire 10 William & Mary 42 <== upset! 24-Sep-05 Jackson St 33 Mississippi Valley St 14 <== upset! 17-Sep-05 UC-Davis 20 Stanford 17 <== upset! 03-Sep-05 Central Conn St 24 Colgate 22 <== upset! 29-Oct-05 Western Illinois 31 Illinois St 17 <== upset! 08-Oct-05 Northern Iowa 21 Missouri St 24 <== upset! 13-Oct-05 Tennessee St 31 Tennessee Tech 20 <== upset! 05-Nov-05 Monmouth NJ 15 St Francis PA 19 <== upset! There were 117 upsets out of 735 games ( 15.918%) involving teams from NCAA DI-AA.