TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Texas (13 - 0) Big12 DI-A 119.365 96.558 . 2) Ohio State (10 - 2) Big10 DI-A 115.443 99.277 . 3) Penn State (11 - 1) Big10 DI-A 115.409 97.326 . 4) Southern Cal (12 - 1) Pac10 DI-A 114.742 95.742 . 5) Virginia Tech (11 - 2) ACC DI-A 113.006 95.852 . 6) LSU (11 - 2) SEC DI-A 109.949 93.872 . 7) West Virginia (11 - 1) BigEast DI-A 108.547 90.463 . 8) Miami FL ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-A 108.329 95.745 . 9) Boston College ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-A 107.318 95.360 . 10) Alabama (10 - 2) SEC DI-A 107.184 91.601 . 11) Wisconsin (10 - 3) Big10 DI-A 107.092 94.746 . 12) Georgia (10 - 3) SEC DI-A 107.057 94.365 . 13) Notre Dame ( 9 - 3) IA-Ind DI-A 106.766 94.849 . 14) Oregon (10 - 2) Pac10 DI-A 106.626 92.709 . 15) Oklahoma ( 8 - 4) Big12 DI-A 106.532 99.907 . 16) Florida ( 9 - 3) SEC DI-A 105.947 94.780 . 17) UCLA (10 - 2) Pac10 DI-A 105.607 92.732 . 18) TCU (11 - 1) MWC DI-A 105.514 87.889 . 19) Auburn ( 9 - 3) SEC DI-A 105.168 92.585 . 20) Michigan ( 7 - 5) Big10 DI-A 104.745 100.203 . 21) Clemson ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-A 103.085 94.960 . 22) Iowa ( 7 - 5) Big10 DI-A 102.345 97.220 . 23) Texas Tech ( 9 - 3) Big12 DI-A 102.294 90.336 . 24) Minnesota ( 7 - 5) Big10 DI-A 102.109 97.775 . 25) Nebraska ( 8 - 4) Big12 DI-A 101.727 94.685 . 26) Florida St ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-A 101.431 96.354 . 27) Louisville ( 9 - 3) BigEast DI-A 101.138 89.180 . 28) Northwestern ( 7 - 5) Big10 DI-A 101.030 99.030 . 29) Georgia Tech ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-A 100.206 97.415 . 30) Iowa St ( 7 - 5) Big12 DI-A 99.812 94.062 . 31) Colorado ( 7 - 6) Big12 DI-A 98.711 97.749 . 32) Kansas ( 7 - 5) Big12 DI-A 98.469 95.636 . 33) North Carolina St ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-A 98.288 94.788 . 34) Virginia ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-A 97.741 94.157 . 35) South Carolina ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-A 97.710 95.001 . 36) Arizona St ( 7 - 5) Pac10 DI-A 97.585 94.710 . 37) California ( 8 - 4) Pac10 DI-A 97.107 88.148 . 38) Missouri ( 7 - 5) Big12 DI-A 95.808 93.517 . 39) Maryland ( 5 - 6) ACC DI-A 95.792 97.883 . 40) North Carolina ( 5 - 6) ACC DI-A 95.768 99.586 . 41) Purdue ( 5 - 6) Big10 DI-A 95.635 97.090 . 42) Texas A&M ( 5 - 6) Big12 DI-A 94.983 96.847 . 43) Tulsa ( 9 - 4) CUSA DI-A 94.733 85.964 . 44) Michigan St ( 5 - 6) Big10 DI-A 94.568 96.068 . 45) Tennessee ( 5 - 6) SEC DI-A 94.489 95.943 . 46) Fresno St ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-A 92.580 84.850 . 47) Boise St ( 9 - 4) WAC DI-A 92.575 83.959 . 48) Stanford ( 5 - 6) Pac10 DI-A 92.450 95.950 . 49) South Florida ( 6 - 6) BigEast DI-A 92.292 91.583 . 50) Toledo ( 9 - 3) MAC DI-A 91.974 80.474 . 51) Kansas St ( 5 - 6) Big12 DI-A 91.707 92.616 . 52) Utah ( 7 - 5) MWC DI-A 91.380 87.255 . 53) Baylor ( 5 - 6) Big12 DI-A 90.946 93.856 . 54) Appalachian St (12 - 3) Southern DI-AA 90.864 77.898 . 55) Oregon St ( 5 - 6) Pac10 DI-A 90.750 93.113 . 56) Pittsburgh ( 5 - 6) BigEast DI-A 90.517 90.471 . 57) Southern Miss ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-A 90.494 85.327 . 58) Wake Forest ( 4 - 7) ACC DI-A 90.465 96.783 . 59) Northern Illinois ( 7 - 5) MAC DI-A 90.074 83.782 . 60) Brigham Young ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 89.975 89.933 . 61) Navy ( 8 - 4) IA-Ind DI-A 89.929 82.596 . 62) Rutgers ( 7 - 5) BigEast DI-A 89.757 85.215 . 63) Central Michigan ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 89.697 87.879 . 64) Vanderbilt ( 5 - 6) SEC DI-A 89.252 91.797 . 65) Nevada ( 9 - 3) WAC DI-A 89.217 80.425 . 66) Central Florida ( 8 - 5) CUSA DI-A 89.120 84.928 . 67) Arkansas ( 4 - 7) SEC DI-A 88.954 93.317 . 68) Colorado St ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 88.895 89.770 . 69) Miami OH ( 7 - 4) MAC DI-A 88.680 81.725 . 70) Indiana ( 4 - 7) Big10 DI-A 88.261 95.398 . 71) Memphis ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-A 88.245 84.829 . 72) Washington St ( 4 - 7) Pac10 DI-A 88.019 91.973 . 73) Louisiana Tech ( 7 - 4) WAC DI-A 87.189 82.053 . 74) New Mexico ( 6 - 5) MWC DI-A 87.065 85.655 . 75) Oklahoma St ( 4 - 7) Big12 DI-A 86.918 93.827 . 76) San Diego St ( 5 - 7) MWC DI-A 86.591 89.591 . 77) Western Michigan ( 7 - 4) MAC DI-A 85.757 80.848 . 78) Bowling Green ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 85.513 82.422 . 79) Houston ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-A 85.188 84.813 . 80) UTEP ( 8 - 4) CUSA DI-A 85.021 77.771 . 81) Arizona ( 3 - 8) Pac10 DI-A 84.641 94.004 . 82) Akron ( 7 - 6) MAC DI-A 84.313 82.505 . 83) East Carolina ( 5 - 6) CUSA DI-A 84.030 86.575 . 84) Army ( 4 - 7) IA-Ind DI-A 83.856 89.902 . 85) SMU ( 5 - 6) CUSA DI-A 83.810 85.673 . 86) Furman (11 - 3) Southern DI-AA 83.547 71.904 . 87) Connecticut ( 5 - 6) BigEast DI-A 83.534 84.170 . 88) Hawai`i ( 5 - 7) WAC DI-A 83.132 86.382 . 89) Air Force ( 4 - 7) MWC DI-A 82.814 87.177 . 90) Northern Iowa (11 - 4) GFC DI-AA 82.780 73.414 . 91) Cincinnati ( 4 - 7) BigEast DI-A 82.410 90.592 . 92) Wyoming ( 4 - 7) MWC DI-A 82.368 87.732 . 93) Ball St ( 4 - 7) MAC DI-A 82.334 90.743 . 94) Alabama-Birmingham ( 5 - 6) CUSA DI-A 82.267 82.085 . 95) Texas St-San Marcos (11 - 3) Southland DI-AA 82.135 68.671 . 96) Washington ( 2 - 9) Pac10 DI-A 81.810 94.674 . 97) Illinois ( 2 - 9) Big10 DI-A 81.453 97.998 . 98) Kentucky ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 81.255 92.119 . 99) Montana ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 81.107 73.274 . 100) Cal Poly SLO ( 9 - 4) GWFC DI-AA 80.492 71.377 . 101) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 6 - 5) SunBelt DI-A 80.162 78.889 . 102) Mississippi ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 79.744 90.199 . 103) Southern Illinois ( 9 - 4) GFC DI-AA 78.869 68.869 . 104) New Hampshire (11 - 2) Atl10 DI-AA 78.623 63.546 . 105) Richmond ( 9 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 78.526 70.141 . 106) Ohio U. ( 4 - 7) MAC DI-A 78.404 86.495 . 107) Georgia Southern ( 8 - 4) Southern DI-AA 78.380 70.505 . 108) Montana St ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 78.134 72.907 . 109) Massachusetts ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 77.966 68.921 . 110) Marshall ( 4 - 7) CUSA DI-A 77.964 85.646 . 111) Illinois St ( 7 - 4) GFC DI-AA 77.760 69.124 . 112) Eastern Washington ( 7 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 77.734 71.401 . 113) Eastern Michigan ( 4 - 7) MAC DI-A 77.610 83.656 . 114) Mississippi St ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 77.132 89.677 . 115) Arkansas St ( 6 - 6) SunBelt DI-A 77.075 77.658 . 116) Youngstown St ( 8 - 3) GFC DI-AA 76.723 66.860 . 117) Portland St ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 76.691 73.873 . 118) North Dakota St ( 7 - 4) GWFC DI-AA 76.352 68.125 . 119) Middle Tennessee St ( 4 - 7) SunBelt DI-A 75.676 81.404 . 120) Louisiana-Monroe ( 5 - 6) SunBelt DI-A 75.561 78.606 . 121) Hofstra ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 75.465 67.146 . 122) Brown ( 9 - 1) Ivy DI-AA 75.352 57.202 . 123) Duke ( 1 - 10) ACC DI-A 75.155 94.200 . 124) Western Carolina ( 5 - 4) Southern DI-AA 75.146 72.757 . 125) Nicholls St ( 6 - 4) Southland DI-AA 75.033 69.283 . 126) James Madison ( 7 - 4) Atl10 DI-AA 74.179 65.360 . 127) Syracuse ( 1 - 10) BigEast DI-A 73.886 92.340 . 128) Florida Int'l ( 5 - 6) SunBelt DI-A 73.838 76.610 . 129) UC-Davis ( 6 - 5) GWFC DI-AA 73.685 71.321 . 130) Troy ( 4 - 7) SunBelt DI-A 72.696 79.606 . 131) Western Kentucky ( 6 - 5) GFC DI-AA 72.402 69.902 . 132) Wofford ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 72.140 71.458 . 133) Princeton ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 71.984 62.834 . 134) Eastern Kentucky ( 7 - 4) OVC DI-AA 71.924 63.788 . 135) Eastern Illinois ( 9 - 3) OVC DI-AA 71.819 61.402 . 136) Utah St ( 3 - 8) WAC DI-A 71.654 83.199 . 137) UNLV ( 2 - 9) MWC DI-A 71.566 85.657 . 138) Rice ( 1 - 10) CUSA DI-A 71.527 89.937 . 139) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 71.406 62.506 . 140) San Jose St ( 3 - 8) WAC DI-A 71.333 81.015 . 141) Temple ( 0 - 11) IA-Ind DI-A 71.134 95.589 . 142) Weber St ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 70.833 68.560 . 143) Chattanooga ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 70.582 70.309 . 144) Tulane ( 2 - 9) CUSA DI-A 70.232 82.414 . 145) Hampton (11 - 1) MEAC DI-AA 70.160 51.160 . 146) Northwestern St ( 5 - 5) Southland DI-AA 69.767 70.417 . 147) McNeese St ( 5 - 4) Southland DI-AA 69.602 69.158 . 148) South Carolina St ( 9 - 2) MEAC DI-AA 69.199 53.926 . 149) Grambling St (11 - 1) SWAC DI-AA 69.052 50.177 . 150) Lafayette ( 8 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 68.922 60.755 . 151) Delaware ( 6 - 5) Atl10 DI-AA 68.868 67.959 . 152) North Texas ( 2 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 68.638 82.456 . 153) Lehigh ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 68.622 57.031 . 154) Coastal Carolina ( 9 - 2) BigSo DI-AA 68.489 55.625 . 155) Florida Atlantic ( 2 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 68.435 82.935 . 156) The Citadel ( 4 - 7) Southern DI-AA 68.189 73.961 . 157) Colgate ( 8 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 67.713 59.755 . 158) Idaho St ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-AA 67.408 69.317 . 159) South Dakota St ( 6 - 5) GWFC DI-AA 66.974 65.201 . 160) Idaho ( 2 - 9) WAC DI-A 66.759 81.032 . 161) Maine ( 5 - 6) Atl10 DI-AA 66.211 69.393 . 162) Western Illinois ( 5 - 6) GFC DI-AA 65.959 68.004 . 163) Jacksonville St ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-AA 65.536 62.081 . 164) Cornell NY ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-AA 65.239 58.939 . 165) Stephen F. Austin ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-AA 64.656 67.701 . 166) William & Mary ( 5 - 6) Atl10 DI-AA 64.178 64.450 . 167) San Diego (11 - 1) Pioneer DI-AA 63.583 44.667 . 168) Missouri St ( 4 - 6) GFC DI-AA 62.990 68.090 . 169) Kent St ( 1 - 10) MAC DI-A 62.770 80.361 . 170) Sam Houston St ( 3 - 7) Southland DI-AA 62.352 70.152 . 171) New Mexico St ( 0 - 12) WAC DI-A 62.279 85.195 . 172) Delaware St ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 62.166 56.621 . 173) SE Louisiana St ( 4 - 6) Southland DI-AA 61.630 65.430 . 174) Buffalo ( 1 - 10) MAC DI-A 61.609 82.018 . 175) Dayton ( 9 - 1) Pioneer DI-AA 61.245 41.095 . 176) Towson ( 6 - 5) Atl10 DI-AA 61.194 59.876 . 177) Yale ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 61.148 62.998 . 178) Northern Colorado ( 4 - 7) GWFC DI-AA 60.588 65.633 . 179) Northern Arizona ( 3 - 8) BigSky DI-AA 60.356 70.856 . 180) Tennessee-Martin ( 6 - 5) OVC DI-AA 59.815 59.860 . 181) Villanova ( 4 - 7) Atl10 DI-AA 59.685 66.413 . 182) Sacramento St ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-AA 59.429 74.565 . 183) Rhode Island ( 4 - 7) Atl10 DI-AA 59.358 64.086 . 184) Pennsylvania ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 59.278 58.878 . 185) Holy Cross ( 6 - 5) Patriot DI-AA 58.821 56.730 . 186) Florida A&M ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-AA 58.067 58.112 . 187) Alabama A&M ( 9 - 3) SWAC DI-AA 57.640 46.973 . 188) Elon ( 3 - 8) Southern DI-AA 57.532 68.486 . 189) Samford ( 5 - 6) OVC DI-AA 57.305 59.487 . 190) Northeastern ( 2 - 9) Atl10 DI-AA 56.686 69.777 . 191) Alabama St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 55.802 51.211 . 192) Bethune-Cookman ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 54.904 48.631 . 193) Drake ( 6 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 53.229 46.079 . 194) Morehead St ( 8 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 52.660 45.368 . 195) VMI ( 3 - 8) BigSo DI-AA 52.211 61.711 . 196) Tennessee Tech ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-AA 52.162 58.707 . 197) Charleston Southern ( 7 - 4) BigSo DI-AA 51.997 47.679 . 198) Gardner-Webb ( 5 - 6) BigSo DI-AA 51.092 53.546 . 199) Southern Utah ( 1 - 9) GWFC DI-AA 50.548 70.348 . 200) Dartmouth ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 50.478 65.478 . 201) Monmouth NJ ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 50.450 44.300 . 202) Alcorn St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 50.344 49.207 . 203) Indiana St ( 0 - 11) GFC DI-AA 50.010 73.147 . 204) Mississippi Valley St ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 49.596 47.778 . 205) Albany NY ( 5 - 6) NEC DI-AA 48.645 49.873 . 206) Central Conn St ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-AA 48.597 43.915 . 207) Duquesne ( 7 - 3) MAAC DI-AA 48.377 38.127 . 208) Marist ( 7 - 4) MAAC DI-AA 48.107 42.834 . 209) SE Missouri St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 47.513 60.832 . 210) Southern U. ( 4 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 47.104 49.049 . 211) Georgetown DC ( 4 - 7) Patriot DI-AA 46.927 56.245 . 212) Stony Brook ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 46.001 45.546 . 213) Howard ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 45.813 51.950 . 214) Murray St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 45.770 59.815 . 215) Norfolk St ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 45.531 51.259 . 216) Columbia ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 45.217 61.317 . 217) North Carolina A&T ( 3 - 8) MEAC DI-AA 44.482 54.618 . 218) Prairie View A&M ( 5 - 6) SWAC DI-AA 42.596 44.959 . 219) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 3 - 8) SWAC DI-AA 42.111 51.156 . 220) Liberty ( 1 - 10) BigSo DI-AA 41.658 59.658 . 221) Fordham ( 2 - 9) Patriot DI-AA 40.986 57.077 . 222) Morgan St ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-AA 40.656 53.384 . 223) Jacksonville FL ( 4 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 40.494 40.556 . 224) Tennessee St ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 40.190 56.599 . 225) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 39.920 38.329 . 226) Bucknell ( 1 - 10) Patriot DI-AA 39.891 57.300 . 227) Sacred Heart ( 4 - 6) NEC DI-AA 39.067 43.517 . 228) Davidson ( 4 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 38.774 42.924 . 229) Texas Southern ( 1 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 37.972 55.017 . 230) Jackson St ( 2 - 9) SWAC DI-AA 36.324 51.142 . 231) St Francis PA ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-AA 32.356 41.038 . 232) Valparaiso ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-AA 31.643 42.143 . 233) Robert Morris ( 2 - 8) NEC DI-AA 31.580 43.380 . 234) Iona ( 3 - 7) MAAC DI-AA 30.697 40.797 . 235) Savannah St ( 0 - 11) IAA-Ind DI-AA 27.165 49.710 . 236) Austin Peay ( 2 - 9) Pioneer DI-AA 26.990 43.581 . 237) La Salle ( 4 - 7) MAAC DI-AA 26.250 33.295 . 238) Butler ( 0 - 11) Pioneer DI-AA 23.015 46.879 . 239) St Peter's ( 1 - 9) MAAC DI-AA 19.870 38.670 Average game outcome measure (gom): 21.9571 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.7805 558 of the 3792 games were upsets. ( 14.715%) These ratings are based on 3792 games played between 712 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Big10 DI-A 100.735 97.466 11 Big12 DI-A 98.939 94.966 12 ACC DI-A 98.882 96.090 12 Pac10 DI-A 95.934 93.376 10 SEC DI-A 95.320 92.938 12 BigEast DI-A 90.260 89.252 8 IA-Ind DI-A 87.921 90.734 4 MWC DI-A 87.352 87.851 9 CUSA DI-A 83.553 84.664 12 MAC DI-A 81.561 83.576 12 WAC DI-A 79.635 83.123 9 Southern DI-AA 74.548 72.160 8 SunBelt DI-A 74.010 79.771 8 BigSky DI-AA 71.461 71.844 8 GFC DI-AA 70.937 69.676 8 Southland DI-AA 69.311 68.687 7 Atl10 DI-AA 68.412 66.422 12 GWFC DI-AA 68.107 68.668 6 Ivy DI-AA 62.513 61.269 8 OVC DI-AA 56.893 60.286 9 Patriot DI-AA 55.983 57.842 7 MEAC DI-AA 54.553 53.296 9 BigSo DI-AA 53.089 55.644 5 SWAC DI-AA 48.854 49.667 10 Pioneer DI-AA 43.515 43.699 9 NEC DI-AA 42.077 43.737 8 MAAC DI-AA 34.660 38.745 5 IAA-Ind DI-AA 27.165 49.710 1 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 01-Oct-05 Texas Southern 17 Alabama A&M 7 <== upset! 10-Sep-05 TCU 10 SMU 21 <== upset! 05-Nov-05 UCLA 14 Arizona 52 <== upset! 24-Sep-05 Tulane 31 SMU 10 <== upset! 17-Sep-05 Presbyterian 19 Elon 34 <== upset! 06-Oct-05 Florida Atlantic 28 Louisiana-Lafayette 10 <== upset! 08-Oct-05 New Hampshire 10 William & Mary 42 <== upset! 24-Sep-05 Jackson St 33 Mississippi Valley St 14 <== upset! 17-Sep-05 UC-Davis 20 Stanford 17 <== upset! 03-Sep-05 Central Conn St 24 Colgate 22 <== upset! There were 244 upsets out of 1399 games ( 17.441%) involving teams from NCAA DI.