NCAA Division III Flat Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Linfield (13 - 0) NWestC DIII 61.014 51.014 . 2) Trinity CT ( 8 - 0) NESCAC DIII 58.500 48.500 . 3) Mary Hardin-Baylor (13 - 2) AmSWC DIII 56.558 49.225 . 4) UW-La Crosse ( 7 - 4) Wisc DIII 55.990 53.263 . 5) Whitworth ( 7 - 2) NWestC DIII 55.359 49.803 . 6) Hardin-Simmons (10 - 1) AmSWC DIII 55.028 46.846 . 7) Williams ( 6 - 2) NESCAC DIII 55.000 50.000 . 8) Amherst ( 6 - 2) NESCAC DIII 55.000 50.000 . 9) UW-Whitewater ( 7 - 3) Wisc DIII 54.935 50.935 . 10) Willamette ( 7 - 4) NWestC DIII 54.032 51.305 . 11) UW-Eau Claire ( 7 - 3) Wisc DIII 53.899 49.899 . 12) UW-Platteville ( 6 - 4) Wisc DIII 53.692 51.692 . 13) Colby ( 6 - 2) NESCAC DIII 53.500 48.500 . 14) Pacific Lutheran ( 6 - 3) NWestC DIII 53.361 50.027 . 15) Mount Union (12 - 1) Ohio DIII 53.205 44.743 . 16) UW-Stevens Point ( 6 - 4) Wisc DIII 52.983 50.983 . 17) Concordia-Moorhead (11 - 1) Minn DIII 52.906 44.573 . 18) Occidental (10 - 2) SCIAC DIII 52.828 46.162 . 19) UW-Stout ( 5 - 4) Wisc DIII 52.187 51.076 . 20) Texas Lutheran ( 7 - 3) AmSWC DIII 51.088 47.088 . 21) Trinity TX ( 9 - 2) SCAC DIII 50.591 44.227 . 22) Howard Payne ( 7 - 3) AmSWC DIII 50.549 46.549 . 23) UW-Oshkosh ( 5 - 5) Wisc DIII 50.541 50.541 . 24) Middlebury ( 4 - 4) NESCAC DIII 50.250 50.250 . 25) Wheaton (10 - 2) IllWisc DIII 50.225 43.558 . 26) Rowan (10 - 3) NJAC DIII 50.114 44.729 . 27) Carthage (11 - 2) IllWisc DIII 50.037 43.114 . 28) St Thomas ( 7 - 2) Minn DIII 49.723 44.167 . 29) Wash & Jeff (12 - 1) Pres DIII 49.679 41.217 . 30) UW-River Falls ( 3 - 7) Wisc DIII 49.412 53.412 . 31) Cal Lutheran ( 6 - 3) SCIAC DIII 48.878 45.544 . 32) Puget Sound ( 5 - 4) NWestC DIII 48.873 47.762 . 33) Augustana IL ( 7 - 3) IllWisc DIII 48.783 44.783 . 34) St John Fisher (10 - 2) Emp8 DIII 48.743 42.077 . 35) St Norbert ( 9 - 2) MidWest DIII 48.730 42.367 . 36) Delaware Valley (12 - 1) MidAtl DIII 48.651 40.190 . 37) Ohio Northern ( 8 - 2) Ohio DIII 48.487 42.487 . 38) St John's MN ( 7 - 3) Minn DIII 48.386 44.386 . 39) Monmouth IL ( 9 - 1) MidWest DIII 47.851 39.851 . 40) Wesleyan ( 3 - 5) NESCAC DIII 47.750 50.250 . 41) Ithaca ( 9 - 2) Emp8 DIII 47.502 41.138 . 42) Wartburg ( 8 - 3) Iowa DIII 47.430 42.884 . 43) DePauw ( 8 - 2) SCAC DIII 47.100 41.100 . 44) Capital ( 7 - 3) Ohio DIII 46.966 42.966 . 45) St Olaf ( 7 - 3) Minn DIII 46.848 42.848 . 46) Coe ( 7 - 3) Iowa DIII 46.521 42.521 . 47) Bethel MN ( 6 - 4) Minn DIII 46.413 44.413 . 48) Louisiana College ( 5 - 5) AmSWC DIII 46.293 46.293 . 49) Salisbury (10 - 1) ACFC DIII 46.290 38.109 . 50) Tufts ( 2 - 6) NESCAC DIII 46.250 51.250 . 51) North Central ( 7 - 3) IllWisc DIII 46.229 42.229 . 52) Chapman ( 4 - 5) DIII-Ind DIII 46.186 47.297 . 53) Springfield ( 8 - 2) Emp8 DIII 45.975 39.975 . 54) East Texas Baptist ( 4 - 6) AmSWC DIII 45.827 47.827 . 55) Wooster (11 - 1) NCAC DIII 45.717 37.384 . 56) Redlands ( 4 - 5) SCIAC DIII 45.674 46.785 . 57) Lake Forest ( 8 - 2) MidWest DIII 45.610 39.610 . 58) Alma ( 8 - 3) Michigan DIII 45.536 40.990 . 59) Christopher Newport ( 9 - 3) UMAC(S) DIII 45.522 40.522 . 60) La Verne ( 4 - 5) SCIAC DIII 45.502 46.613 . 61) Albion ( 7 - 3) Michigan DIII 45.500 41.500 . 62) Johns Hopkins ( 9 - 2) ACFC DIII 45.455 39.091 . 63) Mt St Joseph (10 - 1) Heartland DIII 45.350 37.169 . 64) John Carroll ( 6 - 4) Ohio DIII 45.326 43.326 . 65) Central IA ( 6 - 4) Iowa DIII 45.264 43.264 . 66) Alfred ( 8 - 3) Emp8 DIII 45.124 40.578 . 67) Brockport St ( 6 - 4) ACFC DIII 45.048 43.048 . 68) Bowdoin ( 2 - 6) NESCAC DIII 45.000 50.000 . 69) Bates ( 2 - 6) NESCAC DIII 45.000 50.000 . 70) Baldwin-Wallace ( 6 - 4) Ohio DIII 44.848 42.848 . 71) Hobart ( 9 - 2) Iowa DIII 44.770 38.407 . 72) Olivet ( 8 - 2) Michigan DIII 44.756 38.756 . 73) New Jersey ( 7 - 2) NJAC DIII 44.715 39.159 . 74) Menlo ( 1 - 8) DIII-Ind DIII 44.626 52.404 . 75) Buena Vista ( 6 - 4) Iowa DIII 44.568 42.568 . 76) Marietta ( 6 - 4) Ohio DIII 44.568 42.568 . 77) Muhlenberg ( 8 - 3) ACFC DIII 44.509 39.964 . 78) Hope ( 6 - 4) Michigan DIII 44.455 42.455 . 79) Luther ( 6 - 4) Iowa DIII 44.363 42.363 . 80) Thiel ( 7 - 3) Pres DIII 44.345 40.345 . 81) Millikin ( 5 - 5) IllWisc DIII 44.060 44.060 . 82) Washington MO ( 6 - 4) UAA DIII 43.917 41.917 . 83) Austin College ( 3 - 7) AmSWC DIII 43.815 47.815 . 84) Hamilton ( 1 - 7) NESCAC DIII 43.750 51.250 . 85) Albright ( 8 - 3) MidAtl DIII 43.650 39.105 . 86) Pomona-Pitzer ( 4 - 5) SCIAC DIII 43.582 44.693 . 87) Lakeland ( 7 - 3) IllBadger DIII 43.321 39.321 . 88) Franklin & Marshall ( 8 - 3) ACFC DIII 43.264 38.718 . 89) Bridgewater VA ( 8 - 3) ODAC DIII 42.955 38.409 . 90) Wesley ( 8 - 2) ACFC DIII 42.851 36.851 . 91) Cortland ( 5 - 4) NJAC DIII 42.762 41.651 . 92) Norwich ( 7 - 4) Emp8 DIII 42.586 39.859 . 93) Concordia WI ( 7 - 3) IllBadger DIII 42.526 38.526 . 94) Wittenberg ( 7 - 3) NCAC DIII 42.493 38.493 . 95) Sul Ross St ( 2 - 8) AmSWC DIII 42.401 48.401 . 96) Moravian ( 7 - 4) MidAtl DIII 42.344 39.617 . 97) Simpson ( 5 - 5) Iowa DIII 42.060 42.060 . 98) Widener ( 6 - 4) MidAtl DIII 41.921 39.921 . 99) Lewis & Clark ( 1 - 8) NWestC DIII 41.866 49.644 . 100) McDaniel ( 6 - 4) ACFC DIII 41.787 39.787 . 101) Hampden-Sydney ( 8 - 2) ODAC DIII 41.755 35.755 . 102) Shenandoah ( 7 - 4) UMAC(S) DIII 41.738 39.010 . 103) Wilkes ( 6 - 4) MidAtl DIII 41.728 39.728 . 104) Union NY ( 6 - 3) Iowa DIII 41.518 38.185 . 105) Grinnell ( 6 - 4) MidWest DIII 41.281 39.281 . 106) Illinois College ( 6 - 4) MidWest DIII 41.253 39.253 . 107) Dickinson ( 6 - 4) ACFC DIII 41.225 39.225 . 108) Waynesburg ( 7 - 4) Pres DIII 41.045 38.317 . 109) Methodist ( 7 - 3) UMAC(S) DIII 41.016 37.016 . 110) Wabash ( 6 - 4) NCAC DIII 40.957 38.957 . 111) Hanover ( 6 - 4) Heartland DIII 40.760 38.760 . 112) McMurry ( 2 - 8) AmSWC DIII 40.685 46.685 . 113) Adrian ( 6 - 4) Michigan DIII 40.652 38.652 . 114) Carnegie Mellon ( 6 - 4) UAA DIII 40.564 38.564 . 115) Gustavus Adolphus ( 2 - 8) Minn DIII 40.439 46.439 . 116) Illinois Wesleyan ( 3 - 7) IllWisc DIII 40.428 44.428 . 117) Otterbein ( 4 - 6) Ohio DIII 40.359 42.359 . 118) Rhodes ( 5 - 5) SCAC DIII 40.329 40.329 . 119) Mount Ida ( 6 - 2) DIII-Ind DIII 40.087 35.087 . 120) Wilmington ( 3 - 7) Ohio DIII 39.953 43.953 . 121) Montclair St ( 4 - 4) NJAC DIII 39.877 39.877 . 122) Loras ( 4 - 6) Iowa DIII 39.806 41.806 . 123) Aurora ( 6 - 5) IllBadger DIII 39.750 38.841 . 124) MacMurray ( 7 - 3) IllBadger DIII 39.662 35.662 . 125) Buffalo St ( 4 - 6) ACFC DIII 39.595 41.595 . 126) Augsburg ( 2 - 8) Minn DIII 39.488 45.488 . 127) Ripon ( 5 - 5) MidWest DIII 39.463 39.463 . 128) Westminster MO ( 6 - 3) UMAC(S) DIII 39.300 35.967 . 129) Westminster PA ( 5 - 5) Pres DIII 39.222 39.222 . 130) Allegheny ( 5 - 5) NCAC DIII 39.197 39.197 . 131) Ohio Wesleyan ( 5 - 5) NCAC DIII 39.182 39.182 . 132) Whittier ( 2 - 7) SCIAC DIII 39.157 44.713 . 133) Mississippi College ( 1 - 9) AmSWC DIII 39.135 47.135 . 134) Millsaps ( 4 - 5) SCAC DIII 39.101 40.212 . 135) Claremont-Mudd-Scripps ( 2 - 7) SCIAC DIII 38.984 44.539 . 136) Elmhurst ( 4 - 6) IllWisc DIII 38.963 40.963 . 137) Hamline ( 3 - 7) Minn DIII 38.635 42.635 . 138) King's PA ( 4 - 6) MidAtl DIII 38.555 40.555 . 139) Western Conn St ( 5 - 5) NJAC DIII 38.399 38.399 . 140) Franklin ( 5 - 5) Heartland DIII 38.359 38.359 . 141) Curry ( 9 - 2) NewEngFC DIII 37.939 31.575 . 142) Carleton ( 2 - 8) Minn DIII 37.870 43.870 . 143) Maryville ( 5 - 4) DIII-Ind DIII 37.849 36.738 . 144) Huntingdon ( 4 - 5) DIII-Ind DIII 37.842 38.953 . 145) Averett ( 6 - 4) UMAC(S) DIII 37.762 35.762 . 146) Thomas More ( 4 - 6) DIII-Ind DIII 37.761 39.761 . 147) Washington and Lee ( 6 - 4) ODAC DIII 37.712 35.712 . 148) NC Wesleyan ( 4 - 4) UMAC(S) DIII 37.645 37.645 . 149) Lebanon Valley ( 4 - 6) MidAtl DIII 37.629 39.629 . 150) Carroll WI ( 3 - 7) MidWest DIII 37.625 41.625 . 151) Susquehanna ( 4 - 6) MidAtl DIII 37.579 39.579 . 152) Case Western Reserve ( 5 - 5) UAA DIII 37.436 37.436 . 153) RPI ( 5 - 4) Iowa DIII 37.396 36.285 . 154) Anderson ( 5 - 5) Heartland DIII 37.281 37.281 . 155) Denison ( 6 - 4) NCAC DIII 37.208 35.208 . 156) FDU-Florham ( 4 - 6) MidAtl DIII 37.207 39.207 . 157) Lycoming ( 3 - 7) MidAtl DIII 37.171 41.171 . 158) Grove City ( 3 - 7) Pres DIII 37.122 41.122 . 159) Centre ( 4 - 6) SCAC DIII 37.037 39.037 . 160) Tri-State ( 2 - 8) Michigan DIII 37.034 43.034 . 161) Bluffton ( 5 - 5) Heartland DIII 36.931 36.931 . 162) Cornell IA ( 2 - 8) Iowa DIII 36.584 42.584 . 163) Utica ( 3 - 7) Emp8 DIII 36.541 40.541 . 164) Rochester ( 4 - 6) Iowa DIII 36.453 38.453 . 165) Rose-Hulman ( 4 - 6) SCAC DIII 36.399 38.399 . 166) Muskingum ( 1 - 9) Ohio DIII 36.350 44.350 . 167) St Lawrence ( 4 - 6) Iowa DIII 36.268 38.268 . 168) Colorado College ( 2 - 7) DIII-Ind DIII 36.157 41.713 . 169) Dubuque ( 2 - 8) Iowa DIII 36.111 42.111 . 170) Greenville ( 3 - 7) IllBadger DIII 36.099 40.099 . 171) Rockford ( 7 - 3) UMAC(S) DIII 36.059 32.059 . 172) Beloit ( 3 - 7) MidWest DIII 35.827 39.827 . 173) Kean ( 2 - 8) NJAC DIII 35.754 41.754 . 174) Emory & Henry ( 4 - 6) ODAC DIII 35.547 37.547 . 175) Wisconsin Lutheran ( 2 - 8) Michigan DIII 35.470 41.470 . 176) Chicago ( 3 - 6) UAA DIII 35.376 38.709 . 177) Ferrum ( 4 - 6) UMAC(S) DIII 35.249 37.249 . 178) UMass-Dartmouth ( 7 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 35.088 32.361 . 179) Fitchburg St ( 8 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 35.082 31.749 . 180) WPI ( 5 - 5) Iowa DIII 34.977 34.977 . 181) Frostburg St ( 2 - 8) ACFC DIII 34.691 40.691 . 182) North Park ( 1 - 9) IllWisc DIII 34.649 42.649 . 183) Sewanee ( 2 - 8) SCAC DIII 34.571 40.571 . 184) Merchant Marine ( 3 - 7) Iowa DIII 34.493 38.493 . 185) Heidelberg ( 0 - 10) Ohio DIII 34.071 44.071 . 186) Lawrence ( 2 - 8) MidWest DIII 34.008 40.008 . 187) Hartwick ( 1 - 8) Emp8 DIII 33.889 41.666 . 188) William Paterson ( 2 - 8) NJAC DIII 33.857 39.857 . 189) Apprentice ( 3 - 7) ACFC DIII 33.217 37.217 . 190) Kalamazoo ( 1 - 9) Michigan DIII 32.949 40.949 . 191) Earlham ( 4 - 6) NCAC DIII 32.804 34.804 . 192) Eureka ( 3 - 7) IllBadger DIII 32.728 36.728 . 193) Endicott ( 6 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 32.719 30.719 . 194) Bethany WV ( 1 - 9) Pres DIII 32.597 40.597 . 195) Juniata ( 1 - 9) MidAtl DIII 32.574 40.574 . 196) Knox ( 1 - 9) MidWest DIII 32.190 40.190 . 197) Greensboro ( 2 - 8) UMAC(S) DIII 32.122 38.122 . 198) Gettysburg ( 1 - 9) ACFC DIII 32.085 40.085 . 199) Randolph-Macon ( 3 - 7) ODAC DIII 31.989 35.989 . 200) Benedictine IL ( 1 - 9) IllBadger DIII 31.742 39.742 . 201) Ursinus ( 1 - 9) ACFC DIII 31.563 39.563 . 202) Bridgewater St MA ( 6 - 3) NewEngFC DIII 31.120 27.786 . 203) Western New England ( 5 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 30.746 29.635 . 204) Plymouth St ( 1 - 8) DIII-Ind DIII 30.367 38.145 . 205) Macalester ( 1 - 8) DIII-Ind DIII 30.253 38.031 . 206) Blackburn ( 3 - 7) UMAC(S) DIII 29.944 33.944 . 207) Westfield St ( 5 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 29.930 28.819 . 208) Chowan ( 1 - 9) DIII-Ind DIII 29.911 37.911 . 209) Defiance ( 1 - 9) Heartland DIII 29.815 37.815 . 210) Kenyon ( 2 - 8) NCAC DIII 29.782 35.782 . 211) Worcester St ( 6 - 4) NewEngFC DIII 29.489 27.489 . 212) Oberlin ( 1 - 9) NCAC DIII 29.004 37.004 . 213) Coast Guard ( 1 - 8) Iowa DIII 28.824 36.602 . 214) Maranatha Baptist ( 3 - 6) UMAC(S) DIII 28.788 32.122 . 215) Manchester ( 0 - 10) Heartland DIII 28.422 38.422 . 216) Guilford ( 1 - 9) ODAC DIII 28.375 36.375 . 217) Nichols ( 4 - 6) NewEngFC DIII 28.267 30.267 . 218) Concordia IL ( 0 - 10) IllBadger DIII 28.100 38.100 . 219) Husson ( 2 - 7) DIII-Ind DIII 27.845 33.401 . 220) Catholic ( 0 - 10) ODAC DIII 27.641 37.641 . 221) Principia ( 3 - 6) UMAC(S) DIII 27.568 30.901 . 222) Hiram ( 0 - 10) NCAC DIII 27.292 37.292 . 223) Maine Maritime ( 3 - 6) NewEngFC DIII 26.864 30.198 . 224) Salve Regina ( 2 - 8) NewEngFC DIII 25.490 31.490 . 225) MIT ( 2 - 7) NewEngFC DIII 23.289 28.845 . 226) Mass Maritime ( 1 - 8) NewEngFC DIII 20.955 28.733 . 227) Framingham St ( 0 - 9) NewEngFC DIII 18.911 28.911 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.6119 546 of the 3772 games were upsets. ( 14.475%) The largest deviations were: ---------------------------- 9-Oct-04 Coe 7 Dubuque 12 <== upset! 26-Nov-04 Arizona St 27 Arizona 34 <== upset! 16-Oct-04 Shenandoah 19 Greensboro 24 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Illinois College 10 Knox 13 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Tufts 10 Amherst 3 <== upset! 18-Sep-04 St Augustine's 34 Shaw 6 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Texas A&M 34 Baylor 35 <== upset! 6-Nov-04 Bethany KS 28 Tabor 27 <== upset! 13-Nov-04 Brown 7 Dartmouth 20 <== upset! 23-Oct-04 Concordia-St Paul 25 Wayne St NE 28 <== upset! 1375 games fall within 0.5 standard deviations. ( 36.453%) 2651 games fall within 1.0 standard deviations. ( 70.281%) 3455 games fall within 1.5 standard deviations. ( 91.596%) 3709 games fall within 2.0 standard deviations. ( 98.330%) 3768 games fall within 2.5 standard deviations. ( 99.894%) 3772 games fall within 3.0 standard deviations. (100.000%) 3772 games fall within 3.5 standard deviations. (100.000%) 3772 games fall within 4.0 standard deviations. (100.000%) 3772 games fall within 4.5 standard deviations. (100.000%) 3772 games fall within 5.0 standard deviations. (100.000%) These ratings are based on 3772 games played between 707 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Wisc DIII 52.955 51.475 8 NWestC DIII 52.418 49.926 6 NESCAC DIII 50.000 50.000 10 AmSWC DIII 47.138 47.386 10 SCIAC DIII 44.944 45.578 7 Minn DIII 44.523 44.313 9 IllWisc DIII 44.172 43.223 8 Ohio DIII 43.413 43.367 10 Emp8 DIII 42.909 40.833 7 Michigan DIII 40.794 40.976 8 NJAC DIII 40.783 40.775 7 SCAC DIII 40.733 40.554 7 Pres DIII 40.668 40.137 6 MidWest DIII 40.384 40.147 10 ACFC DIII 40.122 39.534 13 MidAtl DIII 39.910 39.934 11 Iowa DIII 39.847 40.108 17 UAA DIII 39.323 39.157 4 IllBadger DIII 36.741 38.377 8 Heartland DIII 36.703 37.820 7 NCAC DIII 36.364 37.330 10 DIII-Ind DIII 36.262 39.949 11 UMAC(S) DIII 36.059 35.860 12 ODAC DIII 35.139 36.775 7 NewEngFC DIII 28.992 29.898 14 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 9-Oct-04 Coe 7 Dubuque 12 <== upset! 16-Oct-04 Shenandoah 19 Greensboro 24 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Illinois College 10 Knox 13 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Tufts 10 Amherst 3 <== upset! 9-Oct-04 Loras 31 Wartburg 14 <== upset! 9-Oct-04 Nichols 20 UMass-Dartmouth 10 <== upset! 11-Sep-04 Occidental 28 Chapman 31 <== upset! 16-Oct-04 St John Fisher 34 Norwich 39 <== upset! 30-Oct-04 Susquehanna 34 Albright 27 <== upset! 13-Nov-04 William Paterson 9 Husson 12 <== upset! There were 147 upsets out of 1172 games ( 12.543%) involving teams from NCAA DIII.