TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I-AA) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Delaware (15 - 1) A10 DI-AA 90.760 71.697 . 2) Colgate (15 - 1) Patriot DI-AA 85.057 65.838 . 3) Pennsylvania (10 - 0) Ivy DI-AA 83.371 62.021 . 4) Northern Iowa (10 - 3) Gateway DI-AA 82.621 71.198 . 5) Montana ( 9 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 82.292 72.446 . 6) Northern Arizona ( 9 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 82.126 71.741 . 7) Wofford (12 - 2) Southern DI-AA 81.555 66.126 . 8) McNeese St (10 - 2) Southland DI-AA 80.290 66.206 . 9) Massachusetts (10 - 3) A10 DI-AA 80.050 69.781 . 10) Western Illinois ( 9 - 4) Gateway DI-AA 79.633 70.479 . 11) Idaho St ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 78.996 73.996 . 12) Southern Illinois (10 - 2) Gateway DI-AA 78.892 63.309 . 13) Western Kentucky ( 9 - 4) Gateway DI-AA 77.093 66.978 . 14) Florida Atlantic (11 - 3) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 76.877 64.913 . 15) Lehigh ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 76.100 64.600 . 16) Montana St ( 7 - 6) BigSky DI-AA 75.939 72.093 . 17) Villanova ( 7 - 4) A10 DI-AA 75.477 67.704 . 18) Eastern Washington ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 74.787 72.832 . 19) Weber St ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 74.730 67.938 . 20) Cal Poly-SLO ( 7 - 4) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 74.252 68.571 . 21) Northeastern ( 8 - 4) A10 DI-AA 73.448 64.864 . 22) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 71.148 62.148 . 23) Fordham ( 9 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 71.117 60.617 . 24) Stephen F. Austin ( 7 - 4) Southland DI-AA 70.829 64.011 . 25) Maine ( 6 - 5) A10 DI-AA 70.299 67.799 . 26) Jacksonville St ( 8 - 4) OVC DI-AA 69.784 62.659 . 27) Appalachian St ( 7 - 4) Southern DI-AA 69.703 63.794 . 28) Yale ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-AA 68.659 63.559 . 29) William & Mary ( 5 - 5) A10 DI-AA 68.656 68.006 . 30) Furman ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 68.634 63.907 . 31) Portland St ( 4 - 7) BigSky DI-AA 68.369 75.278 . 32) Eastern Kentucky ( 7 - 5) OVC DI-AA 67.584 63.167 . 33) Illinois St ( 6 - 6) Gateway DI-AA 66.852 66.477 . 34) Southern U. (12 - 1) SWAC DI-AA 66.831 46.870 . 35) Youngstown St ( 5 - 7) Gateway DI-AA 66.516 69.266 . 36) Georgia Southern ( 7 - 4) Southern DI-AA 66.236 59.327 . 37) James Madison ( 6 - 6) A10 DI-AA 65.655 65.364 . 38) Brown ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 65.001 63.651 . 39) Samford ( 7 - 4) OVC DI-AA 64.474 58.020 . 40) Nicholls St ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-AA 64.452 63.907 . 41) Rhode Island ( 4 - 8) A10 DI-AA 64.206 70.164 . 42) Southern Utah ( 4 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 63.900 69.900 . 43) North Carolina A&T (10 - 3) MEAC DI-AA 63.673 51.596 . 44) The Citadel ( 6 - 6) Southern DI-AA 63.142 64.434 . 45) Dartmouth ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 63.023 64.373 . 46) New Hampshire ( 5 - 7) A10 DI-AA 62.966 66.091 . 47) Grambling St ( 9 - 3) SWAC DI-AA 61.892 50.850 . 48) Northwestern St ( 6 - 6) Southland DI-AA 61.587 59.546 . 49) SW Missouri St ( 4 - 7) Gateway DI-AA 61.506 66.870 . 50) Bethune-Cookman ( 9 - 3) MEAC DI-AA 61.410 51.493 . 51) Bucknell ( 6 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 61.203 60.786 . 52) SW Texas St ( 4 - 8) Southland DI-AA 60.788 68.122 . 53) Towson ( 6 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 60.463 60.088 . 54) Lafayette ( 5 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 60.454 61.045 . 55) South Carolina St ( 8 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 60.166 51.541 . 56) Tennessee St ( 7 - 5) OVC DI-AA 59.862 56.029 . 57) CSU-Sacramento ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-AA 59.800 74.755 . 58) Western Carolina ( 5 - 7) Southern DI-AA 59.070 62.862 . 59) Columbia ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 58.819 64.569 . 60) Alabama A&M ( 8 - 4) SWAC DI-AA 58.684 49.226 . 61) Gardner-Webb ( 8 - 4) BigSouth DI-AA 58.496 51.162 . 62) Hampton ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 57.749 50.658 . 63) Dayton ( 9 - 2) Pioneer DI-AA 57.680 42.180 . 64) San Diego ( 8 - 2) Pioneer DI-AA 57.433 43.883 . 65) Monmouth NJ (10 - 2) NEC DI-AA 57.167 40.876 . 66) Morehead St ( 8 - 3) Pioneer DI-AA 56.970 46.152 . 67) Alabama St ( 8 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 56.700 50.970 . 68) SE Missouri St ( 5 - 7) OVC DI-AA 56.670 61.170 . 69) Indiana St ( 3 - 9) Gateway DI-AA 56.143 68.018 . 70) Florida A&M ( 6 - 6) MEAC DI-AA 56.046 55.463 . 71) Sam Houston St ( 2 - 9) Southland DI-AA 55.736 70.054 . 72) Richmond ( 2 - 9) A10 DI-AA 55.636 70.318 . 73) Princeton ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 55.577 67.777 . 74) Hofstra ( 2 - 10) A10 DI-AA 55.294 69.961 . 75) Alcorn St ( 7 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 54.779 50.696 . 76) Duquesne ( 8 - 3) MAAC DI-AA 54.543 43.679 . 77) Albany NY ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-AA 54.453 47.271 . 78) East Tennessee St ( 5 - 7) Southern DI-AA 53.918 57.751 . 79) Morgan St ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-AA 53.846 52.027 . 80) Liberty ( 6 - 6) BigSouth DI-AA 53.510 55.135 . 81) VMI ( 6 - 6) BigSouth DI-AA 53.347 51.264 . 82) Eastern Illinois ( 4 - 8) OVC DI-AA 52.990 60.240 . 83) Murray St ( 4 - 8) OVC DI-AA 52.089 60.631 . 84) Georgetown DC ( 4 - 8) Patriot DI-AA 51.482 58.232 . 85) Valparaiso ( 8 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 51.377 44.127 . 86) Chattanooga ( 3 - 9) Southern DI-AA 51.155 62.905 . 87) Florida Int'l ( 2 - 10) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 50.366 63.824 . 88) Tennessee Tech ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 50.240 63.058 . 89) SE Louisiana ( 5 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 49.589 52.755 . 90) Texas Southern ( 5 - 6) SWAC DI-AA 47.059 50.468 . 91) Holy Cross ( 1 - 11) Patriot DI-AA 47.000 64.709 . 92) Howard ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 46.852 52.307 . 93) Cornell ( 1 - 9) Ivy DI-AA 46.134 66.334 . 94) Elon ( 2 - 10) Southern DI-AA 45.920 63.336 . 95) Stony Brook ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 45.649 40.949 . 96) Robert Morris ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 45.621 41.521 . 97) Drake ( 6 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 44.550 43.634 . 98) St Mary's CA ( 1 - 11) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 44.391 65.058 . 99) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 44.295 50.568 . 100) Coastal Carolina ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-AA 43.982 41.982 . 101) Tennessee-Martin ( 2 - 10) OVC DI-AA 42.422 59.297 . 102) Jacksonville FL ( 5 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 41.830 43.966 . 103) Jackson St ( 2 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 41.200 55.367 . 104) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 40.490 38.490 . 105) Sacred Heart ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 40.290 38.653 . 106) Iona ( 6 - 5) MAAC DI-AA 39.431 38.204 . 107) Austin Peay ( 4 - 7) Pioneer DI-AA 36.698 42.561 . 108) Central Conn St ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-AA 36.648 45.829 . 109) Davidson ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-AA 35.095 46.231 . 110) Delaware St ( 1 - 10) MEAC DI-AA 34.892 53.347 . 111) Marist ( 4 - 6) MAAC DI-AA 33.527 40.127 . 112) Mississippi Valley St ( 2 - 9) SWAC DI-AA 32.995 49.086 . 113) Charleston Southern ( 1 - 11) BigSouth DI-AA 32.488 53.529 . 114) Norfolk St ( 1 - 11) MEAC DI-AA 31.907 50.740 . 115) Butler ( 2 - 9) Pioneer DI-AA 31.201 49.156 . 116) Savannah St ( 0 - 12) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 28.845 53.262 . 117) St Peter's ( 2 - 8) MAAC DI-AA 28.290 42.640 . 118) St Francis PA ( 1 - 9) NEC DI-AA 26.915 45.565 . 119) La Salle ( 3 - 8) MAAC DI-AA 26.696 36.923 . 120) Prairie View A&M ( 1 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 26.463 47.782 . 121) Siena ( 0 - 11) MAAC DI-AA 16.994 41.176 Average game outcome measure (gom): 22.0720 Standard deviation of the fit: 15.6921 566 of the 3875 games were upsets. ( 14.606%) These ratings are based on 3875 games played between 709 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ BigSky DI-AA 74.630 72.635 8 Gateway DI-AA 71.157 67.824 8 A10 DI-AA 69.313 68.341 11 Southland DI-AA 65.614 65.308 6 Patriot DI-AA 64.110 61.989 8 Ivy DI-AA 63.967 64.304 8 Southern DI-AA 62.148 62.716 9 OVC DI-AA 57.346 60.475 9 DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 55.460 62.612 7 MEAC DI-AA 51.838 52.130 9 SWAC DI-AA 49.090 50.188 10 BigSouth DI-AA 48.365 50.614 5 Pioneer DI-AA 45.870 44.654 9 NEC DI-AA 43.404 42.394 8 MAAC DI-AA 33.247 40.458 6 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 27-Sep-03 Idaho St 21 CSU-Sacramento 47 <== upset! 1-Nov-03 Monmouth NJ 10 Central Conn St 14 <== upset! 11-Oct-03 Northeastern 14 Hofstra 24 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Delaware 14 Northeastern 24 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Valparaiso 21 Butler 25 <== upset! 20-Sep-03 East Tennessee St 0 Elon 14 <== upset! 25-Oct-03 Western Carolina 0 Chattanooga 38 <== upset! 4-Oct-03 Bucknell 31 Fordham 10 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Villanova 32 Hofstra 34 <== upset! 4-Oct-03 Jacksonville St 17 Murray St 23 <== upset! There were 104 upsets out of 794 games ( 13.098%) involving teams from NCAA DI-AA.