Flat (NCAA Division I) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Southern Cal (12 - 1) Pac-10 DI-A 75.603 67.141 . 2) LSU (13 - 1) SEC DI-A 74.851 66.280 . 3) Ohio St (11 - 2) BigTen DI-A 74.659 67.736 . 4) Oklahoma (12 - 2) Big 12 DI-A 73.960 66.817 . 5) Florida St (10 - 3) ACC DI-A 73.428 68.044 . 6) Miami FL (11 - 2) BigEast DI-A 72.991 66.068 . 7) Georgia (11 - 3) SEC DI-A 72.723 67.009 . 8) Michigan (10 - 3) BigTen DI-A 72.556 67.172 . 9) Iowa (10 - 3) BigTen DI-A 72.167 66.783 . 10) Miami OH (13 - 1) MAC DI-A 72.115 63.543 . 11) Utah (10 - 2) MWC DI-A 72.065 65.398 . 12) Washington St (10 - 3) Pac-10 DI-A 71.981 66.596 . 13) Tennessee (10 - 3) SEC DI-A 71.507 66.122 . 14) Texas (10 - 3) Big 12 DI-A 71.352 65.967 . 15) Kansas St (11 - 4) Big 12 DI-A 71.330 66.663 . 16) Boise St (13 - 1) WAC DI-A 71.119 62.547 . 17) Maryland (10 - 3) ACC DI-A 71.010 65.626 . 18) Nebraska (10 - 3) Big 12 DI-A 70.889 65.505 . 19) Purdue ( 9 - 4) BigTen DI-A 70.750 66.904 . 20) Mississippi (10 - 3) SEC DI-A 70.375 64.990 . 21) Clemson ( 9 - 4) ACC DI-A 70.273 66.427 . 22) Arkansas ( 9 - 4) SEC DI-A 69.762 65.915 . 23) Bowling Green (11 - 3) MAC DI-A 69.704 63.989 . 24) Minnesota (10 - 3) BigTen DI-A 69.702 64.317 . 25) Florida ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-A 69.467 67.160 . 26) Oregon ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-A 69.346 67.039 . 27) North Carolina St ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-A 69.118 66.810 . 28) TCU (11 - 2) CUSA DI-A 69.076 62.153 . 29) Auburn ( 8 - 5) SEC DI-A 69.014 66.706 . 30) California ( 8 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 68.736 67.307 . 31) Virginia ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-A 68.729 66.421 . 32) Oklahoma St ( 9 - 4) Big 12 DI-A 68.727 64.880 . 33) Michigan St ( 8 - 5) BigTen DI-A 68.614 66.307 . 34) Oregon St ( 8 - 5) Pac-10 DI-A 68.269 65.961 . 35) Texas Tech ( 8 - 5) Big 12 DI-A 68.205 65.897 . 36) Southern Miss ( 9 - 4) CUSA DI-A 68.057 64.211 . 37) Georgia Tech ( 7 - 6) ACC DI-A 67.787 67.017 . 38) Boston College ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-A 67.482 65.174 . 39) Wisconsin ( 7 - 6) BigTen DI-A 67.470 66.700 . 40) Northern Illinois (10 - 2) MAC DI-A 67.457 60.790 . 41) Delaware (15 - 1) A10 DI-AA 67.303 58.553 . 42) Pittsburgh ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-A 67.297 64.989 . 43) Colorado St ( 7 - 6) MWC DI-A 67.262 66.493 . 44) Connecticut ( 9 - 3) D-IA-Ind DI-A 67.117 62.117 . 45) Notre Dame ( 5 - 7) D-IA-Ind DI-A 67.111 68.778 . 46) West Virginia ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-A 67.049 64.741 . 47) Fresno St ( 9 - 5) WAC DI-A 67.005 64.148 . 48) Virginia Tech ( 8 - 5) BigEast DI-A 66.924 64.616 . 49) Missouri ( 8 - 5) Big 12 DI-A 66.787 64.479 . 50) Washington ( 6 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 66.725 66.725 . 51) New Mexico ( 8 - 5) MWC DI-A 66.715 64.407 . 52) UCLA ( 6 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 66.512 67.282 . 53) Colorado ( 5 - 7) Big 12 DI-A 66.348 68.014 . 54) Air Force ( 7 - 5) MWC DI-A 66.316 64.649 . 55) Northwestern ( 6 - 7) BigTen DI-A 66.239 67.008 . 56) Hawai`i ( 9 - 5) WAC DI-A 66.165 63.308 . 57) UNLV ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 65.934 65.934 . 58) South Carolina ( 5 - 7) SEC DI-A 65.594 67.261 . 59) Marshall ( 8 - 4) MAC DI-A 65.572 62.239 . 60) Toledo ( 8 - 4) MAC DI-A 65.489 62.156 . 61) Memphis ( 9 - 4) CUSA DI-A 65.469 61.622 . 62) Louisville ( 9 - 4) CUSA DI-A 65.454 61.608 . 63) Wake Forest ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-A 65.384 67.051 . 64) Colgate (15 - 1) Patriot DI-AA 65.029 56.279 . 65) Arizona St ( 5 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 64.898 66.564 . 66) Pennsylvania (10 - 0) Ivy DI-AA 64.798 54.798 . 67) North Texas ( 9 - 4) SunBelt DI-A 64.791 60.945 . 68) San Diego St ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 64.745 64.745 . 69) Stanford ( 4 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 64.720 67.447 . 70) Tulsa ( 8 - 5) WAC DI-A 64.719 62.411 . 71) Kansas ( 6 - 7) Big 12 DI-A 64.702 65.471 . 72) Syracuse ( 6 - 6) BigEast DI-A 64.678 64.678 . 73) Alabama ( 4 - 9) SEC DI-A 64.382 68.228 . 74) Brigham Young ( 4 - 8) MWC DI-A 64.312 67.645 . 75) Texas A&M ( 4 - 8) Big 12 DI-A 64.031 67.364 . 76) Navy ( 8 - 5) D-IA-Ind DI-A 63.915 61.607 . 77) Wofford (12 - 2) Southern DI-AA 63.836 56.693 . 78) Houston ( 7 - 6) CUSA DI-A 63.694 62.925 . 79) Northern Iowa (10 - 3) Gateway DI-AA 63.680 58.295 . 80) Nevada ( 6 - 6) WAC DI-A 63.601 63.601 . 81) Duke ( 4 - 8) ACC DI-A 63.227 66.560 . 82) Louisiana Tech ( 5 - 7) WAC DI-A 63.147 64.814 . 83) South Florida ( 7 - 4) CUSA DI-A 62.913 60.186 . 84) Massachusetts (10 - 3) A10 DI-AA 62.838 57.453 . 85) Idaho St ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 62.738 59.405 . 86) Rutgers ( 5 - 7) BigEast DI-A 62.671 64.338 . 87) McNeese St (10 - 2) Southland DI-AA 62.667 56.000 . 88) Montana ( 9 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 62.556 58.710 . 89) Northern Arizona ( 9 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 62.512 58.666 . 90) Wyoming ( 4 - 8) MWC DI-A 62.367 65.701 . 91) Western Illinois ( 9 - 4) Gateway DI-AA 62.070 58.224 . 92) Akron ( 7 - 5) MAC DI-A 62.066 60.400 . 93) Alabama-Birmingham ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-A 62.063 63.730 . 94) Penn St ( 3 - 9) BigTen DI-A 62.025 67.025 . 95) Southern Illinois (10 - 2) Gateway DI-AA 61.920 55.253 . 96) Arizona ( 2 - 10) Pac-10 DI-A 61.838 68.505 . 97) Western Michigan ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-A 61.712 63.379 . 98) Troy St ( 6 - 6) D-IA-Ind DI-A 61.591 61.591 . 99) Florida Atlantic (11 - 3) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 61.397 55.683 . 100) Rice ( 5 - 7) WAC DI-A 61.231 62.898 . 101) Iowa St ( 2 - 10) Big 12 DI-A 61.037 67.704 . 102) Cincinnati ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-A 61.002 62.669 . 103) Kent St ( 5 - 7) MAC DI-A 60.952 62.619 . 104) Tulane ( 5 - 7) CUSA DI-A 60.949 62.615 . 105) Western Kentucky ( 9 - 4) Gateway DI-AA 60.698 56.852 . 106) Ball St ( 4 - 8) MAC DI-A 60.503 63.836 . 107) Kentucky ( 4 - 8) SEC DI-A 60.280 63.613 . 108) Weber St ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 60.266 56.932 . 109) Lehigh ( 8 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 60.243 55.698 . 110) North Carolina ( 2 - 10) ACC DI-A 60.130 66.797 . 111) Baylor ( 3 - 9) Big 12 DI-A 60.080 65.080 . 112) Mississippi St ( 2 - 10) SEC DI-A 59.899 66.565 . 113) Eastern Washington ( 6 - 5) BigSky DI-AA 59.811 58.902 . 114) Cal Poly-SLO ( 7 - 4) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 59.697 56.970 . 115) Montana St ( 7 - 6) BigSky DI-AA 59.551 58.782 . 116) Villanova ( 7 - 4) A10 DI-AA 59.302 56.574 . 117) Vanderbilt ( 2 - 10) SEC DI-A 59.158 65.825 . 118) Indiana ( 2 - 10) BigTen DI-A 59.122 65.789 . 119) Northeastern ( 8 - 4) A10 DI-AA 58.851 55.518 . 120) Fordham ( 9 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 58.784 53.784 . 121) Illinois ( 1 - 11) BigTen DI-A 58.756 67.090 . 122) Harvard ( 7 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 58.700 54.700 . 123) Appalachian St ( 7 - 4) Southern DI-AA 58.533 55.806 . 124) San José St ( 3 - 8) WAC DI-A 58.424 62.970 . 125) Jacksonville St ( 8 - 4) OVC DI-AA 58.235 54.902 . 126) Middle Tennessee St ( 4 - 8) SunBelt DI-A 58.151 61.484 . 127) Louisiana-Lafayette ( 4 - 8) SunBelt DI-A 57.943 61.277 . 128) Stephen F. Austin ( 7 - 4) Southland DI-AA 57.707 54.979 . 129) Maine ( 6 - 5) A10 DI-AA 57.586 56.677 . 130) Eastern Michigan ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-A 57.528 62.528 . 131) Yale ( 6 - 4) Ivy DI-AA 57.480 55.480 . 132) Central Michigan ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-A 57.469 62.469 . 133) Arkansas St ( 5 - 7) SunBelt DI-A 57.384 59.051 . 134) Portland St ( 4 - 7) BigSky DI-AA 57.343 60.070 . 135) Central Florida ( 3 - 9) MAC DI-A 57.287 62.287 . 136) Southern U. (12 - 1) SWAC DI-AA 57.036 48.574 . 137) Eastern Kentucky ( 7 - 5) OVC DI-AA 56.974 55.307 . 138) Utah St ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 56.960 61.960 . 139) William & Mary ( 5 - 5) A10 DI-AA 56.793 56.793 . 140) Furman ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 56.766 55.857 . 141) Georgia Southern ( 7 - 4) Southern DI-AA 56.570 53.842 . 142) Illinois St ( 6 - 6) Gateway DI-AA 56.419 56.419 . 143) Idaho ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 56.314 61.314 . 144) Temple ( 1 - 11) BigEast DI-A 56.252 64.585 . 145) Buffalo ( 1 - 11) MAC DI-A 56.124 64.458 . 146) Youngstown St ( 5 - 7) Gateway DI-AA 56.043 57.710 . 147) The Citadel ( 6 - 6) Southern DI-AA 55.976 55.976 . 148) North Carolina A&T (10 - 3) MEAC DI-AA 55.798 50.413 . 149) Dartmouth ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 55.722 55.722 . 150) James Madison ( 6 - 6) A10 DI-AA 55.692 55.692 . 151) Samford ( 7 - 4) OVC DI-AA 55.675 52.948 . 152) Ohio U. ( 2 - 10) MAC DI-A 55.571 62.238 . 153) East Carolina ( 1 - 11) CUSA DI-A 55.558 63.892 . 154) Brown ( 5 - 5) Ivy DI-AA 55.509 55.509 . 155) New Mexico St ( 3 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 55.390 60.390 . 156) UTEP ( 2 - 11) WAC DI-A 55.307 62.230 . 157) Southern Utah ( 4 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 55.178 57.906 . 158) Grambling St ( 9 - 3) SWAC DI-AA 55.115 50.115 . 159) Bethune-Cookman ( 9 - 3) MEAC DI-AA 55.114 50.114 . 160) Nicholls St ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-AA 54.515 55.424 . 161) New Hampshire ( 5 - 7) A10 DI-AA 54.439 56.106 . 162) Rhode Island ( 4 - 8) A10 DI-AA 54.411 57.744 . 163) Bucknell ( 6 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 54.228 54.228 . 164) SMU ( 0 - 12) WAC DI-A 54.220 64.220 . 165) SW Missouri St ( 4 - 7) Gateway DI-AA 53.993 56.720 . 166) Western Carolina ( 5 - 7) Southern DI-AA 53.884 55.550 . 167) Columbia ( 4 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 53.856 55.856 . 168) South Carolina St ( 8 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 53.773 50.440 . 169) Towson ( 6 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 53.768 53.768 . 170) Tennessee St ( 7 - 5) OVC DI-AA 53.689 52.023 . 171) Army ( 0 - 13) CUSA DI-A 53.607 63.607 . 172) SW Texas St ( 4 - 8) Southland DI-AA 53.492 56.826 . 173) San Diego ( 8 - 2) Pioneer DI-AA 53.449 47.449 . 174) CSU-Sacramento ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-AA 53.418 59.781 . 175) Gardner-Webb ( 8 - 4) BigSouth DI-AA 53.375 50.042 . 176) Lafayette ( 5 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 53.369 54.278 . 177) Dayton ( 9 - 2) Pioneer DI-AA 53.312 46.949 . 178) Northwestern St ( 6 - 6) Southland DI-AA 53.240 53.240 . 179) Morehead St ( 8 - 3) Pioneer DI-AA 53.008 48.463 . 180) Louisiana-Monroe ( 1 - 11) SunBelt DI-A 52.963 61.297 . 181) Alabama A&M ( 8 - 4) SWAC DI-AA 52.872 49.538 . 182) Monmouth NJ (10 - 2) NEC DI-AA 52.837 46.171 . 183) SE Missouri St ( 5 - 7) OVC DI-AA 52.548 54.215 . 184) Alabama St ( 8 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 52.537 50.230 . 185) Hampton ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 52.529 49.802 . 186) Duquesne ( 8 - 3) MAAC DI-AA 52.271 47.725 . 187) Indiana St ( 3 - 9) Gateway DI-AA 52.043 57.043 . 188) Liberty ( 6 - 6) BigSouth DI-AA 51.888 51.888 . 189) Florida A&M ( 6 - 6) MEAC DI-AA 51.813 51.813 . 190) Alcorn St ( 7 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 51.672 50.005 . 191) East Tennessee St ( 5 - 7) Southern DI-AA 51.656 53.323 . 192) Albany NY ( 7 - 4) NEC DI-AA 51.369 48.642 . 193) Princeton ( 2 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 51.335 57.335 . 194) Richmond ( 2 - 9) A10 DI-AA 51.296 57.659 . 195) Morgan St ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-AA 51.260 50.351 . 196) Sam Houston St ( 2 - 9) Southland DI-AA 51.232 57.596 . 197) Hofstra ( 2 - 10) A10 DI-AA 51.120 57.787 . 198) Valparaiso ( 8 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 50.883 47.550 . 199) Murray St ( 4 - 8) OVC DI-AA 50.722 54.055 . 200) Eastern Illinois ( 4 - 8) OVC DI-AA 50.559 53.893 . 201) VMI ( 6 - 6) BigSouth DI-AA 50.271 50.271 . 202) Chattanooga ( 3 - 9) Southern DI-AA 50.262 55.262 . 203) Georgetown DC ( 4 - 8) Patriot DI-AA 49.725 53.059 . 204) SE Louisiana ( 5 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 49.156 50.823 . 205) Tennessee Tech ( 2 - 9) OVC DI-AA 48.954 55.317 . 206) Texas Southern ( 5 - 6) SWAC DI-AA 48.890 49.799 . 207) Florida Int'l ( 2 - 10) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 48.789 55.456 . 208) Elon ( 2 - 10) Southern DI-AA 48.765 55.432 . 209) Cornell ( 1 - 9) Ivy DI-AA 48.638 56.638 . 210) Robert Morris ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 48.451 46.451 . 211) Stony Brook ( 6 - 4) NEC DI-AA 48.153 46.153 . 212) Howard ( 4 - 7) MEAC DI-AA 47.893 50.621 . 213) Coastal Carolina ( 6 - 5) BigSouth DI-AA 47.492 46.583 . 214) Holy Cross ( 1 - 11) Patriot DI-AA 47.440 55.774 . 215) Arkansas-Pine Bluff ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 47.308 50.036 . 216) Drake ( 6 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 47.125 47.125 . 217) St Mary's CA ( 1 - 11) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 47.080 55.413 . 218) Tennessee-Martin ( 2 - 10) OVC DI-AA 46.901 53.568 . 219) Iona ( 6 - 5) MAAC DI-AA 46.314 45.405 . 220) Sacred Heart ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 46.255 45.346 . 221) Jacksonville FL ( 5 - 6) Pioneer DI-AA 46.238 47.147 . 222) Wagner ( 6 - 5) NEC DI-AA 46.181 45.272 . 223) Jackson St ( 2 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 45.247 51.914 . 224) Austin Peay ( 4 - 7) Pioneer DI-AA 44.349 47.076 . 225) Marist ( 4 - 6) MAAC DI-AA 43.950 45.950 . 226) Davidson ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-AA 43.944 48.489 . 227) Central Conn St ( 3 - 8) NEC DI-AA 43.739 48.284 . 228) Butler ( 2 - 9) Pioneer DI-AA 43.471 49.835 . 229) Mississippi Valley St ( 2 - 9) SWAC DI-AA 42.992 49.356 . 230) Charleston Southern ( 1 - 11) BigSouth DI-AA 42.859 51.192 . 231) Delaware St ( 1 - 10) MEAC DI-AA 42.813 50.995 . 232) Norfolk St ( 1 - 11) MEAC DI-AA 41.636 49.969 . 233) St Peter's ( 2 - 8) MAAC DI-AA 41.152 47.152 . 234) Savannah St ( 0 - 12) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 41.134 51.134 . 235) Prairie View A&M ( 1 - 10) SWAC DI-AA 40.604 48.786 . 236) La Salle ( 3 - 8) MAAC DI-AA 40.273 44.819 . 237) St Francis PA ( 1 - 9) NEC DI-AA 40.163 48.163 . 238) Siena ( 0 - 11) MAAC DI-AA 36.492 46.492 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.5303 549 of the 3875 games were upsets. ( 14.168%) These ratings are based on 3875 games played between 709 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Pac-10 DI-A 67.863 67.057 10 ACC DI-A 67.676 66.750 9 BigTen DI-A 67.460 66.621 11 Big 12 DI-A 67.287 66.153 12 SEC DI-A 67.251 66.306 12 MWC DI-A 66.215 65.622 8 BigEast DI-A 65.668 64.899 8 D-IA-Ind DI-A 64.934 63.523 4 CUSA DI-A 62.531 62.656 11 WAC DI-A 62.494 63.315 10 MAC DI-A 62.111 62.638 14 BigSky DI-AA 59.774 58.906 8 Gateway DI-AA 58.358 57.065 8 SunBelt DI-A 57.487 60.965 8 A10 DI-AA 57.239 56.960 11 Ivy DI-AA 55.755 55.755 8 Southland DI-AA 55.475 55.678 6 Patriot DI-AA 55.323 54.609 8 Southern DI-AA 55.139 55.305 9 OVC DI-AA 52.695 54.025 9 DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 51.776 54.769 7 MEAC DI-AA 50.292 50.502 9 SWAC DI-AA 49.427 49.835 10 BigSouth DI-AA 49.177 49.995 5 Pioneer DI-AA 48.420 47.787 9 NEC DI-AA 47.144 46.810 8 MAAC DI-AA 43.409 46.257 6 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 27-Sep-03 Idaho St 21 CSU-Sacramento 47 <== upset! 1-Nov-03 Monmouth NJ 10 Central Conn St 14 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Delaware 14 Northeastern 24 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Villanova 32 Hofstra 34 <== upset! 6-Sep-03 Utah 26 Texas A&M 28 <== upset! 11-Oct-03 Northeastern 14 Hofstra 24 <== upset! 4-Oct-03 Jacksonville St 17 Murray St 23 <== upset! 8-Nov-03 Valparaiso 21 Butler 25 <== upset! 11-Oct-03 Ohio St 10 Wisconsin 17 <== upset! 27-Sep-03 Southern Cal 31 California 34 <== upset! There were 231 upsets out of 1494 games ( 15.462%) involving teams from NCAA DI.