Flat (NCAA Division I) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Miami FL (12 - 0) BigEast DI-A 104.502 94.502 . 2) Oregon (11 - 1) Pac-10 DI-A 103.218 94.885 . 3) Tennessee (11 - 2) SEC DI-A 103.064 96.141 . 4) Florida (10 - 2) SEC DI-A 101.722 95.055 . 5) Nebraska (11 - 2) Big 12 DI-A 101.537 94.614 . 6) Colorado (10 - 3) Big 12 DI-A 101.259 95.874 . 7) Texas (11 - 2) Big 12 DI-A 100.923 94.000 . 8) LSU (10 - 3) SEC DI-A 100.595 95.210 . 9) Illinois (10 - 2) BigTen DI-A 100.581 93.914 . 10) Oklahoma (11 - 2) Big 12 DI-A 100.317 93.394 . 11) Washington St (10 - 2) Pac-10 DI-A 100.137 93.470 . 12) Stanford ( 9 - 3) Pac-10 DI-A 100.132 95.132 . 13) Syracuse (10 - 3) BigEast DI-A 99.736 94.352 . 14) Maryland (10 - 2) ACC DI-A 99.469 92.802 . 15) South Carolina ( 9 - 3) SEC DI-A 99.104 94.104 . 16) Washington ( 8 - 4) Pac-10 DI-A 98.820 95.487 . 17) Florida State ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-A 98.659 95.326 . 18) UCLA ( 7 - 4) Pac-10 DI-A 98.521 95.793 . 19) Michigan ( 8 - 4) BigTen DI-A 98.308 94.974 . 20) Brigham Young (12 - 2) MWC DI-A 97.469 90.326 . 21) Fresno State (11 - 3) WAC DI-A 97.338 91.624 . 22) Louisville (11 - 2) CUSA DI-A 97.186 90.263 . 23) Texas A&M ( 8 - 4) Big 12 DI-A 97.082 93.749 . 24) North Carolina ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-A 97.039 94.732 . 25) Georgia ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 96.860 93.526 . 26) Auburn ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-A 96.850 95.184 . 27) Arkansas ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-A 96.509 94.842 . 28) Alabama ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-A 96.328 94.661 . 29) Boston College ( 8 - 4) BigEast DI-A 96.055 92.722 . 30) Marshall (11 - 2) MAC DI-A 95.900 88.977 . 31) Virginia Tech ( 8 - 4) BigEast DI-A 95.672 92.339 . 32) Georgia Tech ( 8 - 5) ACC DI-A 95.615 93.308 . 33) Kansas State ( 6 - 6) Big 12 DI-A 95.568 95.568 . 34) Ohio State ( 7 - 5) BigTen DI-A 95.482 93.815 . 35) Texas Tech ( 7 - 5) Big 12 DI-A 95.423 93.756 . 36) Utah ( 8 - 4) MWC DI-A 95.346 92.012 . 37) Hawai'i ( 9 - 3) WAC DI-A 95.296 90.296 . 38) Iowa ( 7 - 5) BigTen DI-A 95.076 93.409 . 39) Iowa State ( 7 - 5) Big 12 DI-A 95.072 93.405 . 40) Clemson ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-A 94.992 93.325 . 41) Southern Cal ( 6 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 94.964 94.964 . 42) Michigan State ( 7 - 5) BigTen DI-A 94.647 92.981 . 43) North Carolina St ( 7 - 5) ACC DI-A 94.548 92.882 . 44) Toledo (10 - 2) MAC DI-A 94.524 87.857 . 45) Penn State ( 5 - 6) BigTen DI-A 94.405 95.315 . 46) Pittsburgh ( 7 - 5) BigEast DI-A 94.366 92.699 . 47) Wake Forest ( 6 - 5) ACC DI-A 94.298 93.388 . 48) Mississippi ( 7 - 4) SEC DI-A 94.245 91.517 . 49) Notre Dame ( 5 - 6) DI-A-Ind DI-A 94.147 95.056 . 50) Purdue ( 6 - 6) BigTen DI-A 94.079 94.079 . 51) Montana (15 - 1) BigSky DI-AA 93.987 85.237 . 52) Bowling Green ( 8 - 3) MAC DI-A 93.959 89.413 . 53) Colorado State ( 7 - 5) MWC DI-A 93.789 92.122 . 54) Oregon State ( 5 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 93.714 94.623 . 55) Boise State ( 8 - 4) WAC DI-A 93.430 90.097 . 56) Indiana ( 5 - 6) BigTen DI-A 93.383 94.292 . 57) Wisconsin ( 5 - 7) BigTen DI-A 93.285 94.952 . 58) Arizona ( 5 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 92.630 93.540 . 59) Louisiana Tech ( 7 - 5) WAC DI-A 92.409 90.742 . 60) Miami OH ( 7 - 5) MAC DI-A 92.199 90.533 . 61) Rice ( 8 - 4) WAC DI-A 92.187 88.854 . 62) Virginia ( 5 - 7) ACC DI-A 91.946 93.612 . 63) Oklahoma St ( 4 - 7) Big 12 DI-A 91.815 94.542 . 64) Arizona State ( 4 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 91.672 94.399 . 65) East Carolina ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-A 91.668 91.668 . 66) Troy State ( 7 - 4) DI-A-Ind DI-A 91.412 88.685 . 67) Middle Tennessee St ( 8 - 3) SunBelt DI-A 91.405 86.860 . 68) Northern Illinois ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 91.386 90.477 . 69) Missouri ( 4 - 7) Big 12 DI-A 91.294 94.021 . 70) Mississippi St ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 91.136 95.682 . 71) New Mexico ( 6 - 5) MWC DI-A 91.012 90.103 . 72) Southern Miss ( 6 - 5) CUSA DI-A 90.839 89.930 . 73) Kansas ( 3 - 8) Big 12 DI-A 90.635 95.180 . 74) Northwestern ( 4 - 7) BigTen DI-A 90.411 93.138 . 75) South Florida ( 8 - 3) DI-A-Ind DI-A 90.388 85.842 . 76) Air Force ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 90.213 90.213 . 77) Cincinnati ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-A 90.179 88.512 . 78) TCU ( 6 - 6) CUSA DI-A 90.075 90.075 . 79) Furman (12 - 3) Southern DI-AA 90.052 84.052 . 80) Kent State ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 89.874 88.964 . 81) Ala-Birmingham ( 6 - 5) CUSA DI-A 89.848 88.938 . 82) Central Florida ( 6 - 5) DI-A-Ind DI-A 89.846 88.937 . 83) Minnesota ( 4 - 7) BigTen DI-A 89.828 92.555 . 84) Northern Iowa (11 - 3) Gateway DI-AA 89.589 83.875 . 85) Temple ( 4 - 7) BigEast DI-A 89.507 92.235 . 86) Maine ( 9 - 3) A10 DI-AA 89.412 84.412 . 87) Kentucky ( 2 - 9) SEC DI-A 89.356 95.720 . 88) Georgia Southern (12 - 2) Southern DI-AA 89.343 82.200 . 89) Sam Houston St (10 - 3) Southland DI-AA 89.288 83.903 . 90) West Virginia ( 3 - 8) BigEast DI-A 89.148 93.693 . 91) Memphis ( 5 - 6) CUSA DI-A 88.908 89.818 . 92) UNLV ( 4 - 7) MWC DI-A 88.822 91.549 . 93) California ( 1 - 10) Pac-10 DI-A 88.627 96.809 . 94) Utah State ( 4 - 7) DI-A-Ind DI-A 88.335 91.062 . 95) Hofstra ( 9 - 3) A10 DI-AA 88.267 83.267 . 96) Western Michigan ( 5 - 6) MAC DI-A 88.224 89.133 . 97) Baylor ( 3 - 8) Big 12 DI-A 88.090 92.636 . 98) SMU ( 4 - 7) WAC DI-A 87.968 90.695 . 99) Ball State ( 5 - 6) MAC DI-A 87.961 88.871 . 100) Northern Arizona ( 8 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 87.839 84.506 . 101) Harvard ( 9 - 0) Ivy DI-AA 87.794 77.794 . 102) Villanova ( 8 - 3) A10 DI-AA 87.710 83.164 . 103) Appalachian St ( 9 - 4) Southern DI-AA 87.694 83.848 . 104) Vanderbilt ( 2 - 9) SEC DI-A 87.664 94.027 . 105) William & Mary ( 8 - 4) A10 DI-AA 87.374 84.040 . 106) Rhode Island ( 8 - 3) A10 DI-AA 87.264 82.718 . 107) Northwestern St ( 8 - 4) Southland DI-AA 87.253 83.920 . 108) San Jose St ( 3 - 9) WAC DI-A 87.171 92.171 . 109) North Texas ( 5 - 7) SunBelt DI-A 87.153 88.819 . 110) San Diego St ( 3 - 8) MWC DI-A 87.113 91.659 . 111) Nevada ( 3 - 8) WAC DI-A 87.111 91.656 . 112) New Mexico State ( 5 - 7) SunBelt DI-A 87.086 88.753 . 113) McNeese State ( 8 - 4) Southland DI-AA 86.856 83.523 . 114) Akron ( 4 - 7) MAC DI-A 86.764 89.491 . 115) Portland State ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 86.612 83.884 . 116) Lehigh (11 - 1) Patriot DI-AA 86.607 78.274 . 117) Western Carolina ( 7 - 4) Southern DI-AA 86.442 83.715 . 118) Eastern Illinois ( 9 - 2) OVC DI-AA 86.369 80.005 . 119) Stephen F. Austin ( 6 - 5) Southland DI-AA 85.867 84.958 . 120) Grambling St (10 - 1) SWAC DI-AA 85.456 77.274 . 121) Eastern Kentucky ( 8 - 2) OVC DI-AA 85.452 79.452 . 122) Wyoming ( 2 - 9) MWC DI-A 85.442 91.806 . 123) Western Kentucky ( 8 - 4) Gateway DI-AA 85.205 81.872 . 124) Pennsylvania ( 8 - 1) Ivy DI-AA 85.145 77.367 . 125) Tulane ( 3 - 9) CUSA DI-A 85.138 90.138 . 126) Montana State ( 5 - 6) BigSky DI-AA 85.084 85.993 . 127) Youngstown St ( 8 - 3) Gateway DI-AA 84.715 80.170 . 128) Rutgers ( 2 - 9) BigEast DI-A 84.708 91.072 . 129) Eastern Washington ( 7 - 4) BigSky DI-AA 84.624 81.896 . 130) Duke ( 0 - 11) ACC DI-A 84.257 94.257 . 131) Central Michigan ( 3 - 8) MAC DI-A 84.215 88.761 . 132) Colgate ( 7 - 3) Patriot DI-AA 84.163 80.163 . 133) East Tennessee St ( 6 - 5) Southern DI-AA 84.132 83.223 . 134) Tennessee Tech ( 7 - 3) OVC DI-AA 84.059 80.059 . 135) Cal Poly-SLO ( 6 - 5) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 83.739 82.830 . 136) Army ( 3 - 8) CUSA DI-A 83.343 87.889 . 137) Northeastern ( 5 - 6) A10 DI-AA 82.971 83.881 . 138) Brown ( 6 - 3) Ivy DI-AA 82.832 79.499 . 139) Wofford ( 4 - 7) Southern DI-AA 82.711 85.438 . 140) Ohio U. ( 1 - 10) MAC DI-A 82.588 90.770 . 141) Western Illinois ( 5 - 5) Gateway DI-AA 82.429 82.429 . 142) UTEP ( 2 - 9) WAC DI-A 82.337 88.701 . 143) Jacksonville St ( 5 - 6) Southland DI-AA 82.271 83.180 . 144) Buffalo ( 3 - 8) MAC DI-A 82.264 86.810 . 145) Delaware ( 4 - 6) A10 DI-AA 82.168 84.168 . 146) Tulsa ( 1 - 10) WAC DI-A 82.137 90.319 . 147) UL-Monroe ( 2 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 82.002 88.366 . 148) UL-Lafayette ( 3 - 8) SunBelt DI-A 81.974 86.519 . 149) Houston ( 0 - 11) CUSA DI-A 81.885 91.885 . 150) Tennessee State ( 8 - 3) OVC DI-AA 81.812 77.267 . 151) Idaho ( 1 - 10) SunBelt DI-A 81.716 89.897 . 152) SW Missouri St ( 6 - 5) Gateway DI-AA 81.624 80.715 . 153) Connecticut ( 2 - 9) DI-A-Ind DI-A 81.367 87.731 . 154) Bucknell ( 6 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 81.364 79.364 . 155) St. Mary's CA ( 6 - 5) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 81.322 80.413 . 156) Richmond ( 3 - 8) A10 DI-AA 81.108 85.654 . 157) Weber State ( 3 - 8) BigSky DI-AA 80.936 85.482 . 158) Massachusetts ( 3 - 8) A10 DI-AA 80.818 85.363 . 159) SW Texas State ( 4 - 7) Southland DI-AA 80.729 83.456 . 160) Navy ( 0 - 10) DI-A-Ind DI-A 80.544 90.544 . 161) The Citadel ( 3 - 7) Southern DI-AA 80.521 84.521 . 162) Dayton (10 - 1) Pioneer DI-AA 80.433 72.251 . 163) CSU-Northridge ( 3 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 80.386 84.386 . 164) Fordham ( 7 - 4) Patriot DI-AA 80.342 77.615 . 165) Arkansas State ( 2 - 9) SunBelt DI-A 80.247 86.611 . 166) New Hampshire ( 4 - 7) A10 DI-AA 80.223 82.950 . 167) Southern U. ( 7 - 4) SWAC DI-AA 80.066 77.338 . 168) Eastern Michigan ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-A 79.992 86.356 . 169) Nicholls State ( 3 - 8) Southland DI-AA 79.914 84.459 . 170) Murray State ( 4 - 6) OVC DI-AA 79.740 81.740 . 171) Idaho State ( 4 - 7) BigSky DI-AA 79.735 82.462 . 172) Florida A&M ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 79.324 76.596 . 173) Jackson State ( 7 - 4) SWAC DI-AA 78.927 76.199 . 174) North Carolina A&T ( 8 - 3) MEAC DI-AA 78.921 74.376 . 175) Sacred Heart (11 - 0) Northeast DI-AA 78.878 68.878 . 176) Alabama State ( 8 - 4) SWAC DI-AA 78.848 75.515 . 177) Alcorn State ( 6 - 5) SWAC DI-AA 78.701 77.792 . 178) Chattanooga ( 3 - 8) Southern DI-AA 78.457 83.003 . 179) Hampton ( 7 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 78.127 75.399 . 180) CSU-Sacramento ( 2 - 9) BigSky DI-AA 78.084 84.447 . 181) Indiana State ( 3 - 8) Gateway DI-AA 77.971 82.516 . 182) Samford ( 5 - 5) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 77.700 77.700 . 183) Liberty ( 3 - 8) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 77.338 81.883 . 184) Princeton ( 3 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 77.148 80.482 . 185) Gardner-Webb ( 6 - 4) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 76.785 74.785 . 186) Duquesne ( 8 - 3) MetroAtl DI-AA 76.639 72.093 . 187) James Madison ( 2 - 9) A10 DI-AA 76.600 82.964 . 188) Holy Cross ( 4 - 6) Patriot DI-AA 76.481 78.481 . 189) St. Peter's (10 - 1) MetroAtl DI-AA 76.240 68.058 . 190) Elon ( 2 - 9) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 76.215 82.579 . 191) Bethune-Cookman ( 6 - 4) MEAC DI-AA 76.041 74.041 . 192) SE Missouri St ( 4 - 7) OVC DI-AA 75.768 78.495 . 193) Southern Utah ( 2 - 9) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 75.755 82.119 . 194) Yale ( 3 - 6) Ivy DI-AA 75.754 79.087 . 195) VMI ( 1 - 10) Southern DI-AA 75.551 83.733 . 196) San Diego ( 6 - 3) Pioneer DI-AA 75.533 72.200 . 197) Illinois State ( 2 - 9) Gateway DI-AA 75.479 81.842 . 198) South Carolina St ( 6 - 5) MEAC DI-AA 75.218 74.308 . 199) Columbia ( 3 - 7) Ivy DI-AA 75.152 79.152 . 200) Cornell ( 2 - 7) Ivy DI-AA 75.148 80.704 . 201) Drake ( 5 - 5) Pioneer DI-AA 74.441 74.441 . 202) Monmouth NJ ( 7 - 3) Northeast DI-AA 74.381 70.381 . 203) Southern Illinois ( 1 - 10) Gateway DI-AA 74.271 82.453 . 204) Lafayette ( 2 - 8) Patriot DI-AA 74.250 80.250 . 205) Florida Atlantic ( 4 - 6) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 74.156 76.156 . 206) Albany NY ( 7 - 3) Northeast DI-AA 73.827 69.827 . 207) Butler ( 5 - 5) Pioneer DI-AA 73.610 73.610 . 208) Charleston Southern ( 5 - 6) Southern DI-AA 73.528 74.437 . 209) Jacksonville FL ( 6 - 5) Pioneer DI-AA 73.344 72.435 . 210) Alabama A&M ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 73.219 75.946 . 211) Delaware State ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-AA 73.195 74.104 . 212) Towson ( 3 - 7) Patriot DI-AA 73.164 77.164 . 213) Robert Morris ( 6 - 3) Northeast DI-AA 72.919 69.586 . 214) Norfolk State ( 5 - 6) MEAC DI-AA 72.622 73.531 . 215) Georgetown DC ( 3 - 7) Patriot DI-AA 72.285 76.285 . 216) Ark-Pine Bluff ( 4 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 72.121 74.848 . 217) Prairie View A&M ( 3 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 72.095 76.095 . 218) Morehead State ( 6 - 5) Pioneer DI-AA 71.863 70.954 . 219) Dartmouth ( 1 - 8) Ivy DI-AA 71.742 79.520 . 220) Fairfield ( 5 - 5) MetroAtl DI-AA 71.713 71.713 . 221) Morris Brown ( 5 - 6) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 71.637 72.546 . 222) Davidson ( 5 - 4) Pioneer DI-AA 71.349 70.238 . 223) Texas Southern ( 3 - 7) SWAC DI-AA 70.663 74.663 . 224) Tennessee-Martin ( 1 - 10) OVC DI-AA 70.123 78.305 . 225) Savannah St ( 2 - 7) DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 69.790 75.345 . 226) Howard ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-AA 69.277 75.641 . 227) La Salle ( 5 - 4) MetroAtl DI-AA 69.206 68.095 . 228) Iona ( 4 - 5) MetroAtl DI-AA 68.980 70.091 . 229) Valparaiso ( 3 - 8) Pioneer DI-AA 68.182 72.727 . 230) Morgan State ( 2 - 9) MEAC DI-AA 67.938 74.301 . 231) Mississippi Valley St ( 0 - 11) SWAC DI-AA 67.678 77.678 . 232) Wagner ( 3 - 6) Northeast DI-AA 67.270 70.603 . 233) Marist ( 3 - 6) MetroAtl DI-AA 67.123 70.456 . 234) Stony Brook ( 3 - 6) Northeast DI-AA 67.051 70.384 . 235) Austin Peay ( 3 - 7) Pioneer DI-AA 66.923 70.923 . 236) Central Conn St ( 2 - 7) Northeast DI-AA 66.618 72.174 . 237) Canisius ( 1 - 9) MetroAtl DI-AA 64.230 72.230 . 238) Siena ( 1 - 8) MetroAtl DI-AA 63.757 71.535 . 239) St. John's NY ( 1 - 9) Northeast DI-AA 63.537 71.537 . 240) St. Francis PA ( 0 - 10) Northeast DI-AA 62.682 72.682 Average game outcome measure (gom): 10.0000 Standard deviation of the fit: 7.5436 517 of the 3681 games were upsets. ( 14.045%) These ratings are based on 3681 games played between 703 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Pac-10 DI-A 96.244 94.910 10 SEC DI-A 96.119 94.639 12 Big 12 DI-A 95.751 94.228 12 ACC DI-A 94.536 93.737 9 BigTen DI-A 94.499 93.948 11 BigEast DI-A 94.212 92.952 8 MWC DI-A 91.151 91.224 8 WAC DI-A 89.738 90.516 10 CUSA DI-A 88.907 89.912 10 MAC DI-A 88.450 88.955 13 DI-A-Ind DI-A 88.006 89.694 7 BigSky DI-AA 84.613 84.238 8 Southland DI-AA 84.597 83.914 7 SunBelt DI-A 84.512 87.975 7 A10 DI-AA 83.992 83.871 11 Southern DI-AA 82.843 82.817 10 Gateway DI-AA 81.410 81.984 8 OVC DI-AA 80.475 79.332 7 Ivy DI-AA 78.839 79.201 8 Patriot DI-AA 78.582 78.450 8 DI-AA-Ind DI-AA 76.802 79.158 11 SWAC DI-AA 75.777 76.335 10 MEAC DI-AA 74.518 74.700 9 Pioneer DI-AA 72.853 72.198 9 MetroAtl DI-AA 69.736 70.534 8 Northeast DI-AA 69.685 70.672 9 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 27-Oct-01 Northern Iowa 14 Illinois State 42 <== upset! 06-Oct-01 North Carolina A&T 42 Morgan State 52 <== upset! 24-Nov-01 Oklahoma St 16 Oklahoma 13 <== upset! 22-Sep-01 Hawai'i 20 Nevada 28 <== upset! 23-Nov-01 Louisville 22 TCU 37 <== upset! 01-Sep-01 Robert Morris 27 Buffalo State 33 <== upset! 13-Oct-01 Portland State 17 Idaho State 23 <== upset! 22-Sep-01 San Diego St 14 Colorado State 7 <== upset! 03-Nov-01 Grambling St 38 Alabama State 45 <== upset! 20-Oct-01 Toledo 20 Ball State 24 <== upset! There were 210 upsets out of 1389 games ( 15.119%) involving teams from NCAA DI.