TFS 2.2 (NCAA Division I-A) Rank School Record Conf. Div. Rating Schedule --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- . 1) Miami (FL) (11 - 1) BigEast DI-A 138.920 118.920 . 2) Oklahoma (13 - 0) Big12 DI-A 138.547 116.855 . 3) Washington (11 - 1) Pac-10 DI-A 137.764 121.598 . 4) Florida State (11 - 2) ACC DI-A 137.191 119.460 . 5) Oregon State (11 - 1) Pac-10 DI-A 136.924 118.258 . 6) Virginia Tech (11 - 1) BigEast DI-A 135.644 117.227 . 7) Nebraska (10 - 2) Big12 DI-A 132.756 117.297 . 8) Oregon (10 - 2) Pac-10 DI-A 132.554 119.054 . 9) Florida (10 - 3) SEC DI-A 131.837 119.452 . 10) Notre Dame ( 9 - 3) DI-A-Ind DI-A 128.865 118.490 . 11) Kansas State (11 - 3) Big12 DI-A 128.581 115.688 . 12) Michigan ( 9 - 3) BigTen DI-A 127.996 114.955 . 13) Clemson ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-A 126.039 114.414 . 14) Georgia Tech ( 9 - 3) ACC DI-A 126.001 114.293 . 15) Texas ( 9 - 3) Big12 DI-A 125.163 112.038 . 16) Wisconsin ( 9 - 4) BigTen DI-A 124.871 117.102 . 17) Georgia ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 124.703 116.203 . 18) Ohio State ( 8 - 4) BigTen DI-A 124.444 116.403 . 19) Texas Christian (10 - 2) WAC DI-A 124.135 105.552 . 20) Mississippi State ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 123.837 115.462 . 21) Purdue ( 8 - 4) BigTen DI-A 123.689 115.730 . 22) South Carolina ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 123.578 114.536 . 23) Iowa State ( 9 - 3) Big12 DI-A 123.508 114.091 . 24) Toledo (10 - 1) MAC DI-A 123.478 102.524 . 25) Texas A&M ( 7 - 5) Big12 DI-A 123.384 117.467 . 26) Auburn ( 9 - 4) SEC DI-A 123.156 115.233 . 27) Northwestern ( 8 - 4) BigTen DI-A 122.891 116.057 . 28) West Virginia ( 7 - 5) BigEast DI-A 121.749 118.999 . 29) UCLA ( 6 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 121.723 122.557 . 30) Colorado State (10 - 2) MWC DI-A 121.544 107.878 . 31) Louisiana State ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 121.499 114.499 . 32) Arizona ( 5 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 121.221 120.994 . 33) Louisville ( 9 - 3) CUSA DI-A 120.559 109.475 . 34) Southern Mississippi ( 8 - 4) CUSA DI-A 120.268 111.102 . 35) Tennessee ( 8 - 4) SEC DI-A 120.160 113.452 . 36) Pittsburgh ( 7 - 5) BigEast DI-A 119.826 114.451 . 37) Stanford ( 5 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 119.741 122.241 . 38) East Carolina ( 8 - 4) CUSA DI-A 119.394 111.685 . 39) Boise State (10 - 2) BigWest DI-A 119.315 103.440 . 40) North Carolina State ( 8 - 4) ACC DI-A 118.600 111.600 . 41) Arizona State ( 6 - 6) Pac-10 DI-A 118.592 118.384 . 42) Boston College ( 7 - 5) BigEast DI-A 118.247 113.997 . 43) Syracuse ( 6 - 5) BigEast DI-A 118.184 116.275 . 44) Texas El Paso ( 8 - 4) WAC DI-A 118.134 110.092 . 45) Western Michigan ( 9 - 3) MAC DI-A 118.000 104.041 . 46) Virginia ( 6 - 6) ACC DI-A 117.406 117.822 . 47) Air Force ( 9 - 3) MWC DI-A 117.194 106.403 . 48) Mississippi ( 7 - 5) SEC DI-A 116.395 113.353 . 49) Southern Cal ( 5 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 115.956 120.039 . 50) Texas Tech ( 7 - 6) Big12 DI-A 115.850 112.812 . 51) North Carolina ( 6 - 5) ACC DI-A 115.220 114.857 . 52) Fresno State ( 7 - 5) WAC DI-A 114.967 109.967 . 53) Michigan State ( 5 - 6) BigTen DI-A 114.702 118.020 . 54) Washington State ( 4 - 7) Pac-10 DI-A 114.129 120.629 . 55) Arkansas ( 6 - 6) SEC DI-A 113.781 113.573 . 56) UNLV ( 8 - 5) MWC DI-A 113.613 107.343 . 57) Maryland ( 5 - 6) ACC DI-A 113.457 115.276 . 58) Alabama Birmingham ( 7 - 4) CUSA DI-A 113.454 107.182 . 59) San Jose State ( 7 - 5) WAC DI-A 112.888 109.263 . 60) Colorado ( 3 - 8) Big12 DI-A 112.856 120.901 . 61) Brigham Young ( 6 - 6) MWC DI-A 112.710 113.210 . 62) Cincinnati ( 7 - 5) CUSA DI-A 112.564 109.814 . 63) Minnesota ( 6 - 6) BigTen DI-A 112.537 111.578 . 64) Illinois ( 5 - 6) BigTen DI-A 112.244 113.199 . 65) California ( 3 - 8) Pac-10 DI-A 111.421 120.966 . 66) Northern Illinois ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 110.692 107.010 . 67) Central Florida ( 7 - 4) DI-A-Ind DI-A 110.333 102.606 . 68) Ohio ( 7 - 4) MAC DI-A 110.139 103.094 . 69) Kansas ( 4 - 7) Big12 DI-A 109.994 116.085 . 70) Marshall ( 8 - 5) MAC DI-A 109.722 105.453 . 71) Penn State ( 5 - 7) BigTen DI-A 109.554 115.137 . 72) Alabama ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 108.674 118.037 . 73) Temple ( 4 - 7) BigEast DI-A 107.501 113.865 . 74) Idaho ( 5 - 6) BigWest DI-A 107.401 109.583 . 75) Iowa ( 3 - 9) BigTen DI-A 107.040 119.249 . 76) New Mexico ( 5 - 7) MWC DI-A 106.951 110.410 . 77) Missouri ( 3 - 8) Big12 DI-A 106.907 116.407 . 78) Indiana ( 3 - 8) BigTen DI-A 106.895 116.032 . 79) Tulane ( 6 - 5) CUSA DI-A 106.758 104.804 . 80) Utah ( 4 - 7) MWC DI-A 106.032 110.486 . 81) Akron ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 104.965 102.828 . 82) Middle Tennessee State ( 6 - 5) DI-A-Ind DI-A 104.637 102.728 . 83) Miami (OH) ( 6 - 5) MAC DI-A 104.434 103.024 . 84) Kentucky ( 2 - 9) SEC DI-A 104.360 117.769 . 85) Oklahoma State ( 3 - 8) Big12 DI-A 104.359 114.859 . 86) Rutgers ( 3 - 8) BigEast DI-A 104.159 114.886 . 87) Ball State ( 5 - 6) MAC DI-A 104.003 107.640 . 88) Vanderbilt ( 3 - 8) SEC DI-A 103.680 113.726 . 89) Utah State ( 5 - 6) BigWest DI-A 103.232 105.322 . 90) San Diego State ( 3 - 8) MWC DI-A 103.072 114.299 . 91) Memphis ( 4 - 7) CUSA DI-A 101.535 107.353 . 92) Tulsa ( 5 - 7) WAC DI-A 101.493 105.743 . 93) Rice ( 3 - 8) WAC DI-A 101.053 111.326 . 94) Baylor ( 2 - 9) Big12 DI-A 99.642 116.233 . 95) Houston ( 3 - 8) CUSA DI-A 99.311 110.629 . 96) Wake Forest ( 2 - 9) ACC DI-A 98.555 114.146 . 97) New Mexico State ( 3 - 8) BigWest DI-A 98.205 107.660 . 98) Hawaii ( 3 - 9) WAC DI-A 97.293 108.335 . 99) Southern Methodist ( 3 - 9) WAC DI-A 96.342 108.176 . 100) Duke ( 0 - 11) ACC DI-A 95.130 118.040 . 101) Eastern Michigan ( 3 - 8) MAC DI-A 94.715 107.033 . 102) Arkansas State ( 1 - 10) BigWest DI-A 94.429 111.929 . 103) Bowling Green ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-A 94.234 107.053 . 104) Nevada ( 2 - 10) WAC DI-A 93.482 110.357 . 105) Navy ( 1 - 10) DI-A-Ind DI-A 93.380 113.334 . 106) North Texas ( 3 - 8) BigWest DI-A 93.238 103.511 . 107) Louisiana Tech ( 3 - 9) DI-A-Ind DI-A 92.837 102.962 . 108) Army ( 1 - 10) CUSA DI-A 91.782 109.146 . 109) Central Michigan ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-A 91.750 107.796 . 110) Wyoming ( 1 - 10) MWC DI-A 90.262 110.262 . 111) Connecticut ( 3 - 8) DI-A-Ind DI-A 89.362 100.226 . 112) Buffalo ( 2 - 9) MAC DI-A 88.308 103.308 . 113) Kent State ( 1 - 10) MAC DI-A 86.493 106.129 . 114) UL-Lafayette ( 1 - 10) DI-A-Ind DI-A 81.311 100.038 . 115) UL-Monroe ( 1 - 10) DI-A-Ind DI-A 78.928 100.701 Average game outcome measure (gom): 22.1281 Standard deviation of the fit: 16.0087 542 of the 3716 games were upsets. ( 14.586%) These ratings are based on 3716 games played between 698 teams. Conference Divison Rating Sched. N ------------------------------------------------ Pac-10 DI-A 123.003 120.472 10 BigEast DI-A 120.529 116.078 8 Big12 DI-A 118.462 115.894 12 SEC DI-A 117.972 115.441 12 BigTen DI-A 116.988 115.769 11 ACC DI-A 116.400 115.545 9 CUSA DI-A 109.514 109.021 9 MWC DI-A 108.922 110.036 8 WAC DI-A 106.643 108.757 9 MAC DI-A 103.149 105.149 13 BigWest DI-A 102.637 106.908 6 DI-A-Ind DI-A 97.457 105.136 8 ------------------------------------ Largest deviations: ------------------- 11-Nov-00 Western Michigan 17 Central Michigan 21 <== upset! 07-Oct-00 East Carolina 10 Memphis 17 <== upset! 09-Sep-00 Akron 7 Central Michigan 17 <== upset! 14-Oct-00 Minnesota 29 Ohio State 17 <== upset! 11-Nov-00 Northwestern 17 Iowa 27 <== upset! 02-Sep-00 Kansas 17 Southern Methodist 31 <== upset! 21-Oct-00 Connecticut 38 Akron 35 <== upset! 30-Sep-00 South Carolina 17 Alabama 27 <== upset! 11-Nov-00 Northern Illinois 32 Eastern Michigan 39 <== upset! 24-Nov-00 Louisiana State 3 Arkansas 14 <== upset! There were 117 upsets out of 696 games ( 16.810%) involving teams from NCAA DI-A.